Good Saturday and welcome to another winner of a weather day. The weather over the past week is about as good as you can get in Kentucky. It doesn’t matter what season we are talking… the stuff we are having is tough to beat. My advice is to get out and soak it up… big changes are in the cards for next week and beyond.
Highs today will return to the mid and upper 70s under mostly sunny skies. Some increase in clouds will be noted from west to east as a cold front moves in. That front will deliver a scattered shower or thunderstorm across the region on Sunday. Many of the models are showing the best rain chances across the east. The GFS is among them…
That front washes out across the area and that means we won’t see much cool air behind it. Temps for Sunday will be cooler because of the clouds and showers.
Highs for Monday will return into the low and mid 70s as winds gust up from the southwest. These winds are ahead of our big plains storm that will usher in a significant pattern change. That storm heads toward the Great Lakes by Wednesday and will throw a scattered storm chance our way by late Tuesday. The highest rain and storm chances will be Wednesday into Thursday as a cold front crosses the state.
A wave of low pressure may develop and ride overtop of us during this time. That could enhance our rainfall. MUCH COLDER air is lurking behind that front and will move in here for the second half of the week. That unleashes a pretty darn cold pattern for much of the country. The first shot arrives Thursday and Friday…
The next shot coming in behind it next weekend is likely to be even colder…
You often hear me talk about snow cover in the fall and how I like seeing big increases during October across the Northern Hemisphere. That snow cover through early October is the 7th highest in recorded history. Take a look at the other years on the list of highest snow cover through the same time…
As you can see, the following winters were skewed cold and snowy around here. The one thing that jumps off the chart is December. 1989 was the coldest ever… 2000 was the 2nd coldest December on record with 1983 in the top 10. 1977 was one of the worst winters on record around here and 2002 was no slouch. The odd ducks of the bunch include 1972 and 1973. We went from a strong El Nino to a strong La Nina during that time and that may explain why they went south.
Have a great day and take care.
Great day at Keeneland yesterday, love this weather, I’m sure this wont last much longer but I’m soaking it up now!
As expected, showers/t-showers are weakening as they enter western KY/TN. Perhaps at most, just a few brief sprinkles further east the next 24 hours or so in otherwise great weather conditions. Enjoy while you can! As CB has mentioned, big changes into the following week.