Good afternoon everyone. Part one of our winter storm is wrapping up across the region after behaving perfectly. Now comes the second half of the storm and the potential for several more inches of snow to go along with a rapid freeze up this afternoon and evening from west to east as arctic air blasts in.
Check out some snow totals from round one…
NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY
JEFFERSON 5 – 6
OLDHAM 4
SHELBY 4
SPENCER 3
HARDIN 3 – 6
MEADE 4
BRECKINRIDGE 4
HANCOCK 5
OHIO 3
NELSON 3
MARION 2
EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY
FRANKLIN 4 – 5
SCOTT 3 – 4
HARRISON 3
FAYETTE 2 – 3
ANDERSON 2
SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY
GRAYSON 4 – 6
HART 4
BUTLER 3
EDMONSON 3.5
WARREN 2
MONROE 1
Much of central and eastern Kentucky made th change to rain this morning and the trend will reverse itself from west to east this afternoon and evening as snows take over. The snows will initially be light and rather spotty… but will rapidly increase later this evening into tonight as the northwesterly flow combines with a strong disturbance moving overhead of us. You can track the switch here on regional radar…
Another helpful tool today will be the near real time temps from Kentucky Mesonet…
You will be able to see just how strong of a cold front is swinging through. Temps will drop more than 10 degrees in just a few hours behind the front. This will allow for all this slush and moisture to rapidly freeze up causing significant travel problems.
As mentioned… the snows will kick back in this evening and will likely carry us through Wednesday night and Thursday morning. The potential is there for several inches of powdery snow. Here is my snowfall map for additional accumulations during this time…
Winds will increase tonight into Wednesday with gusts of 30-35mph. This will create blowing and drifting snow and wind chills below 0 at times. Travel could become dangerous at times over the next 36 hours.
Keep doing what you are doing in giving us updates on the weather where you live. I will have more updates through the day so check back. Take care.
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Thanks Chris.
Nothing but rain in my neck of Floyd Co.
We’ll get our snow tonight and tomorrow southeast ky 🙂
Wow here in northern Mason Co. the flakes of snow are huge. Where I live it measured about 4 inches this morning.
We have had snow, sleet, rain, sleet, and now snow again. Thanks for all you to do keep us informed.
Woohoo! We’ll get ours tonight and tomorrow southeast ky 🙂
Woohoo! I’ll take 2-4 inches…Thanks Chris:)
Really sloppy conditions here. 3 inches of snow packed down by freezing rain and rain. Just tried to shovel some of the muck from the parking lot and its not pretty.
I’m on the Mercer/Anderson County Line
I know southern IN is a little bit out of your region but we got about 5″ of new snow on top of 2-3″ of left over stuff in Orange Co. IN, just SE of Paoli. Temp has risen to 31.7 and the snow ended here about an hour ago. Now we’re in hunker-down mode for the forecasted cold temps and winds!
Cheer up southeast ky bloggers…ours is coming tonight and tomorrow. CB says so.
CAN’T SEE MAPS! What’s he calling for LEX??
2-4″ thru Thursday a.m.
CB, I luv you like a little brother, but could you choose another word besides “perfect”? I equate that word to good things 😉
The second half of the storm is ours southeast KY…we’ll get some snow too. Think SNOW!!
My family in London needs Shane’s website. Anyone have it?
I know it is hard to see what is going to happen tomorrow, but what is this weekend looking like, my sister is going to try to come in from Nashville. I live in the Paris area
I think your responses to Ms. Betty are “perfect”. You are one classy guy, BubbaG. Did I read in previous posts that you work in supply chain?
I am guessing that is 2-4 on top of the current stuff, since we already have 2-4;)
Positive Bubba says:
Folks, remember two years ago when we got ice and snow and then several inches on top of that?
PERFECT conditions for sleds!! Especially the inner tubes. You will shoot down a hill like Chevy Chase in Christmas Vacation! BINGO! 🙂
Thanks so much for the update Chris, but I am agreeing with Bubba on this one 100%. “Perfect” weather to me is a 70 something degree day. Freezing rain, ice, bleh is far from perfect in my world!
