Good Friday to one and all and thanks so much for dropping by the blog. We will be catching a break from the snow showers today as we get set to see something rare take place around here… precipitation moving from northeast to southwest across the state. This means steady snows will break out late this evening into the overnight with accumulations likely into Saturday. We will talk about this and take a look at next week’s storm potential.
The big blizzard is raging across parts of the northeastern states. This has a massive circulation with it and as the storm backs westward into Pennsylvania… it will send a chunk of energy our way this evening into early Saturday. This will cause a band of steady snow to breakout and work toward the southwest. You can really get a good look at how this plays out with these maps I made from the latest NAM model…
That should be a rather healthy batch of moderate snows associated with this lobe of energy swinging through here. With the majority of the snows coming after dark… accumulations are a good bet for a lot of folks. You can track the northeast blizzard and the southwest moving batch of snow with a couple of regional radars I have set aside for you…
This batch of snow will continue to work backward across the region into Saturday. It is by this time we return to the snow showers and squalls that should try to hang tough into Sunday in some areas. How much more snow can we expect? Here is a map with my latest thoughts…
Temps during the weekend will remain WELL BELOW normal as we get set to close out the month of February. The opening week of March will be just as cold as spring shows no signs of showing up anytime soon. The blog has been yapping about the potential for another big storm threat for the first week of March for some time now. The models had been all over this then went way south and out to sea for the past few days. We said they were probably wrong and to expect a northward trend with the storm and sure enough… the models are all doing just that for the Tuesday and Wednesday storm.
Here is the European Model…
Canadian Model…
Even the south and east biased GFS is coming north…
The pattern continues to look ripe for this storm next week and perhaps another storm closer to the middle of March. Once again… I want to stress that an early spring is out of the picture this year and that old man winter still has a ways to go.
I will have more updates as needed today so check back. Have a great Friday and take care.
Select Page
let it snow CB!!! WHO CARES BOUT SPRING BECAUSE IF UR A SNOW LUVER I dont want to hear this im tired of it stuff by some of the bloggers such as TIM ad others who have cried for yuears because of nop snow.
OLD SCHOOL 1987!!!!
Rolo, have you had your coffee yet? If you have, better make another pot. Just messing with you buddy.
Thanks Chris for the update!
Looking forward to tracking the “backward” snows this weekend and the storm next week 🙂
20 degrees, full insolation, and no wind. What a gorgeous Winter morning!
james I had 2 pots already by that p[ost, i get up every mporning by 330.
that said Doctor told me to slow down,
WXMAN I see a bad severe weather season this yuear,
ANDY er u at bud.
Wxman, it may not be windy where you are, but it is here! But still, as you said, a gorgeous winter morning!
Thanks for the update, Chris. Wouldn’t mind seeing one more big snow around here, since where I am does not hardly ever seem to be the sweet spot. 😉
I did notice, however, that my grass is starting to try to green up just a bit…a couple of years ago, we mowed until late November, and started again in February.
Ah..moderation….let’s try it again…
Wxman, I agree with you, except here, it it very windy this morning, and cold!
Thanks for the update, Chris.
Have a GREAT Friday, all!
You’ll have a great day. How ’bout those CATS!
It’s not that I’m Crying Rolo…It’s just the weather is really hampering me getting into a home right now!! we are living with the inlaws at the moment and that fine because they are the best…but there is nothing like having your OWN SPACE and privacy.
I’ll always be a die hard winter weather lover. but this goes beyond that at the moment…
and if it snows a foot I will love it as usual..but if there is a chance spring is close I’ll love it more due to circumstances….
Will be interesting to see if the models keep trending North for the storm next week. At the rate we are going it will be snowing on Derby Day this year!
Thanks for the update Chris….we will probaly get the biggest snow ever. My 4×4 Tahoe hit a deer and goes in the shop today for two weeks. Never been without a 4×4. So probably an omen. love this site.
Well, I’m gonna say it anyway! 🙂 I’m tired of the snow. Yes, I admit I have wanted an actual snowy winter since I moved here 10 years ago, but there comes a point where enough is enough. Chalk it up to me needing to be careful of what I wish for… BRING ON SPRING! 😉
Joe Bastardi did an EXCELLENT video discussion on the pro. site this morning on the upcoming storm early next week…He,like Chris thinks the storm comes north from what the models are saying and hugs the coast, and he said it WOULD PROBABLY be an I-40 snowstorm, and he circled the areas he thought would get hammered, it included north Tx, Arkansas, Tenn.,ALL OF KY.!!! the northern dixie states, and the Carolina’s before turning up the coast…
SO ROLO MY FRIEND THIS COULD VERY WELL BE YOUR OLD SCHOOL, BIG DADDY, THROW-DOWN!!!….:)
I’m with you, If your a Big Fan of the Wildcats, are you going to say stop winning, I can’t wait till this season is over,,,come on, most of us on here love the snow..so while we have the chance—PLEASE SNOW SOME MORE in CKY!
and the 12z gfs is trending even further north with precip…and brings the storm up the coast..now lets see how far north and west we end up going…
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/12/images/gfs_pcp_102m.gif
WHAT? What’s that I hear way over there.>>>>> LISTEN…SHHHH…DO YOU HEAR IT???? I BELIEVE ITS CHRIS GETTING READY TO GO INTO STORM MODE!!!!…LOL..:)
Hope Rake starts taking MOVE. LOL
yea TIM I saw JB several times on accu site and he was on IMUS IN MORN as well, he excited big time bout next week.
