Good afternoon, folks. It’s a gloomy start to the week as we track a couple systems dropping in from the northwest. It’s the late week and weekend setup that will easily be the bigger deal. It will be our first ‘depends on the track of the low’ setup. Once into Thanksgiving week, the cold pushes back and may do so with a big storm system.
Today’s weather isn’t all bad as skies do try to break just a bit. Temps are kinda all over the place for, but generally a little below normal for afternoon highs. There’s still a small shower risk…
The clipper looking system diving in on Tuesday is finally showing up on the American Models, even though they’ve been on all the other models for days now. Here’s the Hi Res NAM…
A nice temp rebound then takes place Wednesday into Thursday before our next system rolls in here. This will bring gusty winds and an increase in showers on Thursday and Thursday night. That’s the first part of what may be a three part storm system. Another wave of rain should move in on Friday, with the bigger and slower system moving in Saturday. That one is all about the track of the low as being the determining factor in what kind of precipitation we get around here.
The GFS continues to struggle and is way too progressive. This was a bias of the old version of the GFS and the brand new version looks to have an even bigger bias with this. Still, the model is starting to see the evolution…
The Canadian continues to see this much better and shows the winter weather potential…
The GFS is also picking up on the pre-Thanksgiving storm that may impact travel…
I will update things later today and on WKYT starting at 4pm. Make it a good one and take care.
