Good Tuesday, everyone.Β A triple whammy of a winter storm is on the way to the bluegrass state. This will bring us the potential for flooding, significant sleet and snow accumulations andΒ possible record cold temperatures. March is certainly bringing some serious weather right out of the gate!

Let’s start with today and roll forward.

A warm front lifts northward across the state today and will bring a brief spike in temperatures. A light mix and some light rain will be possible early today before the milder air gets in. A few gusty showers will be possible into the evening hours as temps rise well into the 50s.

I have no changes to the setup for Wednesday and Thursday. Our arctic front drops into the region with some heavy rain ahead of it early in the day. That could lead to some local high water problems. This does not look like a major flood event.

Arctic air will ooze in from west to east changing the rain to heavy sleet and snow during the day into the evening. Significant accumulations are likely through Thursday morning. Here’s a look the general outline for amounts…


I will get more specific with the totals later today as the storm comes into better focus. With the combination of sleet and snow falling, it will be tough to pinpoint exact amounts. Areas that are mainly snow will EASILYΒ push double digits. Areas with more sleet than snow will wind up on the low side of the scale. Either way… this is a very high impact winter storm.

I still like that the GFS is doing in terms of snow, sleet and freezing rain. Here’s the latest snowfall map…

GFS Snow


GFS Snow 2

Freezing Rain


This will be a major winter storm that slams the region over the next few days.

The cold coming behind this for Thursday into Friday is nothing short of amazing to see on the models. Single digit lows are almost a given, with many models showing zero or below. The GFS goes crazy with Friday morning lows…

GFS Temps

That is likely on the extreme side, but shows you just how wild this week of weather really is.

Updates will come your way later today. Until then, I leave you with some tracking toys…

Have a great day and take care.