Good Saturday, folks. Our potent storm system is rolling toward us from the southwest and is bringing rounds of heavy rain and thunderstorms. This is also going to be a pretty big wind maker later in the day as what’s left of Olga rolls into western Kentucky.
At this point, the forecast remains pretty much in tact. Here’s a quick synopsis:
- Our day starts with showers and storms for many, with a slow decrease in the south and southeast.
- A window of dry weather is likely across eastern Kentucky this afternoon into the early evening. That may allow temps to surge into the 70s.
- Central Kentucky will be right on the afternoon buffer zone between the dry east and stormy west. A few showers and storms will be noted in this area.
- Showers and storms increase from west to east this evening and then should end by Sunday morning.
What’s left of Tropical Storm Olga continues to rapidly push into our region later today…
Along and east of the track of that remnant low, some big time winds can show up. The Hi Res NAM is spitting out 60mph gusts in the west…
Gusts across central and eastern Kentucky may be in the 40 to 50mph range as the evening line of thunderstorms works to the east.
Clouds linger into Sunday as a seasonally chilly wind blows.
The next system rolls in here by Wednesday and Halloween Thursday. This one is likely another big rain and wind maker before cold air crashes in behind the departing storm. The GFS continues to come around to this idea…
Check out the snow on the western edge of that system as it rolls through the Ohio Valley and eastern Great Lakes.
I will have another update later today, so check back. Until then, here are your Saturday trackers…
Enjoy the day and take care.
Good call on the winds CB. The NWS Louisville finally came around to the idea of Advisory potential. 40-50 mph gusts look realistic, but 60+, I would say not as widespread as the NAM is showing, but very isolated and localized gusts of 60 mph maybe. I’ve seen this kind of setup before, been through it, rogue wind with a heavier downpour/convection. Yep.
Ugh! Who wants cold, damp, dreary, cold, fall weather? Bring back the heat!!
I completely agree
Same here. 90s with low humidity is a little better than wet cold, at least to me.
But so many on this blog and elsewhere (like my wife) can’t wait for the snow. I seem to be one of the few warm weather fans here even if I still get somewhat of a kick tracking winter storms.
As if you could control the weather…but please help track some snow for Harlan this winter, LOL….and not just 3,000ft up but where people actually live in the valley! These past 3 winters have about done me in with watching literally EVERONE else get some snow except for Harlan and the surrounding counties down here. It hasn’t snowed much anywhere within a few hundred mile radius of me, but at least west, north, central and over half of Eastern KY from Hal Roger’s north has at least had one good ankle biter but I haven’t had a 2 inch or more snow since February 2016. I think most of TN has had more than my local except East TN.
Dry slot has already moved in my area. Currently sitting at 0.59 for the event.
Writing this, Paducah’s 2019 precipitation total is in the midst of replacing last year’s 10th wettest year on record.
As expected, the NAM and Canadian have performed best with the axis of heaviest rain being across western KY / IN into Illinois. The GFS caught on very late, but it was still showing too much rain across central KY. The Euro was obviously out to lunch with its early prediction of 3-5 inches across central KY. When all is said and done later this evening, most areas of central to east-central KY will have picked up 0.75-1.5 inches total. A nice soaking rain, but nothing to write home about. And obviously no flooding concerns. As for thunderstorms, there hasn’t been any lightning activity in the state or anywhere in the region. The nearest lightning strikes are in the panhandle of Florida.
Of course, shortly after your post comes a few token lightning strikes around the Land Between The Lakes area 😉 . Still, almost no lightning so far.
44 mph gust at Lebanon TN. Nashville airport has recorded a mere 37 mph gust, but power is out to about 3000 Nashville customers.
Got almost 3 inches of rain here in my neck of woods in far western ky. As dry it has been I was suprise how colorful the leafs turn out to be very pretty. Go Cats !!