*****2:45pm Update*****
a Severe Thunderstorm Watch is now out for extreme northeastern Kentucky until 9pm. Here is a look at the counties included…
Storms have been slow to develop across most of the state… this will likely change as we head into this evening. Take care.
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Good Tuesday afternoon everyone. I am dropping by for a quick update on the increasing risk for scattered severe storms today and the higher risk for severe and flooding over the next several days.
The more I look at this pattern, the more I believe we are going to see some big time clusters of strong to severe storms that would cause flash flooding problems. It is a supercharged atmosphere that is loaded with water and increasing amounts of instability and that spells trouble.
We will see scattered storms developing this afternoon and some of those could go severe with damaging winds and large hail being the main threats. The Storm Prediction Center has placed the entire state in a slight risk into this evening…
I have added the usual array of radars for you to track the storms…
Wednesday into Thursday will see an increase in coverage of thunderstorms and the overall severe weather threat. The flash flood potential will be greatest during this time as well.
It is also looking more and more like we will not get much of a break from the storms this weekend. As a matter of fact… the pattern is developing will try to hold tough into next week and is one that can produce some Derechos! Think of these as long lived and widespread damaging wind storms.
Wild weather ahead and the blog will be all over it so keep checking back. It is also a good time to check out twitter in the top right hand corner of this blog. Sign up to get free texts to your cell phones as well.
More as needed. Take care.
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The environment looks primed for convective storms to start popping off any time. Dewpoints running in the 60’s, Most of severe weather indices are looking good for development of hail and wind producers.
MD 1003 is out.
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1003.html
And the waiting game continues. I wonder how long it will take before storms start popping. New Severe T’storm watch over the northern half of WV.
clouds are starting to pop overhead so maybe east of me gets it today instead of west of me
How long will it take the batch of storms headed toward Ky? Looks like they are moving pretty fast.
Is a Derechos similar to the “landcane” that hit Carbondale, Illinois a month ago? I can handle the average storm but I do not like the sound of Derechos. How about if we say we would rather not have any of that nonsense? It sounds completely unnecessary and would cause great stress to us.
No Derechos!
Yes, KP, that’s exactly what a Derecho is-we had one come thru Bardstown in mid July ’04, and it was WILD-no power or cable for nearly a week, it was HOT…ice was a ‘hot’ commodity, shall we say (no pun intended…)
If you go to the NWS/LMK page and click on “Photo Album” (on the left pane in the blue), then click T-storms(or whatever it is), then 2004, you can see some good photos of the derecho as it approached us from the West thru E-Town….SCARY, but interesting looking, I thought!
I wonder if the high pressure off to the south is inhibiting thunderstorm development right now or if we have a Cap in place. This is why I wish one of the KY weather service offices would send up weather ballons, so we’d have upper air data from on top of area, instead of depending on Nashville and Wilmington.
For you weather nerds out there, Weather Channel is about to go wall to wall following Mike Bettes trailing a super cell near Dodge City that has a really nice hook echo on it. No tornado on it yet, but it could be very similar to last Friday, and getting to see Dr. Greg Forbes break down a super cell on air live is awesome and educational.
Well looks like there was a Cap on the atmosphere today. Looks like we’ll just have to wait for the front to pass or a low to get close enough to us to create enough lift for the air to rise through the cap.