Monthly Archives: May 2013

Time posted: 12:00 am

Storm Tracker Friday

Good Friday and welcome to a day of tracking storms across the bluegrass state. Our flow is right off the western Gulf of Mexico and this is leading to an increase in juice for atmosphere to produce heavy rain producing storms. That trend kicks in today and ramps up even more over the next few days.

The highest threat for showers and storms today will be across central and western Kentucky. Some of these storms may become severe with damaging wind and large hail possible. Given the available moisture… torrential rain will be likely.

Let’s track the storms…

Today’s Risk Area
Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current Watches
Current Watches

Possible Watch Areas
Current MDs

The threat for strong and severe storms will be with us again on Saturday and Sunday as a cold front works through here. Rounds of boomers will be possible and the potential is there for some hefty rain totals as we begin the month of June.

Much cooler air sweeps in for Monday and Tuesday with highs in the low and mid 70s. This looks like a good few days of weather before more humidity and storms move in for the second half of next week.

Have a great Friday and take care.

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Time posted: 11:39 pm

Storms Set To Increase

Good Thursday, folks. Our summer pattern is slowly giving way to a stormy one that will carry us into the first part of June. Showers and storms will be rather scattered early today, but will ramp up a notch later today into Friday and then again for the upcoming weekend. That’s when some of the storms may become strong or severe.

Very warm and humid weather will persist today with highs back into the mid and upper 80s. The highest chances will be across the central and western parts of the state. Here’s your regional radar…

Moisture continues to move our way from the western Gulf of Mexico. This will lead to an increase in scattered storms into Friday and the models are getting pretty wet for the western half of the state. Take a look at the impressive rain totals from the GFS through Friday…

NAM 1

There’s a good supply of moisture and the heavy rain threat will need to be monitored over the next few days and into the weekend. We may also get a strong storm or two to blow up today and Friday. A better threat for strong and severe thunderstorms will be with us over the weekend. That’s when a powerful cold front works our way from the west…

NAM 2

The models continue suggest a very active pattern over the next two weeks…

GFS Rain

Have a wonderful Thursday and take care.

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Time posted: 11:14 pm

Our Pattern Turns Stormy By The Weekend

Good Wednesday, everyone and thanks for dropping by KWC. A summer blast of air continues to blow into the bluegrass state. Gusty southwesterly winds have been common over the past few days and will be around again today. This summer pattern is not setting in and will give way to one that becomes stormy over the weekend.

Temps today will be back into the mid and upper 80s. Wind gusts of 20-30mph may be noted for some. You will notice a bit more humidity in the mix and this may spawn a popcorn shower or thunderstorm during the heat of the afternoon.

Humidity levels will really rise by Thursday and that’s when we get into a better shot at a shower or storm. Those storm chances ramp up by Friday. Here’s the NAM…

NAM

Showers and storms will increase even more as we head into the weekend. That’s when we get a strong cold front to move into our part of the world. Storms ahead of this front may be on the strong side and they put down some heft rainfall.

Much cooler air will then push in behind the front. Here’s the look from the European Model…

Euro

Temps for the first half of next week will run several degrees below normal. Seeing a trend here?

In my last update, I mentioned how the pattern looks active into early June. The two week rainfall forecast from the GFS shows this well…

GFS Rain

Notice all that juice across the tropics? Hmmm

Have a great day and take care.

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