Good Tuesday gang and thanks for checking out the blog. A system moving into the state today is taking on the look of a winter time clipper as it dives quickly to the southeast.  It will bring some quick hitting showers and thundershowers to parts of the state. Once these get outta town… we will focus on the potential of frost that would be followed up by a rapid warmup and an increasing threat for an active weather weekend.

Let us start out with what is going on out there today. This fast moving low pressure will bring a fairly robust band of showers and some thunder with it. The greatest concentration of these will run along and south of a line from Louisville to Pikeville where locally heavy rains will be possible. Track this band here…

The rains will quickly shut off later this afternoon with clearing skies taking over. Highs today will run from near 60 in the north, where more in the way of some sun will be noted, to the low and mid 50s in the rainy south.

As skies clear out tonight temps are set to drop into the low and middle 30s leading to the potential for some frost. Can a few spots dip below freezing? That is certainly possible and the best chance to that will be in the valley areas in the east. Green thumbs… you have been warned.

After the cold start to the day… temps will warm quickly into the 60s under sunny skies. Once into Thursday and Friday… look out as thermometers are set to warm rapidly. 70s for Thursday will turn into 80s for Friday.

It is once into Friday when we start to focus our attention on a front heading in from the west. This front will be running into a heck of a high pressure that will be anchored just off the southeastern coastline. This overall setup means the front will put the brakes on across the Ohio Valley and will do so as some big time moisture streams northward out of the Gulf of Mexico. This combination will mean rounds of showers and thunderstorms should become very common from late Friday through early next week.

This could lead to some problems and here is the area I am outlining for some potential nasty weather…

The threat for severe thunderstorms and heavy amounts of rain will be with us all weekend long and likely into the first half of next week. This does NOT mean it will rain all the time… I am suggesting this comes in SEVERAL rounds of thunderstorms. The models have been very gung ho on all this for several days now. Take a look at the rainfall forecast numbers from the GFS from Friday night through Tuesday…

This is something for us to keep an eye on as we roll our way into the month of May and that is exactly what the blog will be doing. have a great Tuesday and take care.