Good Wednesday, folks. It’s a frosty start to the day for many across the state, but the focus is on a more active pattern taking shape for the weekend. This busy pattern likely stays around into Kentucky Derby week as more chill threatens to blow in.
Temps this morning are in the low and middle 30s with a nice recovery into the 60s this afternoon. A mix of sun and clouds will be noted.
Thursday is a slightly milder day, but the numbers are still well below normal. Some clouds increase later Thursday ahead of a system slowly working in from the west. This throws some showers and storms into western Kentucky Thursday night and Friday.
This action then slowly presses in from the west through the weekend. Rounds of showers and storms appear to be a good bet during this time. This will kick off a pattern featuring additional storms that take us through, at least, the middle of next week. Recent runs of the forecast models have been spitting out some hefty totals…
GFS
CANADIAN
I’m hopeful we can get this to calm down by Kentucky Derby Weekend, but that may come with a chilly price. This is way out there, but a chillier pattern is likely to settle in for the big weekend. The current GFS high temps:
OAKS DAY
DERBY DAY
Obviously, a lot can change between now and then, and we will keep updating things over the next week and change.
If we look at the longer range from the EURO Weeklies, they show the period from now through June 10th averaging below normal for much of the country…
A reminder that this model is usually biased to show above normal temps, so when you see cooler than normal on it, it’s telling.
Rainfall through June 10th on the same run shows what looks like a stormy setup from the Mississippi Valley into our region…
The Control Run of the Euro Weeklies is even wetter looking…
This pattern has been locked in for 3 years now and the consistency of our weather patterns is something to behold!
Enjoy the day and take care.
I despise this pattern.
I despise La Nina ! Which is causing our Climatic ” hiccup.”
I’m running with an attitude of gratitude this morning. Given that everyone everywhere cannot have ideal weather for their location on the map, would I rather be cooler than normal and damper than normal or warmer than normal and drier than normal? I grieve for our fellow citizens, particularly west of us, who have been in the latter state for what seems like a couple of decades. I’m soaking in the sights and sounds of a beautiful spring morning, so wishing for something slightly better is not on my agenda.
There’s widespread frost in the Bowling Green area this morning. According to my PWS, the overnight low temperature was34°, so we avoided a hard freeze, at least in my neck of the woods. La Nińa simply won’t quit, and looking at that extensive pool of colder than normal water off the western coast of South America on the latest SST Anomaly charts, it appears that it’s destined to stick around for the foreseeable future!
https://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/ocean/sst/anomaly/
JOE, We had Frost this Morning with A low Temperature of 33 degrees. Hopefully, our last ?
Thanks for sharing ! We will eventually switch over to ENSO maybe in a couple of years ?
You Are Correct! It’s a Beautiful Day and we all should enjoy it while it last. I’ve been kind of Negative and have A Good Reason for this. About Month ago I Had A Light Stroke and My Left Side went Numb and haven’t been the Same since. It is very difficult to preform light tasks and to keep My focus especially on the Weather. I don’t know what to expect with this condition. No one in the Medical field can give me any Answers. I Have an appointment with A Neurologist, but that’s not until the twenty forth of the of May. Hopefully, he will have some Good News for my Total Recovery.
Rather condescending and preachy, but ok.
The above post is a Reply for LexingtonYardGuy or those that are interested.
Correction: of May not the of the of May.