Good afternoon, folks. It’s a mild and breezy day across Kentucky, but the focus is on the deluge coming our way this weekend. Heavy rains are likely to lead to, at least, some local high water issues.
A Flood Watch is now out for a large chink of real estate…
That matches the greatest risk area I put out on Thursday…
A general 2″-4″ rainfall is likely for the greatest risk area, with locally higher amounts possible. The NAM has some 5″+ pockets showing up…
As usual, the GFS is farther south and east with the heaviest totals…
Regardless, flooding and flash flooding are possible across the region over the next few days. If you live in a low-lying or flood prone area, stay alert.
I will have the latest on WKYT-TV starting at 4pm. Another update will then come your way this evening.
Make it a good one and take care.
Flood WARNINGS already being issued
Recall the last mega flood when was a little lad in 84. Big snows thawing and big rains combined to create big floods. At least now big snows thawing!
no
High high’s the water, mama? Two feet high and risin’.
Here’s a thought if we could buy admiral for what he’s worth and sell him for what he thinks he’s worth we could all retire which apparently he is because that’s all he does all day is stay on here and make goofy comments
Hopefully CB puts an end to it soon. He will be the death of this blog if it goes uncontrolled. I’ve been following the blog for many years and his rhetoric is more annoying than anyone that has posted here.
It is fine if everyone wants to talk about “hoping for snow” and “praying for the big one”, but I do attempt to discuss the scientific factors pertaining to Chris’ models while taking up for Christ whenever models break down due to complex nature of the Earth’s atmospheric conditions. I think there is room for “faith-based” conversations, scientific conversations, and conversations that appreciate the work that Chris does on this blog on a daily basis.
Yes, before you point it out – Chris is the Christ of this blog.
Wrong!
While I may not be a particularly religious man, I will say there is no christ other than “Christ”, and before you feel so inclined to respond…..DONT
Christ Bailey is good with weather as this world will ever get.
Truth!
Truth….
Goofy comments? How is discussing the axis of the Earth, temperature gradients, pressure differences, and air streams goofy? Also, the goofiest comment I have read in a long time suggests that you could “sell a human” like we live back in 1860. Come on, now.
Wow, that’s a huge difference in the models.. It’s not just snow that they can’t agree on..
It seems like the models have all struggled with pin-pointing the exact nature of systems involving moisture when it comes to states around 37 degrees North-Lattitude. It seems that Kentucky and other states along this line are in the sweet spot for gulf air and Canadian air. This is just another reason why Kentucky is so unique.
It is the Ohio River that causes all the issues with our weather here in Kentucky.
The fact that water has a higher specific heat than air makes it a major factor in maintaining a constant temperature within the air surrounding the water. Since the water takes more energy to heat up and releases heat slower than the surrounding air, the unequal temperature difference that exists in the region between the water and the air can affect the behavior of weather patterns to a noticeable degree. Bjenks, thank you for pointing out how these bodies of water can have a major affect on the weather.
The rivers and streams are already pretty high here in far East Kentucky, and the ground is saturated. If we get 2-5 inches more rain there will definitely be some isolated flooding issues.
I do hope that everyone out in Eastern Kentucky remains safe by appreciating the dangers of overflooded creeks, streams, and rivers. Even more importantly, be careful around high elevations as rock and mudslides could occur with such a great amount of rain that is to be falling around the Appalachian mountain range. Honestly, it could get pretty hairy out around Carter County and Ashland. It will all turn out well, though. Just be aware of the dangerous that come with heavy rains.
Admiral, Don’t pay any attention to the hostiles on this blog. They can’t help it. They have to insult someone because they didn’t get the weather they wanted. It happen to me when I got one forecast right and Chris Bailey didn’t.
Why do you keep commenting on my posts as if you are trying to give me life advice on how to post on an internet message board? When you do this, it just makes everyone think that we are the same person. I honestly do not need your approval, nor do I need to take any tips from you. I have nothing against you, but you always show up to “remind me” that I do not need to worry about the other people who comment on this blog. It is almost as if you want people to think that we are the same person since you are envious of my vocabulary, the way in which I speak, and the manner in which I conduct myself when talking about the science of weather related phenomena. Schroeder, you do you, and let me do me. We are not “friends” or “buddies”, but I will still remain professional, cordial, and respectful to you on this blog even though it seems like you have lost all respect with everyone else on this blog, which is sad on their part. I have no idea what you did, but they do dislike you. Oh, well. Carry on and cheers.
