Good Friday, folks. It’s full steam ahead toward a rain and wind maker for our weekend. This system throws rain in here later today, with the worst of the weather moving in tonight through Saturday night, but some folks may see a Saturday break in the action.

Let me start things out with a rough timeline of how things play out…

The Saturday afternoon break is going to try and show up across central and eastern Kentucky and it could carry into the evening hours for some. That would be accompanied by a temp spike before another round of showers and storms sweeps to the east Saturday evening through Sunday morning. The Hi Res NAM seems to have a really good handle on all this…

Here’s the rain forecast from that run…

The GFS is much more expansive with the heavy rain swath across western and central Kentucky…

A general 1″-3″ will be likely across central and western Kentucky by Sunday morning. Locally higher amounts will be possible, adding to the local high water threat.

Winds will continue to be gusty, especially late Saturday into Saturday night. Some gusts to 50mph will be possible.

One thing that complicates the whole process is the tropical system developing in the western Gulf of Mexico…

How that gets incorporated into our developing storm system will likely play a role in the exact placement of the heaviest rains this weekend.

As far as the Wednesday – Halloween system is concerned, we are seeing the GFS slowly tending away from the progressive bias and into developing a bigger system…

It still has a lot of work to do and will continue to trend stronger and farther west.

I will have another update later today. Until then, here are some tracking toys to keep you company…

Have a great Friday and take care.