Good Saturday and welcome to the weekend. We’re slowly pulling out of our legendary period of harsh winter weather across the bluegrass state. Spring is inching closer and closer and the weather is going to finally start acting more like it should in the days ahead. That doesn’t necessarily mean good news, though.
As you know, we have had a lot of snow and rain in recent weeks. Flooding has been an ongoing issue for days now into parts of the region and we have a wicked deep snowpack. The last thing we need is to go into a pattern that produces frequent rainmakers around here. Unfortunately. that looks to be the case.
The first system rolls in later Monday and Tuesday with some showers…
Locally heavy rains will be possible.
That system moves away as temps climb toward the 60s for a few days as we await the arrival of the nest system. This one looks rather juicy as it SLOWLY pushes in from the deep south and the Gulf of Mexico…
That’s from the European Model from Friday through next weekend. Here’s the rainfall forecast from that run…
The GFS has a very similar look to it for the same time…
That would not be a good setup around here and is one for us to keep a close eye on.
I will have another update later today. Take care.
as of 6 am still behind water I suspect it will be down by late morning early afternoon.
Thanks Chris. Spring is going to spring soon.
And about the Feb 98 dusting. Just so I’m clear, (only because this doesn’t make sense to me). The Feb ’98 storm (dusting) gave Louisville, and Cincinnati 2 day records, while it gave Lexington a 3 day record? Does anyone else find that strange? I remember it starting at 10 pm (ish) Day 1, and snowing heavily all night and a lot of the morning, until tapering to light snow that afternoon (day 2). Then, snow showers continued on and off (day 3). I was living near Heartland Kroger at that time and it was so deep the next day (day 2) that it was ridiculous (like this storm we just had)
I get confused on that too, Mark. All I can say is this has been a
truly remarkable stretch after many of us had given up on this winter. Sure have loved this snow.
Though we had about 14″ from this past event and over 15″ from the previous event a few weeks ago, 98 was even bigger. Thigh high snow from drifts in my driveway almost 20″. I could not shovel it out of the driveway and lucked out with somebody on a Bobcat offering $20 to remove the snow. Best $20 spent!
That IMO was an even bigger freak snow since was a surprise until it actually hit and started piling up. I “prefer” the last two events since big, minimal power outages and still possible to shovel.
Folks calling these recent snows anomalies must look at trends within relatively short time spans or to fit current “narratives”. Two biggies that close is odd, but we had several big snows each decade through to the 90’s. Folks to our north in the state have had big events in the 2000’s.
If any snow could be called an anomaly, 98 due to the amount and sudden nature of it could maybe be called one.
My wife reminds me the drifts were higher than “thigh high” for some people. The snow fall depending on where measured was 18″ to 20″. Drifts in spots were close to three feet.
yea – so then since you remember this as I do, do u agree that the vast majority of what fell was from around 10 pm that night when it started, until around noon the next day? Am I crazy?
I forgot to mention – you’re right. I remember that being a very windy storm and the snow was relentless for hours..I stayed up most of the night watching it in amazement because it totally was not predicted at all I even remember using my AOL Dial up internet watching the weather.com radar loop in motion watching it come from EAST to west from the atlantic. dark green on the radar with no dry spots in the radar at all….Like I said, walking the next day (around noon) to my neighbors to borrow a shovel the snow was up to my waist. In fact, I think it was about the equivalent of this last storm, but just ADD a lot of wind to it..
98 was able to shut down everything, including Toyota, because of the surprise nature of the event.
I have to chuckle at people who kept using the “shut down KY” line as that didn’t even come close to happening in either of these last events. If you were here in 98, you know the difference.
This.
Thursday’s event rocked the boat, but I was EASILY able to commute from Crab Orchard to home in Richmond that night. 😉
What a miserable stretch of weather we have went through (didn’t bust the dome in Knox, so yes it’s been miserable). Mid-February usually produces some decent days, but this year daytime highs have been well below normal. Now we go into March and temps begin to go close to normal and we get washed out. It will take weeks of no rain to dry out, and that doesn’t look to be the case. Not only BRING SPRING,but bring sunshine and dry along with it.
Can you get out easily or are behind a lot of water?
I’m in town, so I can get out.
Saw two robins yesterday. Spring is knocking on the door
You know Robins stay here year round, right?
Sure do genius. Don’t see em on the ground much in winter. When you start seeing them gathering spring is here
well somebody better warn them below normal temps by the end of the month
Big miss on forecasted lows here in Olive Hill. Supposed to be 24. It’s 12…
They said low of 18 deg here and it was 11 deg!
My forecast low was 12 😉
You may want to get the web/graphics people to fix the difference between the high for today on the 7-day and that listed in text on the weather page forecast.
Obviously, you didn’t mean for it to say the high would be 27 today because that’s not the station forecast (which is 38).
http://gray.ftp.clickability.com/wkytwebftp/NEW7DAY-HD600_WEB.jpg
Btw. I’m hearing that your competition is quite annoyed at the latest marketing blitz centered around the last event. Keep piling it on, it’s entertaining as hell. 🙂
Of course yours was Chris
It didn’t post all of my reply!!! I wasn’t referring to your forecast!! I have a weather app on my phone from that big channel that’s dedicated to weather. They missed. It said 24….
🙂
Thank you Chris. Looks tough for our friends in the flood prone areas.
I remember big post snow/winter floods in the Falmouth area several years back.
The positive is at least this snow should have chance to melt before the big rains were to hit. It would be a new bad if the big rains were to fall now.
Just an interesting fact about Thor (really hope the next one is Hulk or Iron Man!)…such a great name considering we got hammered! Anyway, I wanted to document this one so I noted when the changeover from sleet to snow occurred…once it did, it NEVER let up! It was like living inside a snow globe that someone kept shaking and shaking. It was beautiful. Here off Leestown Road right off New Circle, that aforementioned changeover was at 6:13 pm on March 4. I watched until the last flake fluttered to the ground and turned around to get the time…12:13 pm midday on the 5th. Exactly, as if it were on a strict 18 hour schedule. Now I know that it started and stopped at different times all over Lexington…just like totals differed 2-4 inches all over the city. Here we had exactly a smidge over twenty with drifts 3 1/2 ft to 4 ft (maybe higher). That was especially noticeable with a fenced in yard. I have a pretty hilarious story I’m going to post about one of the higher drifts separately in just a moment. If you want…look for it!
Goodbye from my slowly melting wonderland! Bring on the Hulk!!!
I had 13″ here in south Lexington.
Message from Wave 3 yesterday has jefferson county in a flood warning through March 11.
The sun yesterday and already this morning has bout done the snow in here in Carrie.
Up to 44 here in knott co at 11. Gonna hit 50 today
That sudden snow in 98 that called for a “dusting” left 27″ outside my door in Danville! The snowplow got stuck in in our subdivision!!!
Now THAT was a snow for the record books!
Just got our electric back on!!! Thank god! The soggy bottom campground is completely under water here in greenup…can’t even see the roof on the amvets
The GFS (Cobb Data) is spitting out .30″ on Tuesday and 3.43″ next Saturday into Sunday morning for Louisville, KY.
Same model has .74″ for Lexington on Tuesday and 3.92″ next Saturday into Sunday.