Good afternoon, folks. It’s another very day in the Commonwealth as the clouds linger for many, with the sun offering a little help for others. As we look ahead to the coming week, the setup continues to feature changes toward more of a sustained winter pattern by the end of the week.
Before we get to that sustained pattern, we have a snow system moving toward the region for Monday. But, does it survive the ride? This is the same snowstorm hitting Texas and Louisiana today and tonight. Unfortunately for snow lovers around here, this weakens considerably the farther northeast it gets. This will bring a little light snow into parts of the state, notably across the south and east.
Look at how quickly this shears out as it moves our way…
After a calm middle of the week, a late week cold front sweeps in here and changes the pattern toward much colder. The GFS brings this through with little moisture, but shows some wrap around light snow potential…
The other models are deeper with this setup and allow for much more of a light snow setup…
Canadian
The EURO is the deepest and has a true northwest flow snow event around here…
Regardless of how they handle the setup above, most show the potential winter storm system coming in behind it in about a week from now. Notice how the GFS follows that up with another system a few days later…
The Canadian doesn’t go out far enough to show the second one, but it’s starting to see the first system…
The EURO goes into clipper-mania mode instead of having that system coming from the southwest.
I will offer up another update this evening. Have a good one and take care.
Looks like it’s all south and east of me. Nothing new here. Enjoy it if you get it. Just don’t let me know about it. 😉
Clippers,festive flakes and a lot of wasted cold air.
Very predictable.
It seems like snow around here is like the Diamond Rio song “ In a week or two“
Am I the only one who is already sick of winter?
WHAT WINTER ?
well, i realize some of you haven’t had a lot of snow but we’ve all had well below normal frigid temps….me no like that at all!!!
Raising hand
In the good old days of weather when there was a Snowstorm in the Texas Panhandle, that storm would pick up a lot of moisture from the Western Gulf of Mexico and at the same time merge or phase with cold Arctic air and form a four state Snowstorm for the Ohio Valley. Not anymore.
I notice that in some areas of the country weather models are actually accurate in forecasting Snowstorms. Not here.
We were suppose to get “real deal” Arctic air ( not that I want any without Snow) and the models were incorrect with forecasting temperature change. Wow that’s terrible forecasting.
At the present, Europe and especially Russia is frozen over with lots of Snow cover. When the Polar Low weaken and split all the frigid Air in Canada went over to Siberia. I posted the map showing this last evening.
Typical responses. Always Debbie downers, negative Nancy’s! and people who know more than you do.
Thanks for alll you do Chris. Seems to be winter is just getting started around here. Out chances this year seen to be much better than the past two, despite what other arm chair nets may think. We are way overdue and I am going to be optimistic and hope for a very cold and snowy couple months. I mean how many times does 77 and 78 show up on analogs. They were some wicked winters there. Old skool thumping, ice storm or a few overachiever clippers is all we need to bring out some positive thoughts. Thanks again for all you do.
I do agree,with ya, though. It’s just beginning and we really don’t stand that many chances of snow before mid-January anyway. I think our chances are waaaaaaayyy better than they’ve been in the past 3-4 years. But, hey, sometimes it’s kind of hard to keep the faith when you’ve had a lot of let-down’s/near misses in years past. But I remain hopeful. If you don’t have hope, what do you have? 🙂
Guess the Northern stream or something is keeping things in the shredder.Nothing can dig and amplify to tap the gulf.Hopefully the 20th will surprise.