Monthly Archives: January 2013

Thursday Evening Thoughts

Good Thursday evening. My thoughts from earlier remain unchanged as we track a squall line of snow into the state this evening. This will cause some significant travel issues into the overnight hours as whiteout conditions develop for a time.

Here’s the latest on this quick hitter:

Winter W A Period 1

 Some other thoughts:

- Arctic air sends our temps close to 10 degrees early Friday morning. Gusty winds will make it feel 0 to -10. Highs Friday will range from the upper teens to low 20s.

- Snow chances for the weekend are increasing as two systems dive in from the northwest. Several inches will be possible for parts of central and eastern Kentucky.

Have a great evening and take care.

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Winter Weather Advisory

Good Thursday afternoon, gang. Snow showers and squalls continue to cause issues across the state today. Several spots have already picked up a half to one inch and it snowed hard enough to cover roads for a time. That trend will continue through the afternoon.

An arctic cold front will sweep in here this evening into the overnight. This front will have a band of moderate to heavy snow along it. I’m looking at this setup and wondering if we can get some thundersnow out of it. There’s a lot of lift on the nose of this front and that can sometimes spell thunder and lightning. Winds will also be very gusty and blowing and drifting snow is a good possibility.

Widespread 1″-2″ snows will accompany this band. Local amounts of 3″ will be possible.

A Winter Weather Advisory is now out for much of central and eastern Kentucky…

Warnings

Additional snow showers and flurries will be possible on Friday as arctic air keeps temps in the high teens and low 20s.

More snow is likely over the weekend.

Have a great afternoon and take care.

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Old Man Winter Fights Back

Good Thursday, everyone. Winter continues to fight back into the bluegrass state and will bring a round of arctic air and a few shots of snow. This will make for a perfect ending to a wild week of weather.

Our day is starting with snow showers and flurries with some light accumulation for some. Temps are much colder with readings down into the low and middle 20s. Keep an eye on black ice for that morning commute. Highs today will top out in the upper 20s and low 30s.

A clipper works our way this evening into tonight. This will bring a swath of light snow to much of the state. This looks like a decent little snow maker that will be blown around by arctic winds. A coating to an inch will be likely for most areas. Some enhancement will be possible across the east. 

Yes… some of you will likely see a snow day for Friday.

Temps will be near 10 degrees to start the first day of February with afternoon highs in the upper teens and low 20s. Gusty winds will make it feel close to 0 at times.

Another system dives in for Saturday and this should become another light snow maker across our part of the world.

GFS

The latest trend on the models has been to send another clipper into the region on Sunday. This one has a lot of dig to it…GFS 2

That could deliver another round of light snow and arctic cold temps.

I will have another update later today. Make it a great Thursday and take care.

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Wednesday Evening Update

Good Wednesday evening, gang. I warned you it would be a wild weather ride and mother nature didn’t disappoint. Strong and severe thunderstorms rolled across the state the day. 4 tornadoes have been confirmed as of this writing.

The current focus is on the high water threat across southeastern Kentucky Numerous counties are under a Flood Warning…

Warnings

The heaviest rain will slowly end this evening as a strong cold front works across the state. There will be a narrow band of showers and thunderstorms along the front and this may produce winds nearing 40mph at times.

Much colder air works in behind the front and this will set us up for some snow showers and flurries overnight. Temps will drop into the 20s and some slick spots will be possible on area roads.

A quick moving system will roll through here late Thursday into Thursday night. This will bring a swath of light snow to the region…

NAM

A coating to an inch will be possible for some areas. Arctic cold temps and flurries then move in for Friday with highs not too far from 20 degrees. Another light snow maker moves in for Saturday and Saturday night and that could bring another light snowfall.

A full update comes your way later tonight… If I can stay awake. :) Take care.

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Tornado Watch Into Early Afternoon

A new TORNADO WATCH is now in effect until 1pm for far eastern Kentucky. Here’s a look at that watch and the latest warnings…

Previous Update

Good Wednesday morning, everyone. A squall line of thunderstorms continues to work eastward across central and eastern Kentucky. This is mainly a damaging wind produce, but a few isolated tornadoes are possible along the line.

A TORNADO WATCH is out for much of central and eastern Kentucky until Noon. Here’s a look at the watch outline and the latest warnings…

The rest of your tracking toys…

Current Watches

Possible Watches

I will have updates as needed and via twitter: @kentuckyweather .

Stay safe and take care.

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Tornado Watch Expanded Eastward

11pm Update

A TORNADO WATCH has now been issued farther eastward into central Kentucky. This watch goes until 5am eastern time. Here’s a look at the watch outline and the latest warnings…

Updates as needed.

Previous Update

Good Tuesday evening, everyone. A TORNADO WATCH has been issued for far western Kentucky until 1am Central Time. Here’s a look at the watch outline and the latest warnings…

Widespread damaging winds will also be a possibility for this region. The line of thunderstorms will continue to roll eastward into central and eastern Kentucky late tonight and early Wednesday. Additional watches are likely to be issued overnight.

Here’s the rest of your tracking toys…

Current Watches

Possible Watches

I will have updates as needed and via twitter: @kentuckyweather .

