Good Friday, folks. Our Black Friday is kicking off that crazy Christmas shopping season with a few flakes and some very cold temps. This is part of a cold pattern to end November and begin December and it’s looking like we make the change with a light snowfall over the weekend.

Flurries and a few snow showers are possible out there early today, especially across central and eastern Kentucky. Winds are gusty and temps are cold and the combination of the two means some teens for wind chills early this morning then again later this evening.

Saturday starts with wind chills in the teens again for parts of the region. Clouds will then increase as a light snowmaker zips our way from west to east, arriving during the evening hours. This brings a corridor of light accumulation snows along for the ride.

This will have a pretty sharp cutoff on the north and south sides of it, so the task of the forecast is to pinpoint where this corridor sets up. On that note, I don’t have any changes to the First Call for Snowfall map…

The models really like areas around the Interstate 64 corridor and north for the best snows with southern Kentucky having some issues getting in on any flake action.

The GFS is similar to my call but has some spots pushing the 2″ mark…

The new EURO has a stripe exceeding the 2″ mark…

 

That’s closer to what the Short Range Canadian and ICON models continue to show…

Arctic air behind this sends our wind chills way down there with single digit wind chills possible Monday and Tuesday mornings. This animation goes from 7am Monday through 7am Tuesday…

Another arctic front follows that up by Wednesday or Thursday, opening the gates for several systems to drop in from the northwest with more arctic cold into the following weekend. I’m also looking at the week of December 9th for the potential for something “threatable”.

Here’s the GFS showing the active pattern from the middle of this coming week through the middle of the following week…

The below normal numbers just keep rocking and rolling during this time…

I’ll have another update or two later today so check back. Don’t forget to click on our Kentucky Weather Cams to watch the flakes flying across different parts of the state. Here are your tracking tools for the first blast of winter…

Have a great Friday and take care.