Good Saturday, folks. It’s another nasty day across the Commonwealth, but it’s not just rain we are tracking. A little taste of winter weather is blowing in today as the rain ends as a period of snow. This won’t amount to much, so let’s simma down. 🙂 Another taste of winter rolls in by Tuesday, but that’s likely to be followed up by another big time rain maker.
Low pressure is wrapping up to our northeast today, pulling down colder air behind it. This air is marginally cold enough for wet snows to fly through the evening, but we should manage to get a few decent snow bands to show up. Most of what falls will melt, however I can’t rule out some slush showing up on elevated surfaces this evening. The best chance is across the mountains of southeastern Kentucky.
Here are your Saturday radars…
Sunday’s weather looks really good and that lasts into early Monday. Another system brings rain and some snow in here Monday night into Tuesday, but I’m really not that impressed by the winter weather potential with this, at the moment.
I am overly impressed with the pattern behind this, through. A deep trough hangs across the western part of the country as we see a big ridge off the east coast…
That should put our region into a very active setup for heavy rains and even some strong storms from late next week into the following week.
If we just look at the rainfall numbers through next weekend, we find the potential for a lot of water…
Canadian
European
That’s ugly!
I will have updates later today. Until then, I have you set to find some flakes with our weather cams…
Covington area
Florence
Maysville
Louisville
Lexington
Georgetown
Frankfort
Richmond
Winchester
Mountain Parkway near Slade
Pine Mountain
Morehead
Mt. Vernon
Corbin
Have a great day and take care.
As far as an eventful winter I think we will have to hold on untill a few years. We are just coming out of sunspot cycle 24 which turns out to be the longest in history with us being at minimum over the last 3 years. ( which has destroyed us Ham radio operators contacts ).it looks like cycle 25 has began and should peak around 2025. In an historical graph over the past 100 years most of the coldest/ active winters coupled with more negative AOvalues have occurred on the midway point to maximum of the cycle. So hopefully things will start to improve starting next winter. Time will tell.
Don’t worry, Chris I am sure you’ll get the usual “hype” comments. 😉
Why there ot
In the entertainment business, it’s called blockbuster.
Those are scary looking rainfall numbers for just next week alone; however, the models did so poorly with this current system, I want put much into anything far out. Already, the EURO has switched 100s of miles SE in just one run. EURO honestly has been as bad and somewhat worse than the GFS lately. The EURO had me getting a consistent 3 to 4 inch rainfall from this current system in which a two day total only yielded a meager 1.35 in. Not that it is bad to miss the rain as I have now seen over 2 inches just since last Sunday, but the point is the models are terrible right now, hard to see which one or any will get any given event right 🙁
Yes Terry you’re right. That much rain would cause us big time problems. The NWS is predicting a potentially long training swath of rain next weekend, in accordance with the forecast here. In a way, it is good that the models have underestimated the rainfall totals lately. Let’s hope they are overestimating it again, because the ground here just cannot hold any more water right now. Even with the underestimated rain totals, we have been literally swamped with rain since the beginning of October, at least we have here in southern WV. You in eastern KY have really been blasted recently, even worse than we have. Weird, since August was abnormally dry for southern WV, and most of September was dry here too. Most north and west of my location have even gotten blasted worse. I am always more concerned about rain than snow, except when heavy rain follows heavy snow. Then, even that becomes a big time problem here. :-/
I am highly afraid this will be a double digit rainfall month for many of us. About 2 weeks ago, I was looking early at this pattern developing and thinking, “man, this is February 2019 all over again but in January this year.” I could be wrong but I say most of us get near or exceed 10 inches by month’s end.
February 2019, I reached 12.24 inches
February 2018, I had 12.11 inches.
Two years straight, February produced over a foot of rainfall in Harlan. We had some issues, but thankfully, the rain was spread out enough that we had no major flooding, although we did get over 7 ft above flood stage on the Cumberland in February 2018! Hopefully, we have a drier/showier February and get this super rainfall pattern out of the way in January. Overall, I think 2020 screams a ton of rain though, so we will see at year’s end what actually happens
Meant to say, “drier/snowier February.”
Rain train has shown back up this winter. If you can count on one thing in Kentucky winter’s is non-winter feeling days and rain.
“ Kentucky rain keeps pouring down”
I am channeling Elvis this morning.
Wow! The winter that wasn’t! Rodger in Dodger
My children say that winter is for snow and rain for the other three seasons. I agree.
Well it’s snowing here in far western ky at least it’s a site to see. Lol
I had to brush two inches of snow off my car after work early this morning, as an overachieving clipper system went through the Chicago Metro area during the early morning hours (less than a half-inch was predicted for this event).
It was a beautiful, picturesque snow that stuck to all the trees and gra*s*s*y areas, but not on the pavement since it was a wet snow and the temp was around 32 degrees.
It’s going to be all gone by Sunday, as highs are going to reach the 40s, but it’s really nice to look at! We sure haven’t had much snow this season (7 inches total), and this was our biggest snow since Halloween!
Kinda sad that we’ve been reduced to the level that CB is posting hwy cams for for what will be mostly flurries.
It sure is. Searching for snowflakes in the Ohio Valley now requires a network of cameras for proof that a few did fall. Kinda like looking for Big Foot or Loch Ness.
Winter will show its ugly face Mid January thru March. I see a icestorm for the OV and several big snows and very cold temps. Like I said before we are overdue. Winter has just started give it a chance to flip.
I think it is flip or flood by February. We certainly can’t take February with the same pattern as the good ole Pineapple Express is about to swamp us for January!
So much for January. Maybe February will be a snow month. Even a snow day would be good. More than just a dusting or an inch. Hopefully, something will save us from the snow drought. We don’t need this much rain. When the temps go below freezing, any leftover rain water will turn into ice. That’s another problem, even though flooding is the worst issue.
I have my first snow shower in Harlan. Pretty to look at.
CB, “a taste of winter” when it is winter pretty much sums it up. We are looking at three straight years of about nothing. That seems a record for us. Even with the sixteen year big snow drought we had some good clipper action and some several inch snows here and there.
This seems new territory for KY.
That record is going to be extended way past 3 yrs, as in from here on out…. Mark it down