Good Thursday, everyone. A developing storm system will impact Kentucky over the next few days. The extent of that impact is still a bit uncertain, but the overnight models did push the deepest moisture a little farther to the east.
Here’s a look at who has the best shot at picking up some sticking snow from this…
That isn’t too different from what I was showing yesterday. The question I will have to tackle today is… how much snow falls? As of this writing… I do not see this becoming a significant snow maker across our region.
Here’s a brief breakdown…
– Light rain and a light mix will develop from southwest to northeast Friday afternoon. As the precipitation moves in the temps will drop.
– It gets cold enough from Friday evening through Saturday morning for a band of snow to develop. The “best chance” area obviously has the greatest chance of seeing that.
– A sharp cutoff is likely to be noted on the north and western sides of the precipitation shield.
– Odds favor this being a light snowfall across our region, but that could change depending on the exact track of the low.
– The snow will quickly taper off from west to east Saturday morning.
From this point, we focus on a clipper diving in from the northwest late Sunday into Monday…
Temps ahead of that will spike a bit on Sunday and then crash Sunday night as light snow tries to fly across the area. Another clipper will follow that up a few days later.
While the snow chances remain somewhat of a mystery with this pattern… the same can’t be said about the potentially for arctic cold. Nothing has changed with this situation as we end January and say hello to February…
If you’re like me, you have ZERO use for bitterly cold temps if snow isn’t involved. If it does indeed get that cold… let’s hope it’s not with a bare ground like we had a few weeks ago. That’s just miserable.
I will have updates later today. Take care.
Looks like we are just going to have to get a surprise if we end up with anything significant. Not the best winter for people that like snow.
This is the winter that just will not happen snow wise. I had no faith 2 days ago when the models was sniffing this system out, and with good reason. I get models flip flop and there just one of the many tools for mets to help foresee what’s coming down the pipeline. Being that said models this winter have been the biggest joke I have ever seen! Over predicting precip amounts, rather it be rain or snow. Busting big time on temps to warm or to cold. Sunday system primarily will be rain temps might touch 50 on Sunday. Three days ago this Sunday clipper system had cold and accumulating snows written all over it. Sooooooo the snow drought will continue. Last thing if the models continue to trend weaker with this upcoming system for tomorrow it will be predominantly rain. Warmer boundary layer means warmer temps. Weaker low can’t pull colder air down from the north. If that is the case be very hard to get wet bulbing to occur.
Surprise, surprise, surprise.
Seinfeld winter continues. Boo! I like Seinfeld, but not a winter about nothing.
I have to make a Meijer trip later today. Can I pick you up some soup? 😛
Here is a hangman puzzle:
N_ s_ _ _ f_ _ y_ _!
😉
Wow, Rodger can’t remember a more disappointing winter for snow fans. Bring on spring if this is all we get. Rodger!
Just another strung out piece of crap as i expected..Be lucky to get a 1/2 inch..Looks like something is sucking all the precip away..Maybe a secondary low,who knows..Can’t believe how this winter has turned out..Looked so promising at the start…Clipper probably will be gone when Sunday rolls around…Oh well,it is what it is,,,
Whit towel in hand and I am about to throw it in the ring.
it can’t be white that would look too much like snow and you know there is no snow
Thanks Chris, I can actually feel that Chris is frustrated with how horrendous the models have been this year in this post and the lack of snow. Nightmare winter for snowlovers continues.
So weak that even the models are not falling for Lucy and her under inflated football. Not that she would actually let it be kicked. Still…
At least we were let down sooner rather than later.
But let down again by the models none the less
Forecast highs near 50 Saturday and upper 40’s Sunday. Then a chance of rain/snow Monday. Rolo-coaster ride. The Tempest!
WSAZ forecasts 0.0-0.5″ for eastern KY which is in the “best chance” zone…..depressing.
Looks like 33/32 has set a semi-permanent stake down in our state.
Is it bad when you’re just hoping for a good dusting to be on the ground when the next big cold snap moves in??? Have a great day everyone!
December and January have both been awful awful – Let’s hope Feb and March flip flop….At least for my area the last two winters were decent.
At this point it’s either a 10+ snow or nothing..Go big or go home..The Crème de la crème..My horoscope says On Feb 3rd there will be a major disruption in your life..Be prepared because traveling is out of the question..Have lot’s of canned food on hand,you will need it..There you go folks,Feb 3rd major ice storm..Book it..
The latest runs of the models say not so fast my friends, interesting.
By that I mean the first week of February, may be 60’s-70’s. Kind of hard to get an ice storm, and the models have been good at picking up the warm air.
that’s why the temps have busted so many times because they have been sooo good at picking up the warm air
Yes the models called this warm shot from 2 weeks out, so yeah they hit that nail on the head I would say.
Blind squirrel finds a nut occasionally but it misses a whole lot to.
No!!!!!!!
While watching the models this season, the Canadian has been the most accurate. It was the last to jump on board with this system but never showed the larger snowfall that the NAM GFS and the Euro did. This is the model to watch the rest of the winter instead of which ever model just happens to show the biggest snowfall coming at amy given time.
no threat mode = no soup 4 u 🙂
Boy i sure would love a good ole’ iconic “dusting” right about now….the snowlover in me is about to head to Perfect North to get my fix….
Snow lovers do not give up hope. We still have weeks to get lots of snow chances. Let’s hope the winter is gonna get amped up in February and early March. We will get some good snows….maybe some when we least expect them, but winter ain’t over. Keep on with those updates, Chris, I always appreciate your info.
I remember at one point Chris mentioning this winter reminded him of 92-93. We didn’t really have much snow that winter until the March bomb.
We actually did get some decent snows before that. A few several inch events. We are in new lowered bar territory that would make the Honey Boo Boo clan proud.
I’m talkin’ in London town. We missed most of it that year–just a few ankle biters, and in February we were mild with severe weather.
We made up for it in March.
I don’t want any Narch bombs please. I think I’ll stick with the soup. By March I will be in full spring mode…
*Narch=March
In other news Jeff Gordon just said he will retire after this season. I guess the snow beat him to it this year
Best NASCAR news of my life.
56 days till Spring!!
Still no end in sight to the raging +NAO. There will be no decent snows unless this changes.
I know this is frustrating to Chris as he likes the snow, thanks for doing the good work still with all the frustration
I gave weeks ago. Easily the most depressing Winter of my 51 years. You know it is bad when all the clippers even miss. There was at least 2 clippers this week that moved way North across North Ohio into PA. This Sunday doesn’t look any different. And everything from the south has been rain. Snow drought continues this will be a record low snow year.
CB pretty much kills much hope in his newest tweet. Instead of killing hopes with tiny cuts, we are getting tiny tweets.
Song of the day, “Killing me softly with his tweets”
Roberta Flack I believe
Winter is a no show this year. Let’s just get on to spring I say. Already planning the garden.