Good Wednesday and Merry Christmas!! Our milder setup is about to turn very wet and even stormy, but big changes are set to follow. Those changes lead us into what may very well become a harsh winter pattern once we flip the calendar to 2025.

Our Christmas Day is a mild one with upper 40s north to mid 50s south and west. A few showers may show up from time to time, especially in the north and west. This is NOT even close to being a washout of a holiday.

Here are your radars to follow whatever goes up out there today…

Three big storm systems are set to impact our weather in this final week of the year. The first arrives Friday, the second comes late Saturday and early Sunday with the final storm moving through on New Year’s Eve.

The weekend systems will bring rounds of heavy rain and the threat for a few strong thunderstorms into the region…

A general 1″-3″ of rain likely during this time with the chance for higher amounts to show up and some of the models are picking up on the potential for too much rain…

Local high water issues may be noted.

Much colder air comes in behind the New Year’s Eve system and that may even lead to some flakes on New Year’s Day…

This sets the stage for a pattern that quickly goes right back to winter and then into a harsh winter mode for much of the eastern half of the country.

The EURO weeklies have not budged one bit in weeks as they continue to depict a deep trough across the eastern part of the country. The 30 day mean that encompasses all but one day in January looks like this on the 100 member EURO Weeklies…

The single run of the EURO Weeklies shows an even deeper trough in that same 30 day window…

With the cold comes a very active pattern that should persist into the start of February. The average snowfall from the 100 member EURO Weeklies through the first week of February…

For fun, here’s the control run…

Again… That’s for fun.

Since we didn’t get a White Christmas, let’s let Bing and the gang try to fill the void…

I’ll have another update later today. Merry Christmas and take care.