Good Saturday and welcome to the weekend. Snow showers, flurries, sun, clouds, cold and wind are all on tap across the bluegrass state today. This is how we jump start a very cold mid February weekend.
The snow showers of today will kick into high gear during the afternoon and evening and be more prominent across the eastern half of the state. Local “flizzard” conditions are possible as the snows come down hard for a brief period. This may cause some minor accumulations and can cause a few slick spots.
Temps today will be in the upper 20s for many, with low 30s in the south and west. Here’s your weekend dose of tracking toys…
Current Temperatures
Winds today will make it feel much colder than what the thermometer shows. Sunday will see more in the way of sunshine returning. Temps will start in the teens and finish in the high 20s and low 30s.
A storm system will roll across the plains states on Monday and work into the Great Lakes by Tuesday. This will drag a cold front across the state and lead to very gusty winds. Temps will hit the 50s on Monday then fall quickly into the 30s Tuesday as the front passes.
Widespread showers will accompany this front and some of those may end as a period of light snow as the colder air moves in…
That’s a pretty good shot of cold moving in behind that storm and will be in place when the next storm rolls our way by Thursday. That one looks very messy across our part of the world.
Have a great Saturday and take care.
Can’t blame the weatherman for the BLAH winter of 2012-2013, but the BLAH forecasts have been about as accurate as Cauley-Stein’s free throw shooting percentage.
“That one looks very messy across our part of the world.”….What does that mean? Rain, sleet, snow, mud, chocolate syrup, spilled milk, no mail on Saturday???
A major snowfall is on the bubble like UK tournament chances. We need a major upset. Can we stop the warm air coming up from Florida. The Billy Donavon weather model says no way.
Great Sarcasism!! I like it. Time and time again have we seen it go to 50’s front comes through with rain, back end 5 minutes of flurries..Why even mention it? Messy around our world….
Oh well,,,I guess it’s trying to make it sound like fun or drama or tease or whatever, SHOOT IT STRAIGHT..thats what I want to be hear! For the past week “Artic blasts, artic snow, cold winter, blah, blah, blah..what is this weekend .. Sun! and low 30’s or maybe high of 29. Yes this is chilly, but come on, COLD, ARTIC?????????
Based on what I’ve seen so far this winter, “messy” simply means more mud. Period.
Messy = the weather models are sure to mess with our minds!
Messy as in snow, freezing rain, rain, ice????
I am so tired of looking at radar and seeing rain in KY and then as soon as it crosses into Ohio, Virginia, Indiana and West Virginia it turns into snow…..or even the same effect to the west and south of us. What the heck is going on? Here where I am in Mercer County it has been a snow bust other than the little dusting after Christmas. Thank you Chris for this blog, though. This winter has been a nightmare to forecast.
16 degrees with a heavy frost in Lawrenceburg this morning. Given the very mild winter, we need a few more of these mornings to keep the vegetation held back.
“Widespread showers will accompany this front and some of those may end as a period of light snow as the colder air moves in”. That pretty much sums up the last decade of winter weather in Kentucky. Moisture always out of here by the time the cold catches up. You can’t win when it snows to the north and south of you, but never on you. My question is how we became the transition spot for snow? Why are we always on the fence for every storm that comes through. Always have to deal with the rain to snow scenario.
Answer to this question= the Appalachian chain
Messy is the weathermans legal term for “I don’t have a clue”, “I’m just covering my rear”, “your guess is good as mine” etc. What pains me are the teasing quotes of hope “Thatβs a pretty good shot of cold moving in behind that storm and will be in place when the next storm rolls our way by Thursday” . History tells us that cold air will be long gone by Thursday. No storm, front or precipitation will roll into Central Kentucky until the cold air has cleared and been replaced by 33 degree and higher temps.
My conversion to the dark side is complete. No offense to Chris, but you can’t make chicken salad out of chicken poop.
But you can make ChickenPoopSalad….Sorry had to go there as it is in line with the start of your comment….MESSY =…U get it….
Mike you are 100% correct! I guess you would be to boring if you had a blog or was on the TV.
Seems the snow will be the far eastern areas, but since no accumulation worth noting anyway- no harm, no foul.
Darth Bubba has gained a lot of recruits this winter and the trend supports the Dark Side view of not much chance of much accumulating snow for the rest of winter. I think the trend IS the Force.
Wow, north Richmond and other areas around have totaled less than 4″ of snow over two winters. Not exactly a market for snow related products.
Darth–you need to extend your dome across the river. I’ve had about 16 inches of snow the past two winters in Lawrenceburg. π
You are known as the Rebel Zone π
Good response!
Latest ECWMF 15 day snowfall map for the US shows a swath of snow from West Coast to East Coast. Divided across the middle North with snow….South w/o snow. Guess what it shows over most of KY….A DOME….a big doughnut hole of white (on the map that is no snow). The GFS is much better showing up to 14 inches for the Ohio River counties….Come on people it is still winter. Don’t give up hope just yet. THINK POSITIVE…..THINK SNOW…..THINK old school trend buster….Have a great weekend everyone
Thanks Chris
Since the dreaded trend is the actual results, it is hard to refute what it is (more of Kentucky is now a low snow zone). For folks spinning and rationalizing we do not get big snows- we did:
77
78
80 (not sure about central Kentucky for that one)
81
82
84
88
89
91
93
96
98
Nothing much since then.
Point is we DID use to get big snows on a REGULAR basis. Still, in the big forest of time, those two decades are a tiny tree sprout. Perhaps that long period of snow was NOT regular….
