Good Saturday, everyone. It’s the first weekend of calendar summer, but it’s the final weekend of June. Is this a glass half full moment? Regardless, we have some decent weather out there for the weekend with just a storm or two around. Storms continue to look to increase in the week ahead with a bigger system lurking for the 4th of July Weekend.
Temps out there today are deep into the 80s with a mix of sun and clouds and a gusty southwest wind. A shower or thunderstorm will be around, especially across the western half of the state. Here are your radars to track whatever shows up…
Sunday features a little better coverage of showers and storms areawide, but this continues to look fairly scattered as the best corridor of moisture stays to our northwest. The boomers then slowly increase into the first half of next week as humidity levels continue to climb.
The stormy setup isn’t going to be denied, though, it’s just arriving fashionably late. Showers and storms will increase to close out the month and may very well stick around through the 4th of July weekend as a big upper low spins in from the northwest…
This upper low could make for some cool and damp times as it bowls through the region. Here’s how the EURO sees it…
The GFS is also seeing this same upper low and follows that up with another upper low a few days later…
That particular run of the GFS produces these lows for the 4th…
“Hot as the 4th of July” isn’t going to be a term we throw around this year, regardless of those temps likely being too cool. 🎆🧨🎇
Make it a great Saturday and take care.
The GFS really screw up bad this week.
The cold front has lingered or stalled in central Indiana.
Rain totals in Ky. a major bust.
We will see how the July 4th weekend plays out.
The GFS was a bust this week in Ky.
The cold front stalled in central Indiana.
We will see how plays out this coming week.
why did the front stall and more importantly, why didn’t the GFS see whatever is causing the front to stall?
Excellent question, but I’m sure their are a million meteorological explanations out there.
Correction : there not their.
Another correction you don’t need the word there at the end of a sentence. It has been a long long time since grade school. I don’t really have a good excuse for my bad grammar. LOL
My guess is that the cold front was not strong enough to push all the way into Ky.
Also, there is not a large moving organized weather system that is strong to enough force it to move south.”Dog Days of Summer.”
I’ll buy that as the cause.
Mainly light rain fell throughout the Chicago Metro Area this morning, with the heaviest rain downstate.
The last two days, a total of 1.96 inches of rain fell at the NWS Forecast Office in the SW Suburbs, and a total of 1.77 inches fell at Chicago’s O’Hare Airport.
The Flash Flood Watch for the Chicago area has been extended through Sunday morning, but it looks like the heaviest rain will be south of I-80. We’ll see how this all plays out over the weekend.
Summertime showers are mostly hit and miss in my area. The best chance for showers is this Wednesday and Thursday at 70% for my county of Taylor. Today the “heat is on.”
A Tornado Watch has been issued for parts of the Chicago Metro Area, mainly along and east of I-55 until 7 PM. But radar shows that an area of showers and storms in the Metro area now is moving to the NE out of the area, and there’s only isolated activity behind that. I think they may wind up cancelling the watch soon, because the radar doesn’t look very impressive at all unless they’re expecting further development.
A Flash Flood Warning has been issued for Chicago and the West and SW Suburbs due to 1 to 2 inches of rain that has already fallen.
We’ll see how things progress this afternoon.
Good luck to you up your way.
I am grateful that the cold front did not setup base here in Ky..
The severe weather this afternoon has mainly been in NW Indiana and East-Central Illinois. A few tornado warnings have been issued in those areas.
Looks like now Independence Day will be Sunny with a high of 77 degrees and a morning low in the mid 50’s.
Hope it pans out.