Good afternoon, folks.  It’s another frigid January day across the Commonwealth as arctic air blows back in. This sets up shop for the next few days as we watch a likely light snowfall maker show up around here as early as Thursday night.

This is the same system I’ve been yapping about over the past week or so. The models are still keeping this light around here with the phasing into a major east coast storm too far to our east for a biggie around here.

Here’s how this thing comes together…

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That would then ramp up into a near blizzard across the northeastern part of the country.

For us, this brings a period of light snow in here Thursday night and that continues into Friday. Northwest flow snow showers would then kick in Friday night into Saturday morning.  This is a setup that usually puts down a 1″-3″ snowfall across central and eastern Kentucky, but can sometimes overachieve with arctic air and a stronger northwest flow.

Here are the snow numbers from the models for this time. The NAM only goes through Friday evening, but it’s pretty snowy…

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The EURO is similar…

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The late day GFS is similar…

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Arctic air comes in behind this and may send Saturday morning temps into the single digits with wind chills going below zero.

The setup for early February is likely to crank out a major Mississippi River Valley storm as we see one heck of a temperature gradient setting up across the country. There’s going to be a brief spike in temps around here ahead of this system…

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Arctic cold then crashes back in behind it and regains control…

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While a little more volatile, the setup for the next few weeks is one that can deliver snows very far south once again. The GFS Ensembles 2 week snow map…

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Enjoy the rest of the day and take care.