Good Tuesday everyone. Temps across much of the state really took off on Monday and a big reason for that is the dry ground we have out there. We take a quick look at that and let you know if we are going to be getting some stuff to fall from the sky anytime soon.

When talking about temps during the summer and early fall months… soil moisture plays a huge roll in determining where afternoon temps wind up. With a wet ground and lush vegetation… temps often come in cooler than they normally would with a certain air mass. The opposite is the case when we have a dry ground… and that is what much of the region currently has.

Temps around here Monday were a GREAT illustration of how soil moisture impacts temps. Highs hit 90 across the northern part of the state as readings across the south only hit the low 80s. Take a look at the rainfall departure across the state for the past 30 days and you will see exactly what i’m talking about…

I don’t think I have a lot more that needs to be said about that as the map really sums it up quite well.

Today should see something similar playing out in terms of temps…

The thing that will make today and Wednesday a bit more tricky will be a better chance of seeing some clouds in here as a weak front stalls out just to our north. There is even the smallest chance for a stray shower or storm across the north during this time.

A stronger system will move in here later Thursday into very early Friday. Low pressure will move across the northern Ohio Valley and will drag a cold front across the region. This looks to once again be a rather moisture starved system that only manages to produce some scattered showers and thunderstorms. It is a rather vigorous low so I will be watching to see if it can spawn some strong storms. Here is the NAM for Thursday afternoon…

I admit… the pattern has had the look of one that wants to go wetter around here… but it refuses to pull the trigger. Let’s hope it can get a itchy trigger finger soon.

The tropics continue to crank up with powerful Hurricane Igor leading the charge. Here is the latest on what is going on in the Atlantic basin…

TC Activity

Here is the latest on Igor from the National Hurricane Center…

[Image of 5-day forecast and coastal areas under a warning or a watch]

Have a great Tuesday and take care.