Good Tuesday afternoon, folks. Parts of southeastern Kentucky picked up a fresh blanket of snow overnight into this morning from a system that ended up farther north than the models had. Shocked? The next storm system arriving late Wednesday continues to trend farther north and that trend may continue.
The latest SREF (the average of 22 different computer model runs) shows quite a bit of precipitation working into the state…
That would bring snow all the way north to the Ohio River with decent totals showing up across eastern and southern Kentucky.
Here’s a look at my first “odds” map…
There is an increasing possibility of some areas in the south and east getting 4″ or more of snow. That could force me to pull the trigger on a Winter Storm Threat for parts of the region later today.
Can we get this to keep trending north and give much of the state another hefty snow? I guess we shall soon find out.
Another update comes your way later today and I will have the very latest on WKYT-TV starting at 4pm. See you then.
Take care.
Didn’t get a flake this morning in Carrie of knott co. Wouldn’t mind an inch or so tomorrow night to cover up the brown spotted ground from snow that’s melted
Thanks CB, I hope Bowling Green can get a few more inches on the ground before spring.
Ditto.
Nooooooo!!!!
Just think that a few days ago there were a few comments that this system would be “very minor” and “nothing to see here”. When will the models just go ahead and factor in the NW trend from the start?
I still don’t see much myself but what do I know
Ummmmmm NAM don’t start your crap with your NW trend had my fill of that. Everytime I turn around and look at a new NAM model run its further north and now the GFS is trending that way. If this keeps up will have a phasing system possibly.
Bite your d@mn tongue!
Folks to the SOUTH can have all the snow they want! 🙂 I am looking forward to washing salt of my car at some point sooner than later.
Well with the exception of a few counties we didn’t get our foot of snow last week in the South and for most it was a surprise when they did.
I donate all northern good snow wishes to you 🙂
Yesssssssss!!! I’m still doing the northern shuffle! 😉
33 degrees
cold rain produced by mother nature will perform the trick8
that last post was meant for bubba
car.
Mother nature = trickery 😉
The NW trend is as strong as WAA. Can’t deny that. If these two phase it could pull so far north that it would put us in another nasty winter weather event.
Thanks for the update Chris!
Middlesboro is ready for round 5 in 8 days. Bring it on! 21″ of snow total since last Sun night.
I am wondering if there is any truth to the saying one snow on the ground waiting for another or something like that. I guess we will find out.
I was told growing up that if there is snow on the ground 7 days after the snow it is waiting for another one. Still have about 2.5-3′ of snow from last Monday (SE Lexington), so we’ll see!
My mother used to always say if it snowed and hung around it was waiting on another one. Guess we will find out.
No no no no no no no, please no I’m in spring mode!!
You and me both! We’ve got about 3″ fresh inches this morning and the roads are even slicker than they were Tuesday last week.
Can you just give us a date when this will all be over? Lol. I’ve had my snow fix, now its time to start getting out and hitting some golf balls. Bring Spring. These later winter snow are not supposed to hang around this long, kids will spen 1/2 their summer in school.
Thanks Chris. Guess we will see. Maybe the big snow we got last week broke the dome. If so it may be playing catch up! Hmmmm…. Have a great afternoon all.
It’s WINTER…let it be winter. 🙂
I second that! 😀
I third that! 😀
4th it!
Hah! I get the fifth!
Sloppy sixths
Snowy 7th
Yes! We have plenty of rainy days and warm days. Let’s enjoy as much snow as we can wring out of this season. My dream snowstorm would occur on a Friday and be a blizzard warning. Plenty of time for everyone to go buy their bread and milk then get home.
YES! Finally something a catfan and cardfan can agree on! 😉
Old lady ain’t gonna be happy bout this one. Still waitin on shorty shorts season. This old guy ready to move on from this snow stuff. Guess everybody gonna be at the walmarts wednesday.
Are there a chance it’s too warm and will be all rain? What is going to keep warm air from being pulled in? It seems like it has been colder then predicted.Thanks Chris for all you do.Have a nice day.
I hope not the river is still high
I know I live near it.
Surely not more snow.
CRYSTAL different track from last storm
it can snow at 35 degrees.
How much for Knott County with this next one Rolo?
1-3 be my guess
It can also rain at 27 degrees like it did last Saturday in part of WV.
