Good Tuesday, everyone. A round of light snow is working quickly across parts of the state early today and could leave behind some slick roads. This is all part of the overall pattern that includes additional snow chances in the coming days. One of those systems may crash some Super Bowl parties.
Let’s start with today and roll forward. The morning round of snow won’t impact everyone, but can put down some light accumulations for those who get in on the action. It just takes a small amount to impact that morning commute, so stay safe. I will have your trackers in a bit.
Wednesday’s weather looks good with some sunshine and temps from the upper 30s to the middle 40s. Enjoy that because another clipper works in quickly from the northwest on Thursday…
That has some rain in front of it and some light snow and snow showers behind it. Another light accumulation will be possible for some areas by Friday morning.
Our weekend system continues to be one to keep a very close eye on. The setup is certainly there for the potential for a decent sized storm system to impact our region. The Canadian Model continues to indicate a favorable track for snow and winter weather…
The European Model is has a stronger storm system that travels a little farther north…
Does anyone remember the weather last year on Super Bowl weekend? Interesting similarities to that and some of the newer model runs.
I will continue to watch the weekend potential and have updates later today. I leave you with some early day tracking tools…
Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington
I-75 @ Winchester Road Lexington
US 60 @ US 127 Frankfort
US 127 @ Frankfort Frankfort
US 60 @ US 460
Frankfort
I-75 MP 127
Georgetown
I-64 MP 97
Winchester
Bluegrass Parkway Bardstown
Western Ky Parkway/I-65 Elizabethtown
I-65 MP 32
I-64 @ 3rd St. Exit
Louisville
Downtown Louisville @ 2nd & Broadway
Louisville
I-64 @ I-264
Louisville
I-264 @ Freedom Way
Near Louisville International Airport
I-75 at MP 36
London
I-75 at MP 23
Corbin
I-65 @ 234 Near Bowling Green
Make it a great day and take care.
dont trust models this far out , but models showing southern ky left out once again. models will change before event tho.
bubbas south of the river rule ?
also 33/32 ?
will be interesting to watch this one unfold.
oh, and thanks for the update and all you do chris.
SOTR has been cruel for snow fans. True dat.
I’m not liking those maps one bit, for the LC Area to get some snow. Should’ve figured it though seems to be the same ol song & dance for this part of the state.
At 4:46 am (night owl)- I’m looking at the NYC radar and it looks kind of pitiful…..But Boston, Boston is in a perfect spot, as is eastern Maine. I’m thinking this isn’t a NYC epic storm, but then again, it’s not over.
Just seen that Central Park got 6.5 inches and the storm is over there. Talking about a bust. Parts of Boston could get 18 inches, either way you put it a far cry from the forecast.
Yea – Good thing this particular storm wasn’t a blizzard chase where the chasers went to NYC….I would be so mad…
I ll take a bust and 6 1/2 ” of snow
No joke! If only… I’d take a bust at 6 inches over our typical bust of well, nothing at all, any day!
The media tried to will it in, since like that stuff. Grocers and snow-power out supply related businesses though are high fiving today. Epic win for them 😉
Besides, missing a blizzard is a good bust. True winning for most people that do not like being stuck, power out, etc.
“Amat Victoria Curam”
Could say that about a lot of the media in general 🙂 😉
I can just imagine the comments on NYCweathercenter.com right now. 😉 😛
Berea reporting in.
Happily awoke to about 1/4″ powder and snow still falling at a steady pace (enough to keep a covering on one of the busiest morning roads).
Looks beautiful this morning.
Cloud cover must be really thick as it’s past time for it to be full morning light.
Snowfalls since Oct. – 1/8″ + 2″ + 1/4″ + 1/4″ (and counting)
Keep them comin’ CB!
Thanks Chris. Have some black ice on spots this morning. Snow didn’t last long last night but it sure was pretty coming down. Hope if the weekend storm taps us it gets us all. But I’ve learned to not get excited. Have a great ( and safe) Tursday everyone.
I can even catch a slight tinge of negativity in Coffeladys posts. I love her upbeat attitude but let down after letdown wears on even the most chipper among us. I’m in Pulaski co too btw and I would put our totals up against anyone’s. We are truly ground zero of the dome. Too far west for upslope events too far east for most storm tracks and generally stuck in a perpetual slop fest every winter.
Ok, Coffeelady, I have to ask a completely non-weather question. Why does your name sometimes show up as Coffeelady and Coffeady? I’ve always thought it was “CoffeeLady” but then yesterday it was Coffeady, just like it is today. Do you have two log-ins or are my computers playing tricks on me? 🙂
Didnt pick up and fresh snow over night, temp was 28 from yesterday evening till this morning.
Wouldn’t it be nice just once for the forecast for us to bust the other direction. I mean a prediction of heavy rain instead turns out to be snow, that would be sweet. Take that Heat Miser just once.
Parts of New Jersey went from blizzard warnings to a winter weather advisory, from a possible 24 inches of snow to a forecast of 2-4 inches. The nws issued apologies. If I remember right this is the second or third supposed end all storms that was severely overstated.
Lot of the media in full stretch mode 🙂
Already seen some reporting last night and this morning that reminded me of some hurricane reporting while floating in boats on streets- while people walk by them and make fun.
Ha
I bet they were wearing helmets in the boat as well!
Of course it’s already moved north and gonna b mostly rain for se ky this weekend. Any chance this thing tracks farther south?
