Good afternoon, folks. It’s another dreary day in the bluegrass state as low clouds and a few showers hang tough. The focus continues to be on a big storm system rolling in here for the next few days, bringing the potential for heavy rain and gusty winds. This continues to be one super-active setup to close out October.

Today’s showers are more prominent across the west and north…

My thought process on the next few days remains unchanged:

  • This is a late Wednesday through Friday morning event.
  • Rounds of heavy rain and thunderstorms will move across the state during this time.
  • Rainfall amounts of 1″-3″ will be possible, with locally higher amounts if storms do in fact crank.
  • Wind gusts of 30mph-40mph will be noted as the low pressure tracks across the region Thursday into Thursday night. Higher gusts will be possible.
  • Temps spike to near 70 for some areas for a short time on Thursday, but crash down behind the low on Friday. Temps for Friday are in the 30s to start and may not get out of the low and middle 40s for highs. Gusty winds will make it feel colder.

The Weather Prediction Center is highlighting the region for excessive rains…

Wednesday-Wednesday night

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Thursday-Thursday Night

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The models are now all pretty much in agreement with one another…

NAM

GFS

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CANADIAN

A lot of this moisture will be drawn in from Zeta. This storm is barreling toward Louisiana and the center should pass just to our southeast…

cone graphic

Halloween continues to look seasonally chilly with frost in the morning and mid to upper 50s in the afternoon.

A stronger push of cold air comes in behind another front slamming in here late Sunday. We will need to watch to see if a few flakes can show up across areas of the north and east into early Monday.

GFS

EURO

CANADIAN

It may get close before all is said and done. Morning lows will be deep into the 20s by Monday and Tuesday.

Enjoy the rest of the day and take care.