Good Tuesday to one and all. Our tropical weather is missing just one thing… the beach. Steamy temps, high humidity levels and scattered showers and thunderstorms have been common of late. The tropical feel continues with an increasing threat for heavy rain producing boomers.

We are likely to see a decent increase in coverage of the showers and storms out there today as a weak cold front moves in. That front basically stalls out from west to east across the region and leads to waves of showers and storms. These storms could be strong and put down some hefty rainfall numbers for some.

That same setup looks possible for Wednesday and Thursday.

Our focus of the forecast for the second half of the week into the weekend is on what happens with the leftovers of our tropical system in the Gulf. Tropical Storm Bill will roll ashore across Texas and then slowly work northward through the Mississippi River Valley. That should then turn the corner and work due east into our region. Where that turn occurs is still in question.

There is likely to be a front draped across the region and that could help ignite heavy rain producing storms ahead of the remnants of Bill. The Canadian Model continues to point toward that scenario…

Canadian

Leftovers from a tropical system interacting with a front can spell all kinds of trouble where that occurs.

To track the pure leftovers of Bill, I’ve pulled out the PWAT map from the GFS. What the heck is a PWAT? It stands for Precipitable Water and is a cool way to measure the amount of water in the air. You can clearly see what’s left of Bill rolling across our region…

GFS

Areas along the path of that system will have to deal with some very heavy rains and flooding. Will that include Kentucky? Stay tuned.

I have you all set to do some tracking of what we have out there today…

 

 

Today’s risk area

Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current watches

Current Watches

Possible watch areas Current MDs

Have a great day and take care.