I’m no met or anything but I think I can answer that one for you……Nope. 🙂
If it rains all weekend like I suspect I’m officially done with this winter. Bring on spring and gold. Have maybe 1/4-1/2″ on the ground from yesterday morning and it’s the most I’ve seen all yr. Sorry to vent guys n gals but had too. Lol. Gonna change my name on here to ready for spring!
I’d say there is 0% chance of southern KY seeing any accumulation this weekend or any weekend this year…
Not like results can refute your view.
The weekend storm is going North as the NAO is positive. After the rainstorm cold and flurries. The pattern looks like more of the same with a positive AO. Maybe we thread the needle before winter is over ( like March 1993) but nothing points to a great pattern. For everyone south of PA this Winter has been a epic failure compared to winter forecast. Hope I am wrong like the models this year… Lol
The NW trend on this past weekend storm was our friend. NW trend on this one is not our friend. Looks to be shifting NW though. Time will tell.
The NW trend was not a friend to all.
Forget the snow in the north east, the real weather story is the south west ridge, check out that heat surge today.
Nothing to see folks. This weekend storm started out south of Kentucky and has already moved mostly north of half the state. If history repeats itself , maybe only a tiny portion of ky will have any impact of this storm. Less than an inch total in Knox co. this year and very little last year. Bring Spring.
Agreed. Spring can’t come fast enough at this point.
No amount of “bring on spring” makes it get here any quicker.
Southern Ky will score a big fat zero either way. It’s a sure bet that it’ll rain here if anything. What a boring winter this has been.
TNW trend holding strong. 5-7 days out direct hit on S/SE KY as we get closer POOF it goes N/NW I 64 corridor might get a few inches
It was never a direct hit on SE KY Rolo
Yea it was two days ago
The models…
The week away…
The northwest trend…
Lather, Rinse and Repeat…
(Well, things could change…and we are up to 2 and 1/2 inches for the year in my part of Richmond. #winning?)
Thanks for the update, Chris, and for the great tracking tools. I especially like the traffic cams! Make it a great day, everyone!
Snow stopped a little while ago, ended up with an additional accumulation and the 1/4″ looks to be roughly 1″ now.
That puts Berea up to 3-3/8″ since Oct. 1 and 3″-1/4 since Friday.
“On and on it’s just a—nother crack in the dome”.
As to all of the bust talk, let’s stop for a minute and think of what happens when the forecast is for 2-4″ and the result is 2 foot. Our “dusting” example close to home shows how traumatic unexpected snow can be on people, companies, charities, and governments.
More recently, the surprise ice events in S and SE KY last winter.
It is entirely correct in that the hype vultures took hold of it, but the job of the mets themselves is to make aware of what COULD happen based on the best data at hand at that time.
Except the problem on this blog is that Chris states POTENTIAL all the time, yet is accused of hype and for no reason.
100% this.
Someone told me a long time ago there is a phenomenon where sometimes cold air will meet up with lots of moisture and it produces something called snow..I believe they lied to me..By the way instead of a NW shift i would call it a lakes cutter..
Sunday’s storm is NOT a lakes cutter.
Whatever precipitation falls, will be all snow for I-64 and points north (possible south of, as well).
This one has the best “potential” we have seen the entire winter.
I know everyone is full of pestimism, but, the pattern is set for a good hit on Super Bowl Sunday, for at least half the state.
Just don’t be shocked if you here an inch or less two or three days out, and end up with 6″ or more of snow instead .
Oh i agree..What i meant was if it keeps going NW it would be a cutter..Some models actually has been waffling back and forth on a cutter..
I don’t know if you’re even close to being correct, c-BIV, but I sure do like the way you think! 😉
The winter models are kinda like Game of Thrones, I keep hearing them say that winter is coming but when the new episodes arrive all is summer in Kings Landing.
Yeah, and like Butters says, where the heck are the dragons?
I really don’t know what kind of track could hit SEKY. The last ten years we have been SW of the early models and they always stay below us or move enough to go above us. It’s almost a sure thing that if the 5-7 day out time frame has us in play that the thing will move well north of us. My question is why do the models not factor this in to the equation? It’s almost a nowcast situation for most of the state. I don’t know what has changed the last two decades, but the majority of the state just can’t get a big snow. Anyone know when we are supposed to get some days in the 50’s?
I appreciate our time is but a tiny blip in the trend of history, but still find it wild we went every decade with at least two big double digit snows and then nothing in the 00’s and so far same for the 10’s.
Probably just perception, since it IS a tiny blip in the horizon of history. Yep, that was deep in many ways 😉
Switched trend with horizon to heighten the platitude level. All I need is an acoustic guitar and John Belushi come by and smash it.
That was certainly a different look from the GFS..Hope is still alive..
Computer generated models giving rain with backside flurries for this weekend. If almost two decades of trend is right, then they have nailed it.
Computer generated forecasts is what I meant.
If I were betting on the Sunday storm. I would go with a 35 degree rain followed by a quick drop to flurries and an inch or less. It is a broken record in our part of the world.
I have DirecTV, so I don’t get wymt. Has anyone heard it mentioned that we could be looking at records as far as going this late into the season with no measurable snow for many parts of their viewing area? We should at least get into February without a measurable in Knox Co. Just wondering if this may be a record amount of time before a measurable snowfall.
With as much salt and pretreat solution as they have used you would think we have had a foot of snow this season.
Had a skiff of snow this morning, the second non-measurable “skiff” this year. I expect that is all we will see going forward. At this point, I will be okay with that as long as spring breaks early.
BRING ON SPRING!