Good evening, folks. The week ahead of weather is going to be a busy one as we close out November on a very active note. Several systems are set to impact our weather before we head into a setup that features arctic shots in the opening week of December.

I won’t rehash everything in terms of maps for the week ahead, so here are the headlines:

  • Showers and thunderstorms arrive Tuesday into early Wednesday as a potent storm cranks to our west and heads into the Great Lakes.
  • High winds are possible with this system. We could see 40-50mph wind gusts.
  • A weaker system makes a run at us on Thanksgiving, bringing a few showers with it. The leading edge of this has the chance to start as a bit of a mix.
  • A much stronger system then develops in the plains by Friday and works into the Great Lakes. Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible ahead of this on Saturday. High winds will also be a big player.
  • A big time temp crash occurs behind this system from Sunday into Monday. That crash should include some snows breaking out.
  • From there, arctic cold then rolls in here from the northwest into the first week of December.

The operational models are going to continue to struggle with the overall setup and that’s something I’ve talked about for a while now. There’s just so much going on and it’s a lot for them to handle.

One thing to look for is the -EPO developing into early December…

That’s a big signal for a trough into the eastern part of the country. The European Ensembles see a big trough early next week then has another one digging in behind it after a brief relaxation…

I will go more in depth on everything later tonight. One more time to listen to the Kentucky Weather Podcast winter weather outlook…

Make it a good one and take care.