Good Sunday to one and all. Our weekend severe weather maker has mostly come and gone with much colder winds kicking in out there today. That colder trend is something that really kicks in later in the week with even the chance for a few flakes.
In the overall scheme of things, the weekend severe weather was one of the rare underachievers we’ve seen in recent years. NO ONE will complain about that as we have seen way too many weather disasters in Kentucky.
I started this by saying the threat has MOSTLY come and gone, but there’s one more chance for a few strong or locally severe storms this morning into the early afternoon across eastern Kentucky. That’s where the Storm Prediction Center still has a low-end risk for severe storms…
Flooding is an issue across some areas of Kentucky to start the day and some of this may be rather nasty across areas of southern and south-central Kentucky. A few spots down here have picked up 5″ of rain.
Gusty showers continue to blow in from the northwest as temps drop through the day into the evening. Temps are in the 30s tonight as skies slowly clear. There’s even the chance for a few snowflakes to fly later tonight across the east. The future radar from the Hi Res NAM shows this…
That ends early, setting us up with a mix of sun and clouds with 50s for highs on Monday.
Tuesday and Wednesday may hit 70 degrees on a strong southwest wind ahead of a strong cold front dropping in from the northwest. That has even colder air crashing in behind it and there’s the chance for a few flurries or snow showers by Thursday.
Watch how we go from showers and storms to snowflakes within just a few hours on the GFS…
You can see how that’s followed up by another chilly shower maker a few days later with more cold air behind that.
If we go back to the first system Wednesday night and Thursday, check out how those wind chills on this animation from 8pm Wednesday to 8am Thursday…
This cold shot is part of a back and forth setup that keeps showing up on the Euro Ensembles into the final week of the month…
I’m still expecting a very active rest of the spring with above normal rainfall and above normal severe weather. The GFS Extended shows the bullseye of action right on top of us through the middle of April…
This is echoed by the EURO weeklies that go a little deeper into April…
Another update comes your way later today. Until then, I have you guys all set to track today’s changing weather…
Current watches
Possible Watch Areas
Make it a sensational Sunday and take care.
The Bowling Green area escaped the first round of severe weather early Saturday morning, but made up for it during the day on Saturday, receiving 3.91 inches of rain over a 12 hour period. As a result , Central Warren County has experienced widespread flooding, causing the NWS to issue a Flood Warning, which remains in effect. My PWS also recorded a peak wind gust of 42mph.
A fast-moving line of severe storms went through the Chicago Metro Area around midnight Saturday morning, producing damaging straight-line winds and three weak EF-0 tornadoes in the Western Suburbs.
The high temperature on Friday at O’Hare Airport was 79 degrees, just two degrees shy of the record for the date. It’s currently snowing and 32 degrees here in the SW Suburbs this early Sunday afternoon, with around an inch of slushy accumulation.