Good Friday, folks. We are about to roll into a very active pattern as we flip the calendar to May. Rounds of showers and storms will target the state through Kentucky Derby week with the potential for some issues linger into Derby weekend.

Today finds a weak front stalled across the region, but this thing is pushing back to the north as a warm front. This will bring another big temp gradient and the threat for scattered showers and storms.

Here are your radars to track the scattered action of the day…

There may be a cluster of showers and storms move in from northwest to southeast this evening and tonight. There’s the chance for some big rains over localized areas if that happens so keep that in mind.

Scattered storms will be noted on Saturday to go along with a lot of dry times with temps reaching 75-80 for many.

This is ahead of a line of storms that develops to our west and rolls through here from late Saturday into early Sunday…

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The Storm Prediction Center has western Kentucky in the risk for severe storms late Saturday…

That may get pushed a little farther east Saturday night and early Sunday. That system moves away later Sunday with better weather blowing in here through the first half of Monday. That’s ahead of another system that may bring strong to severe storms in here…

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Yet another system could bring strong to severe storms later Wednesday and Thursday…

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That unleashes some colder air late week into Derby Weekend. Recent runs of the GFS are just ugly…

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This is one of the runs with highs on Oaks Day…

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And Derby Day lows…

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That’s just one run of one model, but it shows the variability as we continue to hone in on the big forecast.

Make it a great day and take care.