Good afternoon, folks. A gorgeous day is in progress across the bluegrass state, but changes are quickly blowing in from the northwest. Those changes will include a big temperature drop and a period of light snow.
I have no changes to my overall thought process. Temps drop roughly 20 degrees from where we are this afternoon to where we wind up by late this evening. A band of light snow will be likely behind our front and this will lay down light accumulations. Those light accumulations will come within a 2-4 hour window of opportunity for snow.
Most areas should pick up a coating to 1″, but a spot or two might get lucky and come in with a little more. Regardless, that snow will combine with gusty winds and falling temps to create slick travel tonight into Thursday morning.
Temps by Thursday morning will drop into the teens with wind chills in the single digits. Highs will only reach the middle 20s for many.
We get a nice recovery after that for Friday and Saturday before another system dives in from the northwest on Sunday. That one will bring rain, wind and much colder air with the threat for some snow by Monday.
I will be back later this evening with an update on the light snow band for tonight. In the short term, track away…
Have a great afternoon and take care.
Going to be in the mid to high 50s on Saturday in SEKY. I always like to hear a forecast like that. Once we get past another coating of snow then a couple of good days. Gotta start thinking positive.
Even if the temps do drop, it looks like the system will stay north of us. I really need a snow day…
I am tired of these “nice recoveries.” They erode any feeling of winter. Spring should be the nice recovery.
Based on their apparent increased frequency of these recoveries, it might be a sign of an early feeling spring by a few weeks.
We have snow pack in the north and still no signs of anything significant brewing. Then again, the models would be the signs, so not exactly reference material 😉
Nice recoveries have been going on all winter. Each week of January had at least one 50 degree day. In less than two weeks average highs in SEKY hit 50, with an increase of about two degrees a week after that. The warmup has started and historically it’s time for it.
This is coming from a person who would love a big snow, but there is no denying the transition has begun.
Our friends at Craccuweather are predicting an early spring with above average temps and more severe weather than the past three springs. I couldn’t find the basis for the forecast but it was a pretty looking map.
If an early spring, that usually does cause the cold & warm air battles that can brew badness.
Looks like the Ohio River counties will get about a 1/4 to 1/2 inch out if this system. Not pushing south at all right now and has a mow eastern track. Might catch the tail end for an hour or so, but even that is disapating as we speak. Might weaken even more and not snow South of the river at all.
Bring on spring and severe storms, which we had very few of last year.
They can have it and the salt that come with it. 🙂
They pretreated yesterday in Knox so unfortunately its to late to give them the salt that comes with it.
I can only think that whoever is in charge of Knox County has a lot of relatives on the payroll who depend on salt distribution as a primary source of income.
How are you supposed to feel like you’re flying on Hoth with an early spring? Sheesh people, priorities.
http://youtu.be/RpvIU8i0khs?t=12s
I think I am going shopping 🙂
Rotary-powered girlfriend repellent…
Actually, these are a great litmus test for your S.O.
If they’re higher maintenance than this, you need to trade them in on something more manageable.
I think it is time for Mother Nature to take Old Man Winter off life support and end his and our suffering this year.
is that WWAs for an inch or so of snow? …..that’s ridiculous
A coating to a inch of snow qualifies for a WWA??? Yeah in Mississippi.
Mainly for impact…not necessarily for accumulations. Travel may be impacted negatively. From experience some of the most difficult travel conditions concerning snow is when less than an inch falls on area roadways.
I think by now if people aren’t used to an inch or less of accum. …they have issues
You wouldn’t know by watching the TV in the Hunt/Char. WV area. They have total team coverage from the first flake until the storm ends with less than an inch. Kinda like Atlanta on a smaller scale.
did u see them talk about the PV yesterday returning in the next few weeks????
Yes I saw that. All I can say about that report. Is consider the source. I have heard that guy track storms from Eastern Europe to Siberia to the Gulf of Alaska. Talk about stretching things.
AccuWeather was saying late spring up until now. I don’t think anyone has a clue with the sorry model performance this winter. It wouldn’t surprise me to see an early spring. Models have overplayed the cold all winter. 90 percent of the time the adjustments have been up instead of down.
I wonder how many people on this blog who are “mad” about no snow are actually teachers who don’t want to work?
I remember the teachers in 1977 writing “think snow” on the blackboards – – it obviously worked 😉 that was a very fun winter for this (then) 11th grader in Fayette County. I’ve been wishing for a “snow day” for 3 years now. No, not a teacher. Not even a state govt worker. I love my job, but would be thrilled to wake up one morning (soon) and discover I didn’t have to go to work that day!
So the southern system decides to stay south this time….MEHHH
I was thinking the same thing been. Days ago the models got this right! The post where Chris made the comment about them making a love connection. They showed the gulf storm pretty much where it is, and the small system pretty much where it is.
4 p.m. in London: Temp is 53F, Dewpoint 11F. Humidity 18%. Gonna be hard to get snow falling into that much dry air.
lol. Since the NWS on board with possible accumulation (no matter how small and trivial), I’m predicting an all rain event for most with the usual backside festive flake or two. hehehe
Putting J.P. into every weather map would be just fine with me. 🙂
http://pbs.twimg.com/media/B9B2VRkIYAAGvdV.jpg
Lauren Raymer was quite the looker, too. 😉