What are your thoughts for part 2 of all of this, Bubba?
yourlondonkyweather.blogspot.com
LOL! My favorite part of that movie, besides cousin Eddie and his dog SNOTS! 😉
to look ahead, look at this:
http://beta.wxcaster.com/GFSCONUSArchive.php?datetime=2010020912Z&fcsthour=120&type=1000-500_SLPTHKPRP
that is some good snow.
CB is spot on, but the warm air will probably hold on in the later part of his range for most of us. Still, that would be a few inches of snow on top of the frozen stuff we already have. Should be great sled conditions tomorrow if all pans out 🙂
Hope CB is correct, since several inches of snow on top of this stuff is MUCH better for sled action than a bigger snow.
See. I too can be postive;)
For the left half of the state;)
I like the positive Bubba! ALOT!!
Here is the GFS
http://wxcaster4.com/gfs/CONUS2_GFS0P5_SFC_ACCUM-SNOW_120HR.gif
Here is the NAM
http://wxcaster4.com/nam/CONUS1_ETA212_SFC_ACCUM-SNOWFALL_84HR.gif
At this point, I’d say the NAM is spot on!
Will it be after dark before temps are expected to fall or this
afternoon?
I’m in east Louisville. The snow stopped about 30 minutes ago. We’ve got between 5 and 6 on the back deck. About 10:30 we had the biggest snowflakes coming straight down. I’d call it heavy. My 12 yr old son can’t remember ever seeing snow like this. Then we made a snow man and snow angels.
A little concerned about refreeze and more snow. Local weather here is saying little to no accumulation. I’d be good with another 2. We’re stocked up with video games and movies now.
Stay safe everyone.
Can someone tell me approximate time the cold-er front will be coming through today? Don’t want to be stuck at work! I’d HATE to have to leave. LOL
rain has stopped in waco what little snow we had is just about all gone.
CB says the afternoon through evening, so I would scale that to how far south you are. 3PM is probably the starting point, but the warm air always seems to last longer than expected.
I personally hope the GFS is right. It looks better for southeast ky 🙂
We have 8 inches in the middle of the front yard!!! This is awesome!! And more to come!! LOVE IT 🙂
Front must be starting through central KY now. Temps here in Nicholasville went from 38.5 to 34.7 in about 25min… Thats a fast slide. A lot of water on the roads too, if all that stuff freezes, its going to be an ICE rink out there…
Thanks so much for the update and it will be a mess when all this rain freezes!!!
I can live with this forecast if it pans out…:)
Rest Of Today…Rain…changing to snow late. Around an inch snow accumulation possible late. Highs around 40. South winds at 5 to 10 mph…becoming west at 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph late. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent.
Tonight…Colder. Cloudy with a chance of rain and snow showers early…then snow showers late. Areas of blowing snow late. Snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches. Lows around 20. West winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. Wind chill readings from 5 below to 5 above zero.
Wednesday…Brisk…colder. Mostly cloudy with snow showers. Areas of blowing snow. Snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches. Total snow accumulation 2 to 5 inches. Highs in the upper 20s. West winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. Chance of snow 50 percent. Wind chill readings from 5 below to 5 above
Perfect doesn’t mean IDEAL. Read “behaving perfectly” to mean something like- as it was expected to. i.e. no surprises
Thanks Michael! 😀
We have almost 8 inches on the ground in Floyd Knobs, IN.. We are just across the river from Louisville! We might get another 2 inches tonight and they are already talking about a clipper for the weekend…. The kids are loving this…
Mitch, Shane..Is the powerful upper cold low OPEN or CLOSED? Seems like its an OPEN low and gathering some juice as it heads east, which would be very potent when it gets into our region..
http://weather.unisys.com/satellite/sat_wv_us_loop-12.html
Wow…that is impressive, IF it says what I think it does. Is that going to be SNOW of Valentine’s Day? I have not heard anyone talk about this yet…what do you think?
Well, the rain has pretty much done its dirty work under the dome. Not much left of the 3-4″ we got at my house…I am beyond sick of this…
37.4 degrees here in Morehead and we have been under a Winter Storm Warning all day, still not sure why??? It did snow hard this morning, but by no means a need for a WSW..
Wish someone would answer Bernie’s post from above…I’d like to know the answer myself.
