Good Monday, everyone. The power of a frozen ground caused all kinds of travel problems on Sunday across our region. Even with actual air temps above freezing, light rain falling on a frozen ground instantly turns to ice. We had that potential well advertised over the past several days.
It looks like another round of a light wintry mix is likely from late today into Tuesday for parts of our region. Central and eastern Kentucky appear to have the best chance of seeing the light rain change to a mix of light sleet, freezing rain and some snow. The GFS is picking up on this…
This won’t be a ton of precipitation, but it could be enough to cause some travel troubles overnight and into Tuesday morning as temps go well below freezing.
There is the chance for some low level moisture to hang around into Tuesday night or Wednesday and that could be some freezing drizzle or light freezing rain. High temps Tuesday into Wednesday may not get out of the 20s in many areas.
I will touch on where we go from there with updates later today. I leave you with some tracking toys to take you through the morning…
Enjoy your Monday and take care.
The radar doesn’t equal the actuality of what’s falling, which is thankful or we’d be incredibly soggy around here from yesterday and overnight thus far.
Saw on the previous update that Ben in Lexington had pipes burst under his house. Sorry to hear that man, I hope it miraculously turns out to be an easier fix than expected.
On the positive side, at least you aren’t this guy.
http://i.imgur.com/0IKdCVU.jpg
Thanks LD. And oh goodness. That guy is nuts.
At Madison Garden this past March, I sat at the bar next to the guy who was famous for his UK tattoo.
In your next update, can you talk about year that reminds you of this year and how it ended? Was it 1993? Superstorm savedcus from a whimpy winter. I think it was little more snowy then this one so far.
Dont remember 1987 winter but do remember almost 2 feet in april.
Winter of 2004-05 showing up on some of the analogs i looked at..
Was that the year that killed the grape crops? Trees were budding in early February and the growing season took off only to be wiped out by a late freeze.
It was Easter 2007. Nevertheless, climate change is here to stay.
That winter was mild and pretty much snowless with a weak El Nino also..If my memory is correct..Could be mistaken though..
A stark reminder that stronger, more violent tornadoes during the winter months are not just limited to areas close to the Gulf Coast. It was on this very day in 1890 that a tornado outbreak developed, hitting St Louis and other towns in Missouri. But the most violent tornado that day was an F4 rated twister that leveled much of Clinton KY.
The winter of 1889-90 was in general ridiculously warm. Lexington KY had a low temperature of just 62 degrees on the same date of the Clinton KY tornado; this remains Lexington’s all time warmest low in January. Thus a small hint of the conditions that spawned spring-like severe wx on Jan 12 1890. That winter and early spring were gripped by a strong La Niña which often has ripe conditions for tornadoes in our area (think April 3 1974, April 27 2011, and indeed the March 27 1890 outbreak that included the F4 that devastated Louisville.
– – – – – – – – – – – – –
The NWS Louisville website includes interesting historic weather tidbits, both in Kentucky and nationwide. The date of January 12 is no different with weather that was unusually warm, cold, snowy, etc Click the website and go to the bottom of the page.
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/lmk/
Thanks TennMark for the history. I always love hearing the history side of the weather.
That sounds like an amazing research topic. I was just thinking this morning about how most birthdays of mine feature 50s or 60s and rain, and that severe weather events in January are fairly common.
Just a soggy mess in knott co
Hey Old Man Winter, this winter has been one great big YAWN, and it looks like it will stay that way. On the bright side, we are that much closer to spring and opening day….PLAY BALL!!!!
Even Lucy knows she probably won’t find any model biters this winter to go for the kick. I am not even confident in my meager outlook of two 2″ to 3″ events.
Seems the 33/32 fence is more pronounced over our state this winter. Cold air and moisture are getting like oil and water.
Messy is the word of this winter. Maybe some day (not this year) it will be snow
I find it hard to sleep on those mornings a wintry mix is predicted. At about 4:00am I start dreaming that I’m looking out the window! Then I toss and turn wondering what time it is and if it’s too late for the call from school but too asleep to actually look at the clock….. All the anticipation is rough on a good night’s sleep.
Sure been frustrating watching this winter unfold..All signal’s were pointing to a decent snow winter..Near record snow pack at the right time,which should of lead to a strong -AO..weak El-Nino,High Pacific sst’s,active southern stream,+PNA…Guess everything looked to good…Still believe we can squeeze out a few good snows if the AO goes back to negative like it is prog to do and with a little help from the NAO..
Agree 100%! I think at least 7 out of 10 outlets I reveiwed all had us cold and snowy. Although we have had out share of precip. and cold weather we just can’t seem to get them at the same time as a merged storm.
Seemed like perfect set up late fall for some fun and games. Time will tell as there is another cold shot coming later in the month and this ones suppose to stick around fore a little longer period.
What get’s me is the lack of a -AO..With record Siberia snow pack and the AO tanking in November one would of thought the AO for the rest of winter would of been in our favor..As for the NAO it’s been so long since i seen a negative one i can’t recall when it was..I’ve given up on analogs,Siberia snow pack and other teleconnections..Who knows what is driving the pattern..Talk about becoming a gazillionaire overnight if one could figure it all out..
I just noticed. CB gave us the double whammy: Messy and Mix.
Need a new term to make things seem better…. We have “festive flakes”, so no I think we add “refresh rain”. Not as catchy though.
Nothing refreshing about rain when it turns everything to slop.
Does not matter the name it still defines….COLD RAIN….
At least festive flakes is snow…..
I would gladly take the 2 – 3 inch snows you speak of. As much as a nuisance that they are I at least get to dig into my 2000lbs of salt.
THINK REFRESH RAIN!
Lets all use reverse psychology on mother nature and wish for refreshing cold rain! If we all “really” wanted rain, I guarantee that we would have a blizzard knocking at our door doors…
Can’t Hurt.