Good evening, folks. Showers and a few thunderstorms continue to spin across the region today, bringing much needed rain to the area. This system is part of an overall pattern change that’s slowly evolving toward winter.

There’s not much else to say about the bands of showers and storms. This action continues through Halloween but isn’t constant and doesn’t impact everyone at the same time. Here are your radars to follow along this evening…

A weak system may bring a light shower or two in here for the middle of the week, but that doesn’t look like a big deal.

Temps run above normal through the end of the week and into the weekend as the models struggle to figure out when another system rolls through here. The Canadian and EURO are of similar thinking…

CANADIAN

EURO

You guys are probably tired of me talking about the action in the tropics, whether truly tropical or not, as being a big driver in slowing down the overall pattern across North America. In my last post, I went into detail on how that process works and today, the GFS gives us a nice illustration.

I’ve highlighted the big slow-moving system in the tropics showing up next weekend…

That keeps the ridge in the east and squashes any trough that attempts to come out of the west.

I’ve said this thing has to get out of the way to change that. Check out the same GFS map a few days later…

Notice how that system is now working westward toward Mexico. You can also see how the ridge over top of it is getting squashed from the north.

A few days later, the tropics are now clear of that system and look what happens…

While the timing on all that is in question, it’s a good simulation of the exact point I’ve been making for a while now.

Before I leave, I almost forgot that today is a big anniversary to a monster snowstorm in eastern Kentucky…

That’s the first and only time a hurricane brought snow to Kentucky. That still sounds absurd, but it happened.

Enjoy the evening and take care.