Enjoy the evening and take care.

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Tracking Severe Storms and Record Warmth

Good Tuesday, everyone. A very active 48 hour period is upon us as a strong cold front gets set to swing through the state. Record highs, severe thunderstorms, a temp plunge and some snow make up the forecast during this time period.

Here’s what to expect:

- Temps today will surge into the upper 60s and low 70s. Record highs are in serious jeopardy.

- Gusty winds may reach 30mph to 40mph at times.

- Our cold front will press closer to western Kentucky late this evening into the overnight. A squall line of thunderstorms will develop and work eastward. Damaging winds will be the main player with this line of storms. We will also have to keep an eye on thunderstorms going up ahead of this main line. That may pose a tornado threat across far western parts of the state.

- The squall line  and severe weather threat will then progress into central and eastern Kentucky late tonight and Wednesday morning. Damaging winds will continue to be a threat during this time.

- Temps will start in the 60s and fall into the 30s by Wednesday evening. Some snow flurries will be possible during this time.

- Arctic air will continue to funnel in here Thursday and Friday with snow showers possible Thursday. We have two light snow threats… one for Thursday night/Friday and then again on Saturday.

 Let’s track today’s severe weather threat…

Current Watches

Possible Watches

I will have updates as needed and have updates via twitter. Follow me: @kentuckyweather

Have a great Tuesday and take care.

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Some Evening Thoughts

Good Monday evening. The wild weather ride will kick into high gear over the next few days as a powerful cold front moves across the bluegrass state. Here’s a look at what to expect:

- Near record high temps Tuesday as many areas hit the upper 60s to around 70 degrees.

- Wind gusts of 30-40mph will be possible during the day.

- The cold front swings eastward Tuesday night and Wednesday with a squall line of thunderstorms along it. This will set the stage for the potential for severe thunderstorms and damaging winds. The Storm Prediction Center shows the threat level:

- Temps Wednesday will start in the 60s and drop into the 30s during the evening.

- Snow showers and flurries will be possible Wednesday night into Thursday.

- A couple of light snow makers will work in Friday into Saturday as arctic cold temps take hold.

Have a great evening and take care.

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Buckle Those Seat Belts

Good Monday, everyone. Extreme is the word we’ve thrown around a lot over the past few years when describing our weather. That’s a pretty good word to use on what we have rolling our way over the next several days. Record high temps, severe thunderstorms, arctic cold and snow are all possible within 48 hours of one another. Got your attention yet?

A surge of spring air continues to filter into the bluegrass state today. This will send temps toward 60 degrees in the far west and into the 50s for the rest of the area. Scattered showers and gusty winds will make it look and feel more like the middle of March.

That mild air will become downright warm tomorrow. Temps will head into the upper 60s to around 70 degrees for much of the commonwealth. Temps in that range will put us within striking distance of record highs. Wind gusts from 30mph to 40mph will be likely.

A powerhouse of a cold front will cross the state Wednesday and this means business. A squall line of thunderstorms will be likely along this front as it races eastward. Here’s how the NAM sees it…

NAM 1

Some of those storms may be severe. Here’s the latest threat for Tuesday from the Storm Prediction Center…

Storm 1That threat will likely be expanded east for Wednesday.

Even without thunderstorms… wind gusts may approach 50mph along and just behind the front as it blows through here. Temps will start the day around 60 and then crash into the 30s from west to east. Light snow will be possible by the end of the day.

Arctic air will then sweep into the state for Thursday and Friday. Snow showers and flurries will be possible Thursday and then we watch two potential snow makers diving in from the northwest. The first arrives Thursday night and Friday with the next one coming in over the weekend.

This will be a wild ride of a weather week, so buckle up.

I will update things later today. Make it a great start to the week and take care.

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A Fun Week Ahead

Good Sunday to one and all. We often talk about how the weather around here is never boring and the next week and change is going to exhibit A. Whatever type of weather floats your boat… we have it coming over the next 5 days.

The fun times begin with much milder air pushing toward the state later today. This comes in the way of a warm front working from southwest to northeast late this afternoon into the evening. This will cause clouds to increase and may touch off a few showers into this evening. Some of the models have been hinting on a bit of a mix across northern Kentucky on the leading edge to that stuff.

Take a look at just how warm the temps will get over the next few days…

GFS 2

That’s a heck of a temperature gradient setting up on that Tuesday map. 90s show up across south Texas with teens in the upper midwest. Those teens are just the tip of the iceberg as a major blast of arctic air dives into the country from Canada.

That air pushes back in here late Wednesday as a powerful cold front swings through here. This front is likely to produce a line of showers and thunderstorms and some of the storms could be strong. The setup with this system is one that can produce wind damage across the Ohio Valley.

Temps Wednesday may start near 60 and then fall toward freezing or below by late in the afternoon. That means a good shot to go from rain and storms to light snow…GFS 3

A deep trough will then dig in and set up shop across the eastern part of the country. Several systems will dive into the base of this trough and one or two of those will try to develop into something. Many of the models have been targeting Thursday night and Friday for such a system. Here’s the Canadian…CanadianThat would make for a snowy welcome to February.

Make it a great Sunday and take care.

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