Good Tuesday afternoon, folks. It’s a very active pattern setting up and it’s one that looks a lot like the heart of winter. That will be complete with very cold shots and even the potential for winter weather. I don’t have much time, so let’s get after it.

The system moving in on Thursday will have widespread soaking rains with it. Some areas could push 1″ of rain on a system the American models like the GFS couldn’t even see until recently. Now the model has it firmly in sight and even shows the potential for a few flakes mixing in as the cold crashes in from the northwest Thursday evening…

I want to keep driving this home to illustrate the bias of the GFS. It’s way too progressive with every trough and every system and that isn’t boding well for it’s worshipers.

The air behind that front will be frigid on Friday. We re in the low and mid 20s to start with a wind chill in the teens. Highs may not get out of the 30s for many.

The poor GFS continues its progressive bias with the next system moving in late Sunday and early next week.Β  The other models continue to be more consistent with an arctic front and possible wave of low pressure developing along the boundary.. That could enhance our chances for light snow…



There is the CHANCE for our first snowfall of the season early next week. No, it’s not even close to being a certainty, but the CHANCE is there.

The arctic air coming in behind is brutally cold for this early in November. We may even set record lows.

I will have the latest on WKYT starting at 4pm and then with another update this evening. Have a good one and take care.