Good Tuesday, everybody! It’s another fairly nice weather day, but a big storm system is about to slam the bluegrass state. A lot of rain will usher in a winter pattern that’s likely to turn harsh for much of the country heading into Christmas week.
Let’s start with the system about to impact our weather. Let’s freshen up the breakdown:
- Heavy rain and gusty winds move in tonight and early Wednesday. Some thunder may be noted in the far west, but the strong storm threat is south of us.
- Rainfall totals should average 1″-2″ for most of the state with some 2″-3″ amounts possible in the southeast. That’s where some local high water issues are possible.
- A powerhouse of a cold front sweeps through here Wednesday night and Thursday. This will initially dry our skies out as temps crash.
- Winds will be gusty and may top 40mph in the west as the front enters the picture Wednesday.
- Low-level moisture under that upper level system will drop in later Friday into Saturday. That should spawn areas of light snow and flurries.
- Some light accumulations will be possible across central and eastern Kentucky, but it’s not a big deal. It may get you in the Christmas spirit, though. 🎄🎅
Here’s what the models look like with the rainfall…
As expected, the GFS totals are coming down and will continue to do so…
The light snow and flurries coming behind this continue to show up much better on the Canadian than other models…
The pattern after this turns extreme and will feature some absolutely wicked winter weather for much of the country. We are heading into the deep freeze and this winter pattern will also feature several big winter systems working across the country. Details of each are a long way from being known and the operational models will continue to struggle for a while. Still, they’re fun to look at to get an idea of the potential…
CANADIAN
GFS
EURO
The Ensembles continue to paint a brutally cold pattern. These animations go from December 19 through December 26…
GFS ENSEMBLES
CANADIAN ENSEMBLES
The ensembles continue to spit out snow chances galore over the next 2 weeks…
Updates come your way later today, so check back. Until then, I leave you with your radars to track the rain and some thunder in from the west…
Have a good one and take care.
when bailey starts doing the texas 2 step on camera you know buisness is fixing to pick up. my mom hollered and said bailey dancing again. i said winter is picking up mom. today advice is go watch some of donnie baker vids.
THEY WILL BE 8-12 INCHES SNOW ON GROUND FOR CHRISTMAS WITH BELOW ZERO TEMPS LOWS AND TEEN HIGH,
Thanks Chris, Maps again are not loading. Can’t comment. On again, off again like the GFS.
It might be better that you cannot see the maps.
My interpretation of the maps (cold rain,ice& backside snow).
Schroder, I use my phone and a computer i haven’t had that issue on either one of them. I hope things gets to working for you. love read your and other scomments. Have a good day to all!!
I had that happen on my phone one day last week and today on my computer the maps were just really slow in loading. I actually was going to say I was having the same problem as Schroeder but when I scrolled back up, the maps were showing. I hope you get an answer Schroeder.
Maps are now fully loaded clear down to Bing Crosby and Vera Ellen singing White Christmas, but there’s no sound to the Video. Why is that ?
Appears the models are not in any hurry for any agreement on what weather type we may have for Christmas. I ran the automatic ( ICON ) on the Ventusky weather site this Morning and saw that dreaded Ice in the extended. Not worried as that is 14 days away.
If I lived in western, northern or central KY – I’d feel pretty good about my chances right now.