Can we trade radars?I want the top one and they can have ours lol!!!!!!!
Me too, but I don’t see anything that gives hope for Rake’s MOVE. I’m still holding cards for more snow, but it might be time to fold…noo!
Ii heard a local MET in Louisville today talk about the possibility of phasing with the northern jet stream and southern storm creating a larger low closer to Kentucky creating a possible big snow event. Is this the big one everyone has been talking about for a few weeks? Is there any truth to phasing being a distinct possibility? Tim Rolo anyone want to elaborate on this?
Winter Weather Advisory now out for counties in the NWS Wilmington area of responsibility…until 6AM Saturday.
Even though we have had frequent snows this winter, and we are above normal in that department, because we have missed out on the big stuff, Cincinnati has had more snow in February than we’ve had ALL winter in the LEX area!
http://aviationweather.gov/adds/satellite/displaySat.php?region=EVV&isingle=mult_big&itype=vis
Full sunshine continues across KY and will do so the rest of the day. But you can see the high level cirrus field moving toward us from the northeast. Strange indeed! WX will go downhill fast overnight tonight likely.
Let’s all have 1 or 2 old schoolers to round out a snowy, fun winter! LET ‘ER RIP!
Thanks Chris for the update!
Looks like our NE-SW snow is on its way.
http://weather.unisys.com/satellite/sat_wv_us_loop-12.html
The NWS has just issued a winter weather advisory for Greenup Ky until 10AM Sat.
Cool link! Thanks for sharing.
looks like the snowshowers have moved into the ashland area of NE KY. Nothing but clear blue skies,sunshine and windy as a politician down here today…:)
Winter Weather Advisory for Madison 12am-9am Saturday.
ROLO….HERE’S YOUR OLD SCHOOL BABY!!!
CHECK THIS OUT FOR NEXT TUESDAY…IT DONT GET ANY BETTER OLD SCHOOL THAN THAT!!!!…
http://www.accuweather.com/news-story.asp?article=5
Man I gotta get those DICK VITAL QUOTES OUTTA MY HEAD!!!!…
my snow chances just went up to 50% for next tuesday in the updated forecast from NWS…
Several counties now in a WINTER WEATHER ADV. for tonight as well…all the counties with the exception of the southern half of the area…
I’m just outside of Ashland in Flatwoods and its just barely flurrying. Gotta look hard to even see them. The wind has picked up though. Hopefully the snow will too!
WWA…for a large portion of the area tonight, exceptions being extreme southern ky. and the s.western counties…
nws discussion tid-bit…
ANOTHER ROUND OF SNOW IS ON THE WAY TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. DEEP
MOISTURE IN ELEVATED WARM AIR ADVECTION WRAPPING AROUND THE BACK
SIDE OF THE MASSIVE STACKED LOW CENTERED NEAR NYC WILL COME IN THE
BACK DOOR FROM THE NE TONIGHT…WHILE LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW COMES OFF
THE GREAT LAKES. THE GREATEST POP AND PRECIP WILL BE OVER THE NE HALF
OF THE AREA…WITH MODELS AGREEING ON THE SNOW DIMINISHING AS IT
HEADS INTO OUR SW COUNTIES OVERNIGHT. IT LOOKS LIKE A MARGINAL
ADVISORY EVENT IN OUR NE…WITH 1-2 INCHES…POSSIBLY UP TO 3 INCHES
IN PIKE COUNTY. WHAT IS LEFT OF THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO DWINDLE ON
SATURDAY MORNING…WITH LITTLE ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION DURING THE
DAY
can anyone tell me how much snow to expect in the london – corbin area with this system tonight and tomorrow?
Man that is sooooo cool.Bernie where do you find all this cool stuff?
When are you going move back home where you belong? I think of you everytime I pass that exit.
Bernie thats so cool where do you find this stuff?
Winter weather advisory out now for Pike at 7pm I believe giving 1-3 inches.
http://www.vuetoo.com/vue1/SituationPageNews.asp?sit=27
LOOK AT THIS Y’ALL FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK! ITS COMIN NORTH!!!!
http://www.accuweather.com/news-story.asp?partner=accuweather&traveler=0&article=5
yeah thats right crystal
and chris just showed WSAZ most of Pike Co. is in 4-6″ but the main eastern part (close to where I live) is in 6-10″.
Something to help you get ready for UK/UT tomorrow:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vt2BAfhUHX0
LOL!!! That about sums it up for me too!! 😀
GO BIG BLUE!!!!!