Good Friday, everyone. It’s an incredibly cold first week of December, but the cold is about to ease as we head into the weekend. It’s going to come roaring back for a while later next week and it will be introduced by a couple of systems, one of which may produce winter weather.
Temps this morning are 10-15 degrees with single digit wind chills. A few locations may even see the actual temp hitting the high singles. By the afternoon, temps rebound into the upper 20s to middle 30s with lots of sunshine.
Saturday is another great looking day as temps make a run at 40-45 in most areas. Winds start to gust up again and that keeps our wind chills on the cold side. This animation shows the numbers from 8am through 11pm Saturday…
Sunday temps turn much milder as we hit the 50s ahead of a rainmaker moving in for Sunday night and Monday. This drags a front in here and this thing slows down in our vicinity with another wave or two of low pressure developing along it. Exactly where the front is when these lows develop will be the key on if we can get rain, snow, a combo of the two, or only a few snow showers.
The models continue to develop the potential winter weather making low a bit too far east for anything appreciable around here Wednesday and Thursday.
Here’s the EURO showing the late Sunday rain and showing the mid-week system blowing up to our east…
The GFS is actually fairly similar but has just a little more snow potential in eastern Kentucky…
The Canadian is also riding this system too far east…
If you want snow from this system, you better hope this front hangs around long enough for that low to develop farther west. This used to be a thing with the models in years past. Remember the whole west trend we used to see?
There’s been a marked change in the final seasonal models out at the start of winter. The brand new EURO Seasonal for December through February offers a much colder look than any of the runs leading up to winter…
The old run from November looked like this…
The Canadian SIPS Seasonal Model for December through February is even colder…
Check out what the prior run had…
Quite the change, eh?
I’ll update things later today. Have a good one and take care.
Thanks Chris. The current temperature here in Maple is 14 degrees. As you know I don’t like Cold and Dry weather, and a high heating bill. Glad it’s going to warm up to above freezing in the next few days ahead of the predicted rain showers. The models seem to be in agreement on the next storm system moving too far east to give our state a decent Snow. I remember we use to have a Colorado Low and Texas Pan handle Low, and in weak El Nino years would produce great Snows in our area. Best example December 1969. Training Snowstorms through the entire Winter 1969 – 70.
Have a Great and Safe Day Everyone !
I long for the day this happens again, I was born in 90 and the biggest storms I have seen were when I was still a young boy. I would love to see an entire month with snow on the ground once before my time on earth is done. I’m afraid I would have to move somewhere north for that to happen. I sure do love my ol Kentucky though, so I doubt that ever happens.
As you get older 70 years plus, not liking the extremes in temperature and Snow will become more apparent.
My PWS near Bowling Green recorded a low of 8°F this morning. According to climatologist Judah Cohen, the cold surges we’ve experienced recently are due to a phenomenon knownas a “stretched” Polar Vortex, and he is forecasting a similar incursion around the third week of the month. If the storm track
…would cooperate, we could end up with more than a few festive flakes around here!
Before moving to Kentucky in 1994, I lived in Pennsylvania for 17 years, and I particularly remember the winter of 1993-94. Starting the week between Christmas and New Year’s, we had a snow-storm every week except one in February. The biggest was a Nor’easter in mid January that dropped 34 inches of snow. I ended the season with nearly with 6 feet of shoveled snow on either side of my driveway, and the last of it stuck around to early May!
I’ve experience many Snowstorms, but nothing like that.
I don’t like the cold without the snow. I can’t remember did Chris make a BOLD prediction this year??? He usually does.
I don’t know. I looked for his Winter prediction, but I couldn’t find it. If it was on X or Face Book, which I wouldn’t know how to join because I’m internet ignorant. I wish he posted the forecast on the KWC Blog.
Schroeder, here’s a link to the forecast:
https://www.wkyt.com/video/2024/11/21/chris-baileys-winter-weather-forecast/
Thanks Joe for the video. I agree with Chris’s Winter forecast.