Yes, the NAM has an inch or less for my house, so I’d say that is probably spot on. I will believe in a big snow again in the LEX area the day it happens, until then, I have no faith left that it will ever happen again…
built a snow fort 32 and rising here, snow melting as it hits paved/shovled surfaces
Well, apparently most of the snow is washed away by rain where I live in Richmond. I work in south Lex and most of the snow is still here. That would blow, since my sled theory would be shot to shoot.
Fourteen miles make that much difference? I am hoping I got bad intel.
that is where the model stops on that site.
well, i think it would be mostly snow. you notice how far south the freezing line is.
wind really picked up in madison county about 30 mins. ago
Just went outside and guessing about 6″ fell where I am in Cold Spring. Temp has risen to 33* at the local Mesonet site.
I don’t know which spotter turned in that report for Anderson County…but we need to buy them a new tape measure. We had 3″ at 7:00 and it wasn’t even done snowing.
Just started snowing in Versailles.
It is true 🙁
I had the same. I would have to agree with you.
Dropped from 36 to 32 in a little over an hour here in southwest Lexington.
Jeesh- it IS gone, based on the Richmond cam. South Lex still has about three inches of snow on the ground and just 15 miles as the crow flies there is virtually nothing left.
Sorry folks, but my futile attempt of being positive is done.
KWS = Kentucky Weather Sux
2″ to 4″ now will do almost nothing with no snow on the ground already and I suggest most will be in the 2″ range.
For you people that accuse me of being negative, that is because the RESULTS are negative;)
This state needs a snow enema!
The Dome has won and I am done. Still luv you all, but tired of not having much positive things to say that are supported by RESULTS.
The GFS shows a nice clipper system on Sunday. It looks like it might be able to tap some Gulf moisture. I know the Candian has it as weel, but still five days off.
I’m still trying to recover from Bubba G’s snow enema comment, LOL…hilarious!
move to durango colorado, up out of town in the mtns i’ve seen feet and feet of snow, its an avalanch area!!!
Well our temp has gone from 39 to 36 in a matter of about 20 minutes here in Somerset. We now have light rain, mixing with snow outside. Wind is really starting to pick up, and we have a TON of wet roads, and such.
Chris has us drawn in the possibility of seeing a couple of inches of snow out of part 2, which surprises me. But we will see.
Believe, Coffeelady, Believe! 🙂
Light snow and 31F here in southwest LEX.
what? how come my temp is still rising here? 34 now??? if its dropping in central ky shouldnt it be dropping here?
The speed of the system and the amount of moisture will still need to play out. I’d love more snow! The freeze line is way south on the image! Yahoo!
BUBBAG! That has got to be one of the funniest statements I have heard for a while; if you figure out how to give KY a snow enema, please tell me. I either want to watch, or help. (not decided which yet!) 😉
It is now snowing here as well in Nicholasville. I am so happy to be back below freezing; maybe we can get some more nice snow.
Jake
Still concerned about totals along the TN border counties tomorrow, I think we will see enough to track a rabbit through it as the old saying goes, but maybe not much more than that. My latest snowfall map is now out on my blog. Just click my name to get there.
I second and third that as well…..
Snow is starting to vuild to the west near Owensboro. The strong front seems to be trigger another round of light snow.
Temp is down to 34, in past 10 mintues.
Just started snowing again in Lexington…
🙂
shoveled my driveway and walkways…it is a soupy, sloppy mess out there and if this stuff refreezes with anything on top of it, tomorrow will be a nightmare for traveling. yuck!
snowing again in Lexington….light, but snow!
🙂
Please go to e-spotter and submit your report.
http://espotter.weather.gov/
Me too! That was the funniest thing I’ve read on the blog in awhile!
RAIN, RAIN, RAIN AND MORE RAIN HERE IN THE COALFIELDS. GOOD THING I LIVE HIGH ON A HILL OR SHOULD I SAY MOUNTAIN. LOL I WANT SNOW NOT RAIN. BUT I GUESS I WILL HAVE TO TAKE WHAT EVER FALLS.
Light snow in Somerset…
Fine snow flying again in Paris. Probably an inch and a half left on the ground since the rain.
How exactly does one go about administering a statewide snow enema…well, nevermind. I’m not sure the blog can handle that!!
