Good Tuesday everyone and thanks for dropping by KWC. Summer has decided to take a prolonged vacation and it shows no signs of returning any time soon. Today will be another below normal day for much of the state and we have even cooler air taking aim on the bluegrass state by the weekend.
On a site related note, some changes are taking place and that means a page or two will be down from time to time. You will like the changes. 🙂
A weak area of low pressure is working across the Ohio Valley today and is dragging a cold front across Kentucky. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible in central and eastern Kentucky and some of that may carry us into the afternoon hours. Your regional radar will help you out today…
Areas in the west will see a drying trend setting in as the day wears on. Temps will be tricky due to the clouds and scattered storm threat. Mid 80s in the west and upper 70s in the east look like a decent bet.
Wednesday and Thursday look like very nice days as our temps rise. Readings Wednesday will range from the low 80s east to 90 west. Thursday should feature highs in the 90s across the west and mid 80s east.
Our cold front arrives on Friday with showers and thunderstorms increasing. Some of these could be strong, but it is all about the timing. Temps will come down into the high 70s and lower 80s as cooler air works in.
The weekend continues to look cool and borderline chilly. Look at how far below normal the numbers from the GFS Ensembles are…
Our summer of extremes continues and there is a good shot that August ends of cooler than normal for several cities across central and eastern Kentucky.
Have a great Tuesday and take care.
Question: should we be worried that a Greenland Block is showing up now and not later? I know the first 2/3 of last fall was pretty cool (September and October), before the pattern changed in November (won’t go into details there). I’m tempted to do some research about blocking occurrences in August and what happened in the following winter. In the meantime, figured it would be cool to put this out there, since some of you may already know the answer…
That is a great question, I would love to here a response from Chris on this, I feel like cooler now would be to early to last into winter without another pattern change in the other direction.
That is a good question, but if the greenland block stays were in for one heck of a winter.
Chris, We are thankful you are still close enough to benefit from your weather forecast, but we sure do miss you in WV. Have a great day!!!
Chris, while I love the cooler temps, I am NOT ready for summer to be over just yet….hopefully, we can get the warmer temps back for a bit without having the heat be as bad as it has been. MEanwhile, we have managed to miss out on the rain yet again. We got a small shower this morning here. But I am glad that Western KY got some rain. Not nearly enough, I know, but its a start.
Okay first let me state that I am not a meteorologist. But I did stay at a Holiday Day Inn last night, okay not really. But I have done some research on blocking occurring during the summer and the basic sentiment was, if blocking occurs during the summer and the NAO is negative then it stands a good chance that the NAO will remain negative during the winter that follows a negative NAO summer. However since I am not a met I too would like to hear a professional opinion on the matter.
It’s very interesting how the heat and drought of June turned into just heat in July and then cool weather in August. That’s the opposite of what is typical of Kentucky summers.
Looking at the official outlook from CPC is comical. They are predicting hot and dry weather centered on the lower OH Valley from August to October. So far, it’s turned out to be the polar opposite of that. LOL.
I’m not sure how it is comical, since we’re only two weeks into the 3-month outlook. While August has been cooler than normal thus far, there are signals in the data that this current pattern may not hold and there is the possibility that we could return to the warm stuff in a couple of weeks. Only time will tell…
It has turned dry again in Frankfort, if we miss the rain on Friday it will be almost as dry as it was before the July rains!
It all comes down to what time the front comes thru the Louisville & Frankfort area. If it is during the night time hours we might find our rain buckets empty. Timing has not been a friend this year.