Good Wednesday, everyone. It’s a nice and chilly weather day taking shape across the region, but it’s all eyes on the weekend and some wild weather. A potent storm system will roll our way and bring a lot of different threats our way, including the potential for flooding rains, high winds, severe storms and record temps.
The overall setup for thew weekend hasn’t changed much…
Areas of central and western Kentucky will get in on the heaviest rains, especially from Friday night through Saturday night…
Much of this comes from a massive area of heavy rain and potential strong to severe storms on Saturday. The potential is there for some pretty hefty thunderstorms to go up.
With or without thunderstorms, high winds are likely to cause issues. The GFS has areas of 60mph or greater…
The EURO seems to be having come feedback issues in the west as it’s going with hurricane force gusts…
If we can get a touch of sun, high temps ahead of this front may top out from 70-75 degrees across the eastern half of the state. Records may very well fall.
We will have to watch for another possible storm system into the first half of next week, but the models are finally seeing some changes later in the week. Watch how the colder air tries to overwhelm the pattern…
GFS temp departures from normal
The Canadian is even colder…
I will have additional updates later today. Make it a good one and take care.
It is nice to see the heaviest rain pushed completely out of KY on the latest model runs for storm #1. I am still concerned about the second system next week as the trough is more east by then but I think the worst at least through the weekend is mostly NW of KY with the greatest flood threat. Still, the Ohio River counties of far west KY could approach 3 inches.
I love how the cold air is always a week away
I only see about “average” briefly next week and no break in this overall pattern yet.
Shallow cold air bleeding East is not good.Pattern has ice storm potential.Still a ways out so it can change.
Yep!!!
And 2 weeks out at that I’m sure it’ll be windy rainy and mild temperatures when it’s all said and done
Fairbanks AK is currently minus 39 degrees! Highs will stay in the minus 30s. That’s not wind chill, neither. Yes, central Alaska is suppose to be cold this time of year, but even this is well below their normal.
Hmm, if this bottled up Arctic air heads to the lower 48, will it affect the western US or the east? Hmm! 😉
I ‘ve almost always seen when its warm in Alaska it will be cold here. If it is that cold there now don’t expect to see much snowy cold here.
But when it flips!!! Where does it go?
You mean if it flips?
CB should know I’m going to write these numbers down, especially from the Canadian model and poke fun at it later on as if it was a skit on these late night comedy shows.
Another example of portraying the extreme, or the “h***” word
I don’t think CB really cares what number you or anybody else writes down from any weather model.
Just to show I’m not making this stuff up. The Canadian model for temperatures is just as much a joke as the other models. The maps CB chooses to show at times, he shows for entertainment, not realistic. That’s why I say he hy**s it up whenever he gets a chance, which is ok by me. I like a good show. But, if he was to make an official forecast right now in his extended outlook, do you really think he would use the Canadian model? He’d be the laughingstock of the weather community. Paducah at -4, Lexington at 2 degrees
I’m using Burlington, Iowa as my test case. At about 42 degrees below normal, the low temperature will approach -25 degrees on about the 17th. I will use the dates from January 15 – 20, just to cover the timing error. The coldest reading I can find for Burlington, Iowa is -27 degrees.