Happy Saturday and welcome to the last weekend of February. We will be enjoying some decent weather over the next couple of days as high pressure takes control. That will change in a big way early next week as Old Man Winter flexes some late season muscle.
Temps today will run in the 40s for highs with a mix of sun and clouds. A storm system will continue to skirt to our south and east and may deliver a light shower across the far southeastern part of the commonwealth.
Sunday looks good with readings warming into the high 40s to near 50 with mostly sunny skies.
That brings us to Monday and the development of a strong storm system just to our west. This will be a potent system that will send us a blast of mild air and gusty winds Monday. Showers and thunderstorms will then work in by the afternoon and evening and continue into Monday night.
That’s when MUCH colder air surges in here for Tuesday. That means a mix of rain and snow will be likely as colder winds really crank up. Take a look at how quickly temps crash on the NAM…
That could make things a little interesting around here on Tuesday as rain changes to snow. Winds are going to howl during this time.
This system will develop into a massive cutoff area of low pressure that deepens as we go through the middle and end of next week. If you want to see the definition of an anomalous trough, check this out…
That is one heck of a deep trough across the eastern part of the country with a MASSIVE block to the north of it. That keeps the trough in place with a deepening upper level low spinning in place…
That funnels very cold air in here and all the way into the deep south and could lead to frost and freezing conditions into Florida. That’s also a pattern to produce rounds of snow and snow showers and very gusty winds around here. I will be super surprised if most of the state doesn’t have snow on the ground at some point next week into next weekend.
Such an anomalous pattern often produces something big, so keep that in mind as we go through the next few weeks.
I may have another update later today. Have a great Saturday and take care.
Well at least this winter has been predictable rain followed by cold air and a dusting of that of snow
I think we need to redefine winter around here, since it ain’t what we used to know. The term “winter” has evolved into a hollow meaning now with little real chance of decent snow for much of the state.
Perhaps “mehnter” is a better word.
Just when you are ready for a warm up and spring. Winter decides to show up! ” NEXT WEEK ” .
HHHMMMM have we seen this before…
Mehnter
Much like children giving away their meager Christmas gifts to those even less fortunate, I’ll happily wave my hypothetical snow on to Andy Rose for the coming week since his zero is worse than my 1.5″ for the winter.
Btw, “snow on the ground” is a really low bar to hit as snow can thinly cover the ground without being reasonably measured.
Looks like a very interesting weather week ahead of us! It’s weird to think that things are going to get much colder around here as we get closer to March. It should be the other way around! Of course, March was when we had our biggest snow last year. March 5th 2012: 3.8
inches of snow in my front hard here in Lawrenceburg.
Hope everyone has a fantastic weekend!
Will be ironic if KY’s biggest snow of the season comes so late. Am hopeful for a 4″+ snow and then it can be spring.
Thanks, Chris. I wouldn’t be surprised to see us get a big snow at some point with this set up. I have seen it happen before. Been a long time, but it is possible. Today and tomorrow sound pretty good for February. I think one of the reasons we feel like it should be more springlike is because that is the pattern we have seen for so long. Temps have really been a tad below normal, but at the same time, 60s would be a tad above normal for now as well. At least this winter had behaved closer to normal temp wise. Have a great Saturday, everyone, and GO CATS!!
Come big or go home! Snow or Spring…let’s have it!
It figures that we would have to sit through a whole winter of 40 degrees and rain and then the cold and snow want to make an appearance when it’s supposed to warm up. What bad luck to have when it finally becomes the time of year that you can get out and do something (avg. highs 50’s), and then this happens. Probably wouldn’t be so depressing if winter would have shown up when it was supposed to.
i love snow but i am afraid it will come when we dont want it, we have travel plans for Spring break which starts the end of March, We really want to go on our trip and have decent temps!!!!!!!!
A high of fifty degrees in March is below normal. Temperate in the twenties would be like single digits in January. I would be surprise if we are living in a deep freezer for two days or more.
one big wet 2 foot snowfall would be a fitting end to the nonexistent winter..Know it ain’t gonna happen but would bring back memories of how things use to be…Ah yes,memories of the sound of trees ripping apart,the blue flashes in the distant of transformer’s blowing,no electric for weeks,shoveling the driveway and the roof,building igloos…Ah yes,memories of days gone by…
The reason why were getting into this winter-like pattern is because the INFAMOUS OMEGA BLOCKING PATTERN is setting up. I’m sure well have some type of accumulating snow. I would be surprised like CB if we get none. Here’s a link to omega blocking pattern and snow chances.
http://fox41blogs.typepad.com/wdrb_weather/2013/02/heading-into-a-cold-period-with-light-snow-snow-shower-chances.html
Only talking light snow chances in that article, so not like a big killa’ snow coming our way.
I think that too but wouldn’t doubt to squeeze out an inch, then again, don’t get your hopes up, especially this “winter.”
March 1st is Friday…..I would be excited if this forecast was in January. Too many hollow forecasts this year….it’s like one of those chocolate Easter bunnies….you know it’s supposed to be hollow, but just once….
Can you believe it’s been a year since my town of West Liberty was obliterated by the EF-3 tornado? Coming back strong though….we had snow 3 days after the tornado so this time of year is prime time.
Super surprised tells me that CB is setting up to take a running kick at the football. Good luck.
The last two biggest snows here in Lawrenceburg happened in March. March 5, 2012 and I think it was March 7 or 8 2008. Why is anyone surprised we would have our biggest snow in March?
the thing here that will NOT let this week be a BUST is the BLOCKING!! its happening and that going allow cold and snow to happen. aint noway round it folks.
I see several inches on ground this time next weekend. 5 plus inches for WIDESPREAD area. like i said THE BLOCKING not going be a bust so this will happen.
What kept you Rolo?
Would really have to be extra cold to put snow on the ground this time of year, the sun is getting stronger by the day, Maybe a nite time snow would stick?
For it to stick in the daytime it has to be coming down at least at a moderate rate. I have seen many daytime March snows. If the temps are in the low 30’s it can stick.
like invite WYMT NEWS fans join on weekends as our own SHANE SMITH is the new weekend weather guy, he has did awesome so far and just explain this weeks system in simple terms, even a CAVEMAN could understood.
Shane been a BLOG regular as well as working in WVA Market as well.
thought some here that live in WYMT area might not have saw thew new WEEKEND news with Shane as the WXMAN.
not to be with Shawn WXman thought Rolo may wanna clarify next time ole buddy
ROLO took a 2 week break, that all that was needed as I am a ADDICT, I admit it it. I need help.
WW meetings just dont help, nothing but the BLOG, only way ill be leaving the BLOG is JAIL, or DEATH.
well heck i get on a computer at alot jails too, so that leaves DEATH.
ROLO….Blocking plus PNA is going POSITIVE…That usually bolds well for Kentucky……Have not had that in a while…..We will see.
Our snow chances and the Cats making the Dance have one thing in common: meh.
Missouri is 18-1 at home.. 1-6 away.. I’m not impressed.
Loving the warm weather I actually hate to see it go away but if snow is in the forecast then I’m happy and it does matter and the Cats will make the big dance and if I see meh one more time i’m going to vommick as my late great papaw would say LOL