Good evening, everyone. We’re putting the wraps on an historic weather day here in the bluegrass state with a little cloud cover coming in. There isn’t a whole lot going on around here for the next few days, so we are going to focus on the setup for next week.
As I’ve mentioned several times lately, there’s so much energy in the pattern that the computer models are going to struggle mightily. This time of year with the seasonal change is hard enough, but the shear amount of energy and storm systems doesn’t bode well for them.
Still, let’s give a little check on what they’re saying.
The European has our east coast system this weekend into early next week. It also shows the weak little system diving in here by Monday and Tuesday, possibly producing a rain or snow shower…
There’s another system working in quickly behind that later next week. The European Model brings that through here by Thursday and Friday…
The Canadian Model has a much bigger system…
I like the bigger system idea as this is a pattern that can really amplify and produce a big storm system or storm systems over the next few weeks.
The European Ensembles then show another deep trough in the east as we head into Thanksgiving week…
Have a great evening and take care.
Summary of r the models looks like all the moisture is here with above freezing temps, and then the moisture is gone when below freezing temps. For this time of year if correct, no harm no foul 🙂
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/daily_ao_index/ao.shtml
Interesting forecast as the AO looks to tank next week and already negative. Can the NAO finally join in? Looks like a possibility. PNA is slightly positive already. Looks like a Blocking Party!