Good Friday and welcome to November. The month is off and running with leftover showers rolling out of the east and southeast as near normal temps settle in for the day. Once into the weekend, the numbers surge once again with a much more active pattern slowly setting up.
As expected, Halloween rain rolled across the state making for a gloomy trick or treating for many kiddos. These showers hang around early today for the south and southeast, but this should clear out by the afternoon.
Here are your radars to say bye-bye to the showers…
As skies become partly sunny from north to south, temps range from the upper 50s to mid 60s depending on where you are.
Clouds will filter back in on Saturday as temps rise into the 65-70 degree range. These clouds are on the leading edge of another very mild surge that takes our temps deep into the 70s Sunday and Monday.
This leading edge may also be accompanied by a few showers zipping through the west and north on Sunday…
Another potent Plains storm system spins up early in the new week and makes a run toward the Great Lakes on Election Day. That drags a cold front through here with showers and a few thunderstorms increasing from west to east on Election Day into Wednesday…
Seasonable temps blow in behind that system as we watch the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico for a potential tropical system or two. The National Hurricane Center is watching a couple of disturbances that may develop over the next week…
What happens with all that is likely to impact the overall pattern across the lower 48.
As one would expect, the models are too far out to be of any great help on specifics, but they’re do have a busy overall look. They all show a potential threat from the tropics, as well.
Here’s the GFS from Wednesday through the following weekend…
The Canadian during the same time…
The EURO AI is really cranking out some huge storm systems…
Have a fantastic Friday and take care.
Thanks Chris. According to the Kentucky Mesonet we received 0.29 inches of Rain in the past 48 hours. Winds were not a factor, because we still have power. Don’t care for a Summer like weekend in November. I’m ready for Winter like weather, but I keep reading that Winter weather ( Snow ) for our area will be a no show this coming season. UGH !
Enjoy the Day Everyone !
.21” at the airport, but only .17” here (although our PWS seemed to struggle with initial rainfall carried by significant winds).
Not sure what type of PWS you have, but my Ambient Weather setup was under-reporting precip, and the problem turned out to be some small leaves in the rain gauge’s sensor.
I just looked at my Rain gauge and dump out 0.35. ” That amount won’t matter after this weekend is over.
Here’s an article on La Nina and Snow. I hope I don’t upset the Snow Lovers and I’m one of them, but I really am upset that my area will not have any exciting Snowstorms to track this coming Winter.
https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/enso/revisiting-la-nina-and-winter-snowfall
My PWS near BG recorded 0.50 inches of rain yesterday afternoon and evening, which fortunately fell slowly for a change, giving it a chance to soak in rather than run off. The peak wind gust was 30 mph. The two tropical waves should not pose a threat to the US because of substantial shear and a strong upper level flow out of the southwest. The Gulf system bears close watching, because there is not much shear, and upper air winds are relatively light. But with sea surface temperatures in the Gulf near 90, whatever develops could intensify rapidly.
NOAA’S probable forecast for November. Looks like no change in temperature and precipitation. Same ole same ole as the past several months. NOAA says that the continuation is primarily due to Man Made Global Warming. I believe that Man and his actions are the cause for the change. Here’s the link, if you want to view it :
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/lead14/