Good Sunday evening, folks. We are rolling into the final few days of October with another big storm system on the weather menu. This will likely bring heavy rain, high winds and a temp crash as we head into Halloween, potentially causing some trick or treat issues.
In the short-term, the weather looks really good for the next few days, but this all changes starting Wednesday. That’s when a modified arctic front drops close to the region and slows down, allowing low pressure to develop along the front. That looks to roll right on top of us Wednesday and Thursday…
GFS
Canadian
The end result for us looks to be rounds of heavy rain and even the potential for a few strong thunderstorms. Winds should be very gusty during this time and we may pick up another significant rainfall. That rain would push our region into one one of the wettest Octobers on record. Yes, you heard that right… one of the wettest Octobers on record on the heels of September being the driest month in recorded history. To take it one setup further, we will be above normal in rainfall for the fall season, which began on September 1st. That is absolutely amazing!!
You can also see the stripe of heavy snow from the midwest into the Great Lakes. That could be record snowfall for some of those areas. You also see some flakes into areas of the Ohio Valley late on Halloween.
Very cold air sweeps in here late Halloween into the start of November…
Louisville will need 2.69 inches of rain this week for this October to crack the top 10. Officially, 3.77 inches has fallen and number 10 on the list is at 6.46 inches. Louisville is still 2.05 inches below normal since the beginning of September. Ironically, my rain gauge in southeast Louisville has only recorded 3 inches total for the month. I’m not ready to build an arc yet. Most streams, rivers, and lakes are still running below normal from the severe short-term drought last month.