No, I’m leaving this blog as far as comments go. I will let you take over as I respect people who have an education in discussing meteorology. Carry on Admiral.
Ok, you have said this for the third time. You may stay or go, but you keep stating that you are finished commenting and then you come back for more comments. If you enjoy commenting on this blog, talking about the weather, and communicating with others, then please stay; I think everyone needs to become more active on this blog so that we can have fun, lively discussion. However, if you want to leave, no one is stopping you. Chris will be here regardless, I will be here regardless, and many other users will be here regardless of what you end up doing.
No, I decided to leave the comment section. I’m getting tired of it. It will be hard because it is very addictive. But as you said everyone including Chris doesn’t want me on here. I’ve been on this blog for a year now and it’s been fun conversing about the weather. Take care, and good luck with your posting. I decided not to read Chris’s the blog any more and I am taking it off my bookmark. As with all meteorologist a lot of the blogs are sensationalized.
Bye, Felicia!
Quit with the lies Schroeder you have yet to get any and I do mean ANY forecast right!
Go right ahead Prelude and pick on the weak. Why aren’t you commenting on Ackbar ? I think he has the best comments on this blog. Interesting and educational. Also Prelude you are the RUDEST person I have ever encountered ever!!!
THIS is the kind of nonsense that needs to stop on this blog. It is cancerous.
You both are the same person, dumb and dumber.
Is it just me or is it worse than fingernails on a chalkboard?
An actual discussion of science on a weather related blog? Hey, Chris, from now on, your blog posts just need to say, “It gon’ snow!” or “It ain’t gon’ snow!” and just leave it at that. If you are referring to the actual dangers related to flooding rather than another user attempting to attack my comments, I do agree that the dangers of flooding are much worse than nails on a chalk board. Flooding is life threatening, and nails on a chalkboard are just annoying.
“annoying” , a nicer word than I was looking for but it will do.
Yeah. “Aggravating” is a stronger word, and a better word for what you are referring to. I agree. Agitated would also work.
I rather prefer to call it “immensely irritating”.
Why not say that it is “excruciatingly irritating”?
I think I shall go out to my garage and smoke a cigar. 😉
I think I may join you since it is such a beautiful day outside. I may grill a steak before the rain hits. Sounds great.
Nothing like a charcoal grilled steak, rare.
Absolutely. Rare as possible.
Yuck. Medium well thanks. With baked potater, corn on cob, salad and a couple beverages. A1 sauce too.
My son like rare steak… Bleh.
You could be like Donald Trump and get it well done to a crisp.
I don’t have to worry about flash flooding as I live on top of a large ridge in central Kentucky. The soil around here does not have any hard pan, therefore drains very well. To all of you who live in a flood prong area, I suggest you check your home owners insurance to see if it includes this peril. I wouldn’t worry though, it is just a watch and probably wont happen.
Are you not in the zone of approximation for the heaviest of rain?
Incredible and quite disturbing to see the same person using two different user names have conversations with each other.
Chris would not allow that to happen Prelude or is it PreRUDE.
I’am 1060 feet above sea level. I would never buy a house in a flood plain, even a hundred year flood plain I wouldn’t.
Wrong. They didn’t issue just a watch there are warnings out as well
It was good that it was drier than average during the prior 90 days as, during the last two weeks, we have saturated the ground some but could have been even wetter prior to this upcoming event. With low evaporation and transpiration from trees/Plants during this time of the year, our flood potential will be heightened for sure in SE KY!
Well, then you better prepare if your in a flood prong area.
I am as prepared as i can be.
Getting to be downright scary reading this blog..Hard to believe Chris has let this nonsense go on..Needing a Moderator badly..
What is honestly the issue? I have talked more about weather and science than anyone in this entire comment section.
#TeamSpring