Good Monday, everyone. Rounds of strong to severe storms continue to target parts of the state today as our June pattern remains active. As a matter of fact, it’s a pattern that is more typical of spring than what we actually had back in the spring.
Severe storms are pushing across the region very early this morning and may be producing damaging winds and flooding rains. Don’t sleep on the local high water threat this morning across central Kentucky.
After a bit of a break, our boundary gets active once again as it slides farther to the south. A few strong or severe storms may fire up this afternoon and evening, mainly across the south and east. Here’s a look at today’s Severe Weather Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center…
The tornado risk is much lower today…
Pockets of damaging winds may show up, with a low-end risk for areas of large hail…
Cool and calm weather moves in behind this mess for Tuesday and Wednesday with lows that can drop deep into the 50s again…
This is part of another well below normal temperature week across the entire region…
More in the way of showers and storms build Thursday into the start of the upcoming weekend…
Temps do try to toast up a bit later in the weekend but additional waves of thunderstorms look top drop in here from the northwest through the long 4th of July weekend…
As always, I leave you with your daily tracking toys…
Current watches
Possible Watch Areas
Make it a magnificent Monday and take care.
It’s not “well below normal” at all.
Thanks Chris. I found out that this current weather pattern, involving a very unusually strong High Pressure System over Greenland along with a negative NAO is continuing. Unheard of for our Summer months. This happens in ( December January and February ) The weather patterns are all wacked out globally.
Adding to the above, the atmosphere is behaving in ways that often make historical analogs less reliable than they once were.
After missing most of the rain last night, morning storms seemed to target Lexington. I just checked and KLEX received over 2 inches. This means (at least the airport) is approaching EIGHT inches of rain this month.
it’s so funny, the yearly total is still BELOW normal even after this, and yet we must be out of the drought at this point.
Mark, we miss out on the rain completely here where I live in Taylor County. Last week’s storm, however we received 2.00. ” all the crops look great. I hope it doesn’t turn off Hot and Dry in July ?
Mark. I recorded 1.85 for today and 7.16 for the month so far. SE side of Lexington.
Here’s the drought monitor from last week link : )
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/
The SW Suburbs of Chicago received 2.29 inches of soaking rain Sunday afternoon and night. No thunder or lightning, just a continuous rain for hours and hours. The NWS office in the SW Suburbs has received 8.57 inches of rain for the month. O’Hare Airport in Chicago has gotten only about half this total so far, as the heavy rains have focused over the SW and W Suburbs.
Under a sun/cloud mix, it’s a pleasant 72 degrees here, with breezy NE winds off Lake Michigan. This will be our ninth day in a row of temps under 80 degrees, very rare for June.
Mike, not a drop of rain here. Same old pattern we have had all Spring. I blame the blocking high pressure in Greenland plus a negative NAO.
Mike, Here’s a weather site that you may enjoy : )
https://www.ventusky.com/41.648;-88.09
Latest on what may happen with the developing El Nino this Fall and Winter : )
https://climateimpactcompany.com/daily-feature-intense-positive-phase-global-atmospheric-angular-momentum-regime-launched-late-june-characteristic-of-evolving-el-nino-climate-2/
What’s intriguing in 2026 is that some of the atmosphere indicators appear to be responding rather quickly. A strongly positive GLAAM signal suggest the atmosphere may be coupling with the Pacific Ocean, rather than warming remaining isolated. Meteorologists often look for that coupling because a true El Nino is both an ocean and atmospheric phenomenon.