Mr. Chris Bailey,
Just found this website this past week before the first big snow hit. I actually live in Mount Airy, North Carolina in the far Northwestern part at the VA line. The maps you out post usually always include my county ( Surry). I just want you to know that you’ve been dead on since I’ve been following your posts. I love Meteorology and have always tried to make my own predictions during the winter concerning precipatatation. What types to expect and how much. The local Meteorologists just haven’t been hitting on much this winter. They missed the little event we had this morning, they all thought it would be to far South. We got hit with 2-4 inches and there are tons of wreaks here because the DOT didn’t salt brine any roads. I’d been following you so I was aware of the possibility of more then just flurries. Anyways, I just wanted to say that I enjoy your posts and the effort you put in behind them. Keep up the great work!!!
Some fresh snow would be nice. The remaining snow is getting dirty here in the Ville.
More snow near Louisville would be nice. We need the snow to trend more north. It seems the majority of snow has been in se KY.
Your thought has no validity still have not broken double digits for the season
More snow went to the east of KY than towards Louisville. Depends on the area around there.
2 measureable snow events this season. 1 last night which was less than half an inch and the other last week.
Well I notice my hometown in western NC is under WS Watch. Stranger things have happened because we were under a WSW in 94 Jan for all of our area, and KY ended up getting buried with snow. We got NOTHING! I was so mad….Not that that will happen this time, but just sayin’. XOXOXO
I’m from WNC as well! Little town called Marion. My Mom sent me a picture of about 2-3 inches of snow on her porch this morning. Totally unexpected! They could be seeing 4-8 inches more come Thursday night she said.
Cool – the town I’m from is Brevard in Transylvania county. I think they have had 2 or 3 inches so far this year, but more sleet than snow my dad said.
Hoping for more snow! Thanks Chris for the update. One more big one and more sledding may be on the way!
http://m.facebook.com/ChrisJustusMeteorologist?refid=52&_ft_=qid.6119505327350851615%3Amf_story_key.8410019002721942346&__tn__=C
As several people have already commented, “It’s the chase of the storm coming in as to when & where it will hit,” that causes so much of a stir among weather weenies. Like I’ve said, “anticipation” and “possibilities” make many of us want to know all we can about what’s coming around the weather bend. If the “PV” lifts a little more north we may have the next system just push a little more our way to the north and voila, we get some more snow. Something tells me we will get more.
NWS in Charleston has a 36 degree high tomorrow, that tells me another miserable cold rain event possible.
We were forecasted to hit 34 today. It got to 29 and now they say this is it.
PULL THE TRIGGER…PULL IT!!!..PULL IT!!!…ITS A COMIN…WSW EAST TN… 3-6″..
Noooo! Any more salt and the slugs will become extinct! They are a vital part of our ecosystem!! Aaaaarrrrggggh!
Way past that point Bubba LoL
Lol…I hear they’re getting ready to wage war…
My phone just went off with a special winter weather statement. Keep on keepin on. To the north, that is!
(I agree with the poster that says it’s all about the chase and seeing where the storm lands! Fun stuff!)
Hit 40 here in Carrie of knott co
The northwest trend is strong…I’ll be driving back to kentucky from louisiana tomorrow…I’m sure I’ll hit all kinds of weather! Prayers would be appreciated 🙂
With the northwest trend, can this blossom into something bigger? TIA
From what I’ve read on other sources, the storm “can’t” trend anymore north because of the cold air here keeping it south of there which is why Atlanta, Raleigh, and other places in the south have warnings. I’m interested to see if indeed it can come north.
Thank you, Lucy! I am also!!
Snow to the north of me, snow to south, here I am, stuck in the middle again
http://wxcaster4.com/gfs/CONUS2_GFS0P5_SFC_ACCUM-SNOW_120HR.gif
Think spring
This looks like the logical solution to me
Exactly. It seems this winter’s storms have not been a sure thing until the day of, and sometimes not even then. I’m curious as to whether the storm will stay south. Even before last weekend’s storm, models showed up to 14″ for Louisville. How accurate is this storm so far out?
Nothing to see go to tenn if u want snow.the se border counties
NWS in Jackson reporting technical problems and most o the model data has been wiped out. I’m anxious to see an update here as to what the most recent model runs are saying.
They are forecasting 1-3 with the 3 closer to the tn border.
I-3 sounds bout right with maybe 4 on the boarders
I’m willing to bet those of you wanting more snow still have water and electricity. Ah, at this point, what’s it matter? Cabin fever is making me grumpy.
I do & I certainly don’t want others to go without it. I don’t wish that on anyone.
I am normally a complete snow lover, so I get that. We haven’t had water since Friday, and just found out it will be 2-4 days at best before we get it back. Just look over the local snow grinch!
I understand completely. I’m so sorry! During last years Polar Vortex our town’s main water line busted. It was also during the chemical leak in WV (I’m on the WV/Ky border) so most places were sending water there & the stores were completely out. It went on for weeks. I feel for you!