Good afternoon, everyone. Things are about to get very active this afternoon and evening as a potent storm system passes to our west and north. This means the possibility of strong to severe storms in the west and high winds across the entire region.
The Storm Prediction Center has upgraded parts of western Kentucky into a better risk for severe storms…
The low-end threat for severe storms may make it all the way into areas of central Kentucky into the wee hours of Wednesday morning. Damaging winds will be the main player.
With or without thunderstorms, high winds are likely to cause issues into early Wednesday. Gusts of 50mph or greater will be possible during this time.
Here are your tracking tools…
The rain ends quickly from west to east as winds stay gusty through the day. Temps drop from the 60s in the mornings to the 40s in the afternoon.
The trend continues to be colder for Thanksgiving Day into Black Friday…
There’s the chance for a late shower on Thanksgiving and with a few more showers on Black Friday.
The next storm continues to target us over the weekend with heavy rain, high winds and strong storms are likely for Saturday as another major storm develops. There is a lot of blocking going on and this will send that storm more east across the Ohio Valley and lower Lakes. That will then redevelop along the east coast and ride up the coast. That scenario brings rain to snow in here late Sunday as temps crash. Northwest winds will bring widespread light snow and snow showers Sunday night into Monday, especially across central and eastern Kentucky.
The Canadian continues to be the model of choice…
The bias of the GFS continues to render the model all but useless from this time frame. It is just WAY too progressive with everything it shows…
Slow that thing down, deepen the trough, bring in colder air behind the storm andshift everything west by a few hundred miles. Other than that… The GFS is spot on. 😉
I will have the latest on WKYT starting at 4pm and with another KWC update later today. Make it a good one and take care.
Wind and rain
Backside flurries.
Same drill we go thru almost every year.
Much too early to expect anything more but odds are that this will continue through the winter as usual.
December is shaping up to be a month of unknowns, the way it looks right now. No clear-cut signals for sustained arctic air, or for milder than normal air. I do notice the CPC 8-14 day outlook has much of the country at normal to above normal temps, but with very low confidence in this pattern. The way the models are struggling with the long term pattern, I guess nothing is surprising. So in a nutshell, December could be colder and snowier than normal, or a rather mundane and blah weather month, much like we’ve seen in recent years.
No need to worry. CB has got this.
Life of a meteorologist it’s a become a tough gig thanks to social media.
Ignore the letter “a” between it’s and become, my bad.
4 or 5 days ago the models all pointed to sustained cold once again they fooled everyone last winter they did the same thing I hope we don’t have this to look forward to all winter quote ithis could be the snowiest December since 2010 it still could be but the models have backed away from that for now
The so called Polar Vortex possiblity looks to be quickly disappearing. Judah Cohen is now leaning towards a mild December after the so called two or 3 near average cold days early next week. STINKS!
Oscillations are all over the place….can’t get any mid range forecast to work out and nearing the year 2020, blah!
Looks a continuation of the pattern from the last 3 or 4 years. The early November cold snap appears to be anomaly.
As depressing as guidance looks, atleast its not actually winter yet.