By “big”, I mean a total of 8″ on the ground. Some of the events were over two days, but cold enough to keep the snow on the ground to add more.
The problem for me is that I lived in KY from 77 – 90 and got used to regular “big” snows as a kid. Moved back in 2014 with my own children to … The Great Wall of The KY River and snowlessness. I would for my kids to have what I had… But… they get all of June off school when I usually had to go until mid June it seemed. I could move, nah, the Dome would probably follow me.
Even Pinehurst, NC my home for a time is getting snow covering the ground this morning! They very rarely see snow! I’m glad they’re seeing it but GOOD GRIEF………!
Back to the future 2014?
Thanks, but no thanks. I’m doing some repairs to the old lawnmower on Monday and straightening things in the shed. Winter is a JOKE. Bring on spring. Anyone hanging their hopes on those ridiculous models are out to lunch.
Took my mower to the shop just the other day. It’s time folks. Get out of denial. Old man winter took another year off in Kentucky.
15 day…come on…Please
There is not quit in you, since the Bengals have an even longer “big snow” drought, yet you still keep going. Let me take the Darth glove off and give you a fist bump salute π
Ohio river counties have already had snow could care less
Andy, I have had a 2 a 1 a 1 a 1 a 1….Not much more than that here in Jeff. County.
thats 12x more than i have had π
Chris, thank you for taking the time to post your thoughts on this blog, and for allowing us to make comments. While I want to see a good snow as much as everyone else does, I realize that these are your thoughts, and not a set in stone forecast. Kentucky is a fickle state for winter weather, and often leaves us scratching our heads wondering how we miss the good snows.
I would love to see snow, as we have seen nearly nil this winter. But I realize that is not in your hands. Thanks for all you do here. Happy Saturday everyone and GO CATS!!!!
The Cats seem to be in step with our snow chances.
TIL soft hail or granular snow pellets are called “graupel”. Sadly, they won’t make for good beanbags.
http://blogs.wave3.com/.a/6a00d83452060169e2017c36e78e2a970b-pi
Judging by the numerous comments above, the natives are really getting restless.
Since Rolo hasn’t been posting much I will do it for him,
Move along folks nuttin to see here π
Ill call this Arctic when its April or July but this is common this time of year.
Yep. I think “arctic” i overused the past two years, for sure.
Because the earth has been trending warmer, 20-50 years from now, this “cold snap” will actually be one.
Depends on what data you want to believe if that is correct. The aggregate of data suggests it is flat. From a statistical standpoint, seems you have to take a longer period to extrapolate a real direction.
Just the winter before last was very cold. Though data can/should be objective, it is amazing how it is segmented to put in context to fit in any plethora of ways.
2011-2012 and 2012-2013 will go on record as the warmest consecutive winters in Lexington since 1949 and 1950. The snowfall has been below average, but not historically low thanks to two good events (March 2012; Late December 2012). If 2013-2014 is this warm, then we have a record unprecedented since 1872.
Were due, I wouldn’t doubt next year will be really bad with snow and ice.
No offense, Israel, we’ve been “due” since 1998. That’s a long time.
don’t know where you live,been a cold winter very normal!!
Pretty much sums up the snow for this year. We had a little more on two occasions, but not much!
http://sphotos-a.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-ash4/379216_4355842421134_975306902_n.jpg
This winter has never really shown up, the cats have never shown up, SPRING PLEASE show up soon?
Enjoying MId-30’s temps and partly cloudy skies on this “arctic” weekend.
Remember a week ago when this weekend was supposed to be a snow maker. It’s over folks. Let’s move on to warmer weather and spring. Really looking forward to CB saying it looks like warmer weather is coming. Tired of this in between weather. Forties and rain are getting old quick.
That algorithm has a finite life span of a few more weeks.
This winter is just like the same comments from the same people: whine, complain, moan, cry, b**ch, sob, grumple, lament, wimper, snivel, etc.
I know but really it’s a weird sort of “therapy” to come on here and throw out how p i s s e d off you are at mother nature so far this winter. Killing the messenger is probably adds to the therapy as well.
That suggests a strong correlation then to the actual weather, so an R Square of .99999 (that is pretty high). π
pouring the snow here!!!! Everything is turning white!!!!!
Time to throw it in guys. The sooner we accept that it winter was another no show we can move on. Next week looks to feature a couple storms moving north of us. After the warm up begins. Hopefully no drought this summer.
Words of Wisdom!
Site is loading much faster today- thanks to whomever tweaked whatever!
I am possibly the lone happy camper around these parts what with no accumulation today. Huzzah!
Nope — None in my part of Richmond. None to add to our 2 inches for the year.
You’re not the only one! While snow-lovers seem to dominate this board, I’m a warm weather fan. Still, I would not mind short-lived snow cover from time to time, especially this season as my area (Nashville TN) officially has had only an inch.
To add salt to the wounds of snow-lovers, several good snows have gone south of our latitude. Just today, Greenville/Spartanburg SC received about two inches. Little Rock had nearly a foot on Christmas day. Even San Angelo TX of all places had about three inches earlier this winter.
Live webcam of snow cover at Myrtle Beach SC. You can watch people taking pics of snow on the palm trees π
http://www.earthcam.com/usa/southcarolina/myrtlebeach/
Chris some people who I will not named ok it’s Wxman is saying we could have the same setup as we had last spring,he said we could have this in march and April Chris please tell me this is not the case….
WKYT weather tonight is calling for 50 on thursday. What happened to the cold air being in place when the storm rolls our way Thursday? Just curious.