BubbaG, don’t you dare leave the blog. It needs you to keep things real, even when nobody wants to hear it! 🙂
Personally, I’m beginning to wonder if the problem with KY is that we’ve turned it into the proverbial “watched pot”. You know, the one that has water that will never boil as long as you keep watching it! We may never get snow because we love it so much and keep watching for it.
Maybe it’s time for some REVERSE PSYCHOLOGY. (this is just the sort of thing Rolo would go for, I think) Everybody pretend like you could care less if it snowed ever again, and maybe we can trick the atmosphere into snowing!
Thoughts…?
I never thought, I, being the most awesome snow-bunny around, would ever say something like this, but here goes:
I am on Bubba’s Bandwagon.
You all have THE DOME. We here in Bardstown (proper)have “THE FENCE”…and frankly, I’m a bit tired of peeling my icy/soaking arse off it rather than leaving a nice little tush-print.
I suppose that I am happy my friends to the north of me got a nice heavy snowfall….now, maybe they will quit all that dang whining about how they’ve not seen ANY “BIG” snows in like the past decade or three…(Funny how I can remember them getting @ LEAST 3 really good (8-12+”)ones since ’04, while I’ve had to be content with a few flurries, no electricity, no cable,a broken collarbone that never healed from last year’s ‘Sliding Event”, and today…going to bed w/4″ of great possibilities, waking up to less than 2″ of what resembled a slop pit in my yard….
And that “Manitoba Mauler” coming in this w/e…well, it can keep on going as far SOUTH as it can GO & FRY!
I am DONE.
31 here again, i think it seems i am always colder or warmer by 1-2 degrees than mesonet which is bad when you sepnd 20 dollars on a thermometer.
I guess you could Shove it up the TUNNEL across southern ky. that runs under the mountain from Tn. into Middlesboro KY its about 1 mile long so that should give it a good start……LOL…LOL…LOL…just let me get outta the way before you do….:)
Might be better to just ask rolo for some of his med’s…lol!;)
I’m just messin’ w/ ya, rolo!:)
I thought so to, go back up and read my solution…LOL..
Shane…you have got to quit being bad news all the time…LOL…I want more than enough to track a rabbit!!!, I want enough for the stinkin rabbit to get lost in…LOL>..:)
It’s 31 degrees here in SE Lexington (Hamburg), not snowing on this part of town.
I thought e-spotter was time-sensative? Doesn’t that cause a message to pop up on your screen? So if it’s a report from hours later it would be annoying I would think. But if you don’t mind…I’ll head over there and post a report right now.
I live in bourbon county and there is at least 3 inches still on the ground in both my front yard and back yard. Snow is building to the west of us we need to believe in CB just 2 or 3 more inches makes for great sledding.
No, its OK if it is late. We get that all the time. The more reports the better. Plus, it goes into our snowfall maps, so they can be more accurate.
Tim my boss at work keeps telling me to quit bringing bad news every time I call for 5″s+ up here. I’ve been told that a lot this winter :P.
SE Lexington had around 4 inches of snow before it turned to rain this morning. Half of that has melted but we are below freezing again. I’m thinking we can add 1-2 inches tonight looking at the radar.
Downtown has the chance to be cold and snowy for tonight’s game. GO CATS!
Shelbyville – No snow right now, but very cloudy/overcast; driveway now clear so we can exit if need be and wind gusting already which should dry the surface roads before the bad cold sets in. However, 2-4 more would be a blow for the morning commute!
http://vortex.accuweather.com/excess-traffic.asp
lol check this out!!! “accuweather can’t download due to record traffic”
Chris not happy with NWS in LMK for not issuing adv. tonight…check it out in his newest tweet update.
check out the water vapor image:
http://www.weather.gov/sat_loop.php?image=wv&hours=24
that is awesome.
CB must be pretty sure about more snow coming based on his latest tweet.
I see nothing out my window in Lexington. It has stopped snowing, raining, ect.
i sense a new post coming.
just went out and measured snow 2.75 inches in 9 out of 10 measurements, starting to get colder here, wind picking up. Hoping for snow on top of freeze so I can play with the kids tomorrow.
Wet snow falling in Corbin!
It’ snowing here in Corbin.
Update would be nice!
