Good Friday to one and all. We have a great looking weekend ahead of us, but the weather world is buzzing with the potential for snow next week. A wintry blast will sweep into much of the country for the middle and end of the week and I expect it to bring some snow our way.
Short term: It’s nice through the weekend with sunny days and clear, cold nights. That about covers it.
All eyes continue to be on the Tuesday through Thursday period for next week. This is when a shot of true winter weather invades the eastern half of the country.
The European Model continues to show a big storm developing from this pattern as it closes off the trough swinging across the Ohio Valley from Tuesday into Wednesday…
As of now, it is the only model showing a closed low solution, though previous runs of the GFS and Canadian have shown something similar.
The European brings a strong arctic front in here early Tuesday and produces a nice band of snow along and behind the boundary…
It then develops a major winter storm just off the east coast and pummels areas to our east and southeast. Check out the latest snowfall map from the European…
This is the 4th run in a row of with the European showing a major storm system impacting somewhere in the east. Each run differs on the evolution and placement of the storm. That certainly doesn’t mean it has the right idea with a storm, but it’s hard to ignore.
The GFS shows the passage of the arctic front with a band of light snow…
It does not show a storm anywhere in the east, although it had been showing something up until the past day or so. The history of the GFS has been for it to show a system… lose it… then find it again within 2 or 3 days.
What do I think happens? It’s still early in the game, but I am pretty confident of the arctic front delivering, at least, a period of light snow Tuesday. If we can get a storm to form to our east, that would enhance those snows and even give us the chance to put some on the ground into Wednesday. IF!
This is one heck of a shot of cold air coming in here for Tuesday and Wednesday. Highs in the low and mid 30s with lows approaching 20 by Wednesday morning may be noted. If the European is right… those numbers would be even lower.
I will have updates as needed. Have a great day and take care.
Ibiwisi
Are we really going to have to read this in all replies its not even winter yet
Ibiwisi….it is easy to type and to have wintry weather this early it bolds well.
I like it as it is what I stated to myself numerous times last winter. Most of Kentucky is so overdue for a cold and snowy winter. Just not getting my hopes up.
There are some who are putting that in every post and its not necessary
I never wanna see a day over 40 degrees
I’d rather have it 30, 20, 10, 5
Let it freeeezeeee….
BOO GFS! Which Euro model run is CB showing? This mornings or yesterday’s afternoon run?
That would be this mornings..Yesterday had alot of ky,especially eastern parts some big snow totals..As you can see the latest run shifted more east…All we can hope for is the Euro is on to something and not on something..lol…and of course shifts back west around tuesday..
I’m an optimist! Time to order my snow tires for the ole’commuter bike!
Whenever their is a chance of snow in KY the models go nuts, why do computer models have such a hard time with snow, someone needs to find a cure for these sick computers!!
What does ibiwisi mean please? I read this blog daily and do not remember seeing that.
I believe it when I see I. That’s what it stands for
It not I
The latest run of the GFS is showing the typical realistic numbers .1-.5 of a inch from the Louisville corridor and points east. Basically a dusting im sure the models will change but in reality im saying a dusting to an inch at best. The bigger story will be the cold air that intrudes. Albeit short lived it will be a shock to the system.
When will the Euro cave in??..Today’s or tonight’s runs should stick a fork in it..Still nice to see high pressure showing up this early..Last year it was pretty much non-existent…
Why are those snow statistics posted on our NWS main page today incorrect? Not sure about the other data they speak of, but the latest deepest snow is wrong. There was a freak 5 or 6 inch snow in mid/late May in central KY. I can’t remember which year but I vividly remember reading about it and seeing a snowfall map. In fact, it was a write up they did on “this day in history” on their very own site……
The only good way to look at these winter models is about 2 hours before an event….after they show heavy snow, lose it, see it again, then if there’s enough moisture for a big one it pulls in 1. Dry air or 2. Warm air. Thus another bust. I hope nobody pays money for these models.
Well looks like the Euro finally caved..Liar,Liar pants on fire… None the less impressive cold shot next week… Euro actually came in a little colder this run…Hopefully a sign of things to come…
Can you be a little more specific than just saying the Euro caved? Thx
no longer the blockbuster snow storm it was showing earlier..More in line with the GFS..
Gotcha! Thanks a lot.
I think if central KY gets an inch we will be lucky, but I’ll take it so early in the season!
Why would anyone be shocked by this? Inch or less. Nothing to be excited about.
Just had a chance to read the blog. Wow! the “what ifs” abound! I think we may see some light snow, but I really do not look for much accumulation here. Of course, we have had early November snow before….but its been a while. Guess we will just have to wait and see what happens. Thanks, Chris for the forecast for the upcoming weekend! Lots of football this weekend and basketball, too!
Everyone have a great Friday and for tonight GO CATS!!!! and then for tomorrow…GO CATS!!! and GO BLUE RAIDERS!!!!! 😀
LMK not impressed at all with snow chances in the afternoon forecast discussion.
Chris seems not so excited about snow chances next week on TV today, oh well it’s early, Bringit when it counts in late December and January! GO Big Blue tonight!