Good afternoon, everyone. It’s a damp day across the bluegrass state as a quick hitting system rolls through the region. As this moves away, the weekend looks pretty nice as seasonal weather returns. After that, we find a winter pattern settling in.
The showers taper from west to east this afternoon, but a little bit of drizzle may carry us into the evening.
Here are your tracking toys…
The next system rolling in for early next week continues to be the main focus. An arctic front slides in here Monday night and Tuesday. This will have heavy rain and gusty winds ahead of it as temps spike to near 60. Temps then crash as the front moves through with temps dropping below freezing from west to east Monday night and early Tuesday.
That’s when a wave of low pressure develops along this front. Where is this boundary, though, when the low decides to form? That’s the determining factor on who gets in on a period of snow.
The GFS is back to being progressive, taking that band of snow across the southern and eastern parts of the state…
The Canadian Model is similar to the GFS, but it’s seeing the second arctic system bringing a little snow on Wednesday…
The Canadian continues to go for broke with bitterly cold temps…
I’ll go more in depth on this with the evening update. My time is limited at the moment. 🙂 Make it a good one and take care.
Heavy rain then backside flurries followed by couple dry cold days which leads to a warmup and more rain. Same 3 year old pattern.
and not likely to change…
Yes, I would argue that the Canadian is broke.
And the negativity already starts!!! I know we have had wimpy winters over the past three seasons, but I dont see four in a row. The season is still young and there are many analogs that are putting Kentucky in the sweet spot for winter precipitation. We will have to wait and see, but I believe that most of the snow/cold lovers will be pleasantly surprised.