Good evening, everyone. We continue to watch a busy weather pattern that will eventually unlock a much colder pattern around here. This pattern will engulf much of the country in much below normal temperatures. Can we get a little snow from this? Meh. Maybe.
Our first item up for bids is a Thursday cold front. This front will have a few showers and rumbles of thunder with it, especially across the south and southeast. This isn’t a lot of rain by any means…
The next system moves in Friday and Saturday with the chance for a brief mix on the front end on Friday. That would quickly go over to showers and take us into a windy Saturday. Temps do crash behind our late Saturday front, with a few flakes possible Saturday night…
I’ve touched on the cold air coming behind all this over the late weekend into next week. I’m not sure this pattern completely locks in, but I do see a pattern with much colder blasts of air. Can we get some snow? For the first time this winter, the Euro Weeklies are actually hitting at some snow around here. This is the forecast from the next 40 days…
Obviously, that’s ONLY designed to show trends and is not intended to show specific totals. Still, it offers winter weather lovers some hope.
Enjoy the evening and take care.
🙁
Nothing else to say.
The key phrase of note in this post is “not sure this pattern completely locks in”. No one can be totally sure but it indicates doubt for sure. After the last 3 plus years, I can see where anybody would be doubtful.
The oscillations are still not there. Looks more “neutral” but no true blocking yet. Looks bad for us. I hate the thought of having to cover my palms for a few days and not even any snow 🙁
The sad thing for snow fans is even that map shows KY on the fringe of main action and typically the actual is more north and NE. There’s always February 😉
Never mind, that is for the next 40 days…. Oh well, there’s always March…..
That is February…next 40 days. It is basically the end of the winter that never started if that verifies above as that is about 10 inches total or less statewide and doesn’t account for melting before accumulation but just snow falling. 🙁
I say next on this winter. The expectation was lower this year, but probably not low enough. I kinda thought we would hit average on the season…..still could but chances are stacked against us.
I stand by my RIP
Some out there would (and have) argued with you but….there is not much “snow” for them to stand on. LOL.
Of course we can still get a snow yet, but even if we have a day or two of cold and snow, can we really call this winter a real “winter” this year when 90% plus days have been mild, more like an extended fall or early spring.
If this pattern doesn’t lock in could we be looking at record high temps for a Meteorological winter? Although cooler there is no talk of whatever of that “Arctic ????” phrase that was used to replace the word cold.
I need to try and pull data. 2012 comes to mind as a temp comparison to this winter, so far. 2012 was a very warm 3 month winter period. We are definitely warmer than last year, so far, but just not as wet yet areawide for December and January-to-date. February has been the wettest month lately, so we will have to wait and see how this one goes.
Models looked good a week ago but as usual was a head fake..Oh well it is what it is..Winter Dec 1 2019 died Dec 2 2019..Maybe next winter a La Niña forms and we go from there..Couldn’t be no worse than what we are experiencing now..The only thing to look forward to is Chris fixing the site.