Good afternoon, gang. Old Man Winter is showing some serious signs of lifeΒ  as we track a couple of systems later this week into the coming weekend.

Let’s start with a storm system developing across Texas. This bad boy has been well telegraphed for more than a week, but the track on it has varied. Many of the models over the past several days have been showing this storm tracking well to our south and east. That is now changing.

Let’s review the track of this storm on some of the latest model runs. The GFS snow brings a lot of precipitation into our region…

GFS

Much of that would fall as wet snow Friday into the first half of Saturday. The NAM only goes out through Friday evening, but has a similar overall look…

NAM

The European Model started the trend of bringing this system farther north and west, but the latest run is just a tad east…

Euro

That’s still a good hit of wet snow for parts of our region as the storm wraps up along the east coast.

A few trends are becoming apparent… 1. This looks like a stronger storm 2. Because of that, it takes a farther north and west track and impacts Kentucky. Again, that’s the current “snapshot” of how things are looking. Stay tuned.

The system that follows that up late in the weekend is also showing up stronger with more of an impact on our weather. We have a hefty upper level system diving into the eastern trough as a BIG ridge develops along the west coast…

GFS 2

On face value… that’s a nice setup for snow across our part of the world. As you know, I’ve been focusing more on the upper levels with this weekend, but the lower levels are now catching on. Here’s the European Model…

Euro 2

The GFS isn’t too far behind…

GFS 3

IF the upper level forecasts are right… IF… then the surface system may continue to trend deeper in the coming days. I suspect a lot of that may be determined by what happens with our Friday/Saturday storm across the east.

At least we are getting something to talk about now. πŸ™‚

For all you weather history buffs… does today’s date ring a cold bell? On this date in 1985 we had one of the coldest days on record in Kentucky. Lows were close to -20 in many areas and some would duplicate that again the following morning. Quite the difference out there some 30 years later.

Enjoy the rest of the day and take care.