Good Wednesday everyone. The September weather we have been yapping about for a while was certainly with us Tuesday as a lot of areas stayed in the 70s for highs. If you are a fan of the pleasant temps… we have more coming your way later in the week as the coolest temps since May are likely across the region. 
If you like the hot temps instead… hang tight as we will throw some more of the hot stuff your way next week.
Today will find temps warming into the low to mid 80s for much of the area ahead of a cold front moving in from the west. This front really looks like a true autumn front that one would see in late September instead of the middle of August. It will be fairly moisture starved meaning we will only run the risk of an isolated shower or storm later today into the evening hours.
The temps behind the front will be the main story as readings in the upper 70s will be common for much of the area Thursday and Friday with partly sunny skies. Clear skies and low dewpoints Thursday night will allow temps to drop off to readings we haven’t seen since the middle of May. Low 50s will be common across most areas and we run the risk of seeing a high 40 in some of the cooler spots. Readings may approach record lows for Friday morning in a few spots.
Here is what the GFS shows for Friday morning…
Ahhhhhhhh… a little taste of fall to kick off the weekend! 
Too bad the rest of the weekend won’t be as much like fall. Temps will be returning to the 80s for most areas with more in the way of sunshine. Next week will bring hotter and more humid weather back into the picture. A heat ridge will be building just to our north and that is where the core of the heat will be. Still… we will get in on some toasty temps… but those will NOT approach the readings from a few weeks ago.
The one thing to watch for that can keep the temps down some will be an influx of moisture working in from the western Gulf of Mexico. This may bring enough juice in here for some scattered showers and storms for the first part of the week. The Canadian model shows this for later Monday…
The tropics are kicking it up right now as we have Hurricane Danielle and a couple of areas that may develop over the next few days…
Danielle still looks like a storm that will stay out in the Atlantic Ocean as it misses the east coast of the US. I will say that a few model runs Tuesday tried to bring New England into play… but those don’t have a lot of support right now. Here is the latest track from the National Hurricane Center…
![[Image of 5-day forecast and coastal areas under a warning or a watch]](https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT06/refresh/AL0610W5_NL_sm2+gif/023114W5_NL_sm.gif)
I know there is a ton of interest in my thoughts for the upcoming fall and winter… just ask my email inbox! I will be talking more and more about the months ahead as we roll into September.
Have a great Wednesday and take care.
Chris you aren’t the only one looking at winter already. I started trying to figure out analog years for this year yesterday!
Let’s hope the 2010’s continue with the snows. 2 feet in Lexington last season was above average. It is strange when you think about it. We went from 2000 to 2009 with typically 5 to 15 inches each season, then the decade changes and we have a cold snowy winter. Maybe it’s a new pattern
These pleasant temps sure are a breath of fresh air at the end of August. I won’t mind the heat rolling back in next week, though. I am anxious to hear Chris’ winter forecast, and here’s hoping he says it is going to be a warm one!
This Winter will be IMPOSSIBLE to figure out. The overall pattern this year has been nuts with lots of records and lots of “firsts”. Finding any true analog will be hard, and accurately making a seasonal outlook will be impossible (and on a normal year it’s almost impossible).
Having said that, we ARE still in Summer and I refuse to think about Winter. That is nothing more than wishing your life away. I’m enjoying today. And today it’s gorgeous!
Amen!
Winter is going to be mavericky!!!
You betcha!!!
Mavericky as in Maverick at CP? LOL
That is what I think of every time I see Maverick. If winter will be Mavericky maybe it means we are going to get very cold and get a ton of snow like they do in Northern Ohio. Would make me happy!