One thing I’m starting to worry about is KY River flooding. It’s rolling pretty good already…this one will likely bring it up real high.
radar developing nicely back to the northwest! down to 30 here again, snow still seems to be compacting on itself overall about ten inches on the ground now, not ten from this storm but this storm combined with old snow plus its melted/settled. so if someone wants to say i said i got near 10 inches then they cant interpet facts. its almost as simple as 2+2=4 only i have turned it into a word problem. if tommys house has 4 inches on the ground before the storm and at one point had 12 inches on the ground what was the most snow he had on the ground? later that day the temp rose to the mid 30s, some melting and settling occured, if tommy now has 10.3” on the ground how much melting settling occured? THIS IS FOR the guy who thinks i lie about my totals.
Nothing doing in Nicholasville…Down to 30 Deg. Wind really picking up, but nothing at all falling.
Wind chill is down to 24 here at this time. Very cloudy, but actually no precip of ANY kind is falling at the moment. Wind is really flapping the flags we have out in front of the dealership.
Tim, I liked your solution, but I am not sure that it would help Bubba and that area much….
5.5 inches here in Ohio County…..!
LOLOL
more north and east the better u are with the NW FLOW coming,
starting to fill in though a bit futher south,
I think Shane is spot on, a coating at best here in clay county and the surrounding tri city areas.
i really think this upper low is pulling in moisture. look at the snow band that has developed on radar.
got a hoodrate up in there in boone county, she can back u up.
take a look at what the 12z gfs is putting down for the sunday system:
http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?prog=forecast&model=GFS&grid=3&model_yyyy=2010&model_mm=02&model_dd=09&model_init_hh=12&fhour=156¶meter=SNOWIN&level=SURFACE&unit=none&maximize=n&mode=singlemap&sounding=n&output=image&view=large&archive=false
wow.
Well Rolo, it would be different it that snow was actually upslope. But the thing is that snow is associated with the upper level low. upslope not kicking in til around midnight, so calm down before you kill the upslope 8 hours before it even starts. 🙂
What dealership do you work at? I’m proably right down the road!
Precip is filling in good! I personally thought that dynamic cooling from this ULL would be enough, but it is going to take the arctic front to get temps below freezing here.
Temp is currently 39* here in Pikeville and it has been raining nearly all day long.
I believe that this energy coming from the NW will do the regular uplsope and drop a good 4-8″ around my area once this is all set and done.
——————–
East Kentucky WX
http://www.ekywx.com
yea i agree, these guys crack me up on here. they have no clue what they are talking about
31 here on 80 in gunchester..
oh by the way guy, the distiurnbance aint goinhg be what drops 5 plus inches in far eastern ky,
the disturbance enhances the northwest flow
No, but it will enhance our flow of moisture from the lakes.. which in turn will be what causes the accumulation. So, you can basically way that the disturbance is to fault 😛
——————–
East Kentucky WX
http://www.ekywx.com
36* with snow flying in Knox co. now Barbourville area
I did not say you were lying about your snow totals. I am just saying your reports do not match any other reports. Here is the official snow report from your area, scroll down to KY. You are about 4 inches higher than any other place. http://www.erh.noaa.gov/displayprod.php?product=CLEPNSILN&versions=36
those are fighting words jerry lol the blog gets pretty heated, why just today some guy in central ky told me my totals were off, thats like someone teling billy gram about the bible, you just dont do that. i know snow. i know official measuring techniques used my nws. i have data and records going back to dec 4-5 2000 4.4 inch snow in south lex.
covington had 6.0” near 11am and a blogger from cold spring reported 6”. meoscale or whatever you want to call it,
The Big goose egg here in my Part of Estill County an occasional flurry or shower of snow here and there but nothing as far as accumulations go.
34` in manchester(clay county)..it was snowing earlier, but has stopped..if we get a dusting, i will be suprised..we’ve had nothing but cold rain…:(
Astounding…if true! NWS briefly mentions this at the end of their discussion, but they seem to imply that it won’t be more than a dusting…hmmm….
I’d rather the amounts I see here.
That nice line of snow that has been building looks to have started having the dome eat away at it’s eastern side. As it gets closer it look like it isn’t as solid and looks to be breaking o the edge.
Jake
Harlan is looking bad…Snow coming down pretty heavy now. Roads are getting slick!!! Schools just closed here!!! Be careful everyone!!!!