Daily Archives: March 3, 2019

Time posted: 7:31 pm

Sunday Evening Update

Good evening, everyone. Our snowy Sunday is wrapping up with arctic air pushing into the region. This will send temps MUCH below normal for the next several days, with another busy pattern taking shape late next week into the weekend.

Many roads across the region were snow covered for a time today, but the melting may lead to travel issues tonight. That’s when temps drop into the teens for many areas, leading to icy spots. Keep that in mind if you’re travelling.

Temps stay in the 20s on Monday, some 20-25 degrees colder than normal. Lows tomorrow by Tuesday morning will be in the 10-15 degree range, with a few single digits possible…

Wind chills will be closer to zero with a few negative numbers showing up…

Wednesday is another cold day, but a system rolling in here Thursday and Friday brings snow then some rain…

The air behind that is likely to spike up ahead of a big time plains storm next weekend. The models from a week out have a severe weather signature..

We will see how that plays out over the next week, but the pattern is suggestive of a big system. With additional arctic intrusions into the country and spring tryin to blossom, severe weather outbreaks may show up early across the country.

Enjoy the evening and take care.

5 Comments

Time posted: 12:05 pm

Snow Chances Increase

Good afternoon, everyone. Our winter storm system is rolling across the state with an increasing band of snow. This is likely to lay down a swath of wet snow from southwest to northeast and will be followed by a surge of arctic air tonight into Monday.

The main snow action develops across southwestern Kentucky and increases to the northeast. This will put down a swath of wet snow that mainly sticks to grass and elevated surfaces, but, at times, it may snow faster than it can melt on roads. That would cause slick travel to develop for some.

As of this writing, the Winter Weather Advisories are not far enough south. The NWS in Charleston WV is the only office adjusting on the fly and they did go south by a couple of counties. The KY offices did not and the Jackson NWS allows for several counties to be jumped…

By the time you’re reading this, hopefully those counties have been filled in and added to.

The morning computer model runs are more amped up with the potential for wet snow this afternoon and evening. Please keep in mind the models are showing snow fall and not snow depth! The short range HRRR shows this increasing band…

This matches up with every single forecast model…

NAM

Hi Res NAM

GFS

New version of the GFS

Short Range Canadian

Canadian

Melting will take care of some of the snow, so you probably won’t see those numbers showing up on a ruler. As temps crash into the teens tonight, icy roads are a real potential.

Here are your winter weather tracking tools…

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington

I-75 @ Newtown Pike
Lexington

-75/I-64 Southern Split Lexington

Georgetown


I-64 at KY-801
Near Morehead

I-64 MP 97
Winchester
I-64 WB @ MP 97

Mountain Parkway near Slade

London

Pine Mountain

Jenkins

Florence

No image available.

Covington

No image available.

No image available.

Louisville

No image available.

No image available.

No image available.

E-town

Bowling Green

Paducah

Have a good one and take care.

37 Comments

Time posted: 2:11 am

Tracking Winter Weather

Good Sunday, everyone. Winter weather is working across the state as we get ready to put the wraps on the first weekend of March. This is kicking off a very cold pattern that is likely to throw a little more winter weather our way later in the week ahead.

Overall, my thoughts really haven’t changed:

  • The best chance for winter weather comes this afternoon and early evening.
  • Light accumulations of snow show up, with streaks of overachieving snow and streaks of “that’s it?”. The majority of accumulations will be on grassy and elevated surfaces.
  • Thunderstorms in the deep south will play a big role in how much precipitation falls. The more thunderstorms that develop there, the less precipitation here and vice versa.
  • If we are to get some slick roads out of this, the best chance comes after sundown as temps crash. We should be in the teens overnight with the potential for a few snow showers and flurries lingering.

Here’s one final status check of the forecast models…

Euro

Short Range Canadian

Canadian

New version of the GFS…

GFS

I say this time and time again, but it’s important to note the models are forecasting snowfall and not actual snow depth.

Frigid air follows this for the week ahead with another winter weather maker possible by Thursday. For those winter holdouts who are liking this cold and winter weather… Come on over to #teamspring. There’s no shame in it! 🙂

I will have updates later today. Until then, here are your tracking tools for the beginning of this system as it  works across Kentucky…

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington

I-75 @ Newtown Pike
Lexington

-75/I-64 Southern Split Lexington

Georgetown


I-64 at KY-801
Near Morehead

I-64 MP 97
Winchester
I-64 WB @ MP 97

Mountain Parkway near Slade

London

Pine Mountain

Jenkins

Florence

No image available.

Covington

No image available.

No image available.

Louisville

No image available.

No image available.

No image available.

E-town

Bowling Green

Paducah

Have a great day